Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 April 2007 at 21:34:06 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   34   82  +54      89.64     2.26    58.33    83.11   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             34   79  +40      86.59     2.44    43.16    16.89   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           35   67  +32      73.18     2.00    35.16     0.00     0.00    96.11   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.19     2.09    27.93     0.00     0.00     3.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             35   54  +15      57.57     2.06    14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.86     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              35   54   -3      57.60     2.03    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.85     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.61     2.13     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.55     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          35   50   +5      53.27     2.13     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           34   50   -1      56.53     2.61     0.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           34   44   -7      49.44     2.56    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         35   43   -3      47.19     2.16    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.01     2.18    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        35   42  -11      44.86     1.98   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       35   40   -7      44.81     2.26    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.86     1.78   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.52R    0.00  
Wigan               35   35  -19      39.60     2.20   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.61R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         35   35  -20      39.36     2.13   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.53R    0.00  
Charlton            35   33  -21      35.28     1.87   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.16R    0.03  
West_Ham            35   32  -30      34.03     1.77   -34.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.19R    0.31  
Watford             35   24  -31      26.44     1.91   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2007, Norwich vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       44   83  +24      86.31     1.80    24.86    52.28    85.62   100.00    89.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       44   82  +23      85.65     1.82    24.30    37.15    77.65   100.00    83.98P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.51     1.73    17.16    10.57    36.73   100.00    53.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   71  +12      73.69     1.85    11.93     0.00     0.00    56.58    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.19     2.18    20.85     0.00     0.00    83.99    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   70   -2      73.05     1.82    -1.53     0.00     0.00    39.34     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   69  +20      72.92     1.75    21.92     0.00     0.00    53.58    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   69  +19      72.28     1.84    19.77     0.00     0.00    34.88    10.29P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +18      71.86     1.78    18.22     0.00     0.00    24.15     6.13P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   68   +5      70.76     1.71     5.03     0.00     0.00     7.49     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   64   +7      67.14     1.79     7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   -2      63.77     1.88    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.31     1.76     3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   +3      61.07     1.87     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   57  -13      58.98     1.76   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.11     2.15     4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -15      55.02     1.71   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   52  -12      54.10     1.73   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   50  -13      52.65     1.86   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   50  -24      52.10     1.67   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Hull             44   46  -16      48.23     1.74   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.63R    0.00  
Leeds            44   45  -24      46.81     1.64   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.78R    0.00  
Southend         44   42  -28      44.11     1.65   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.19R    6.67  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.10     1.78   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Cheltenham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          44   88  +37      91.51     1.78    38.08   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        44   82  +23      85.74     1.78    24.47     0.00    91.41   100.00    93.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   44   78  +22      81.77     1.82    23.58     0.00     7.57   100.00    33.88P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           44   77  +22      79.48     1.81    21.66     0.00     1.03   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              44   73  +13      76.23     1.83    13.71     0.00     0.00    97.43    21.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              44   69  +20      72.56     1.81    21.16     0.00     0.00    61.90    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             44   69  +18      71.88     1.86    18.23     0.00     0.00    32.55     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            44   68   +3      70.03     1.68     2.03     0.00     0.00     8.13     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            44   63   +3      66.50     1.77     4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           44   62   +6      64.71     1.75     6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            44   62   -4      64.43     1.81    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               44   58   -6      60.17     1.74    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          44   58  -19      60.22     1.80   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           44   57   -1      60.61     1.85     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         44   57   -3      59.70     1.77    -2.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        44   55  -11      57.70     1.84   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            44   52   -8      54.39     1.80    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       44   51  -12      53.20     1.83   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.36R    0.00  
Bournemouth         44   51  -13      53.58     1.80   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.00  
Cheltenham          44   50  -14      52.58     1.82   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.13R    0.00  
Bradford            44   46  -15      48.53     1.81   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.48R    0.00  
Chesterfield        44   44  -10      46.34     1.72   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.81R    0.00  
Rotherham           44   38  -13      40.28     1.70   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.47  
Brentford           44   34  -38      35.55     1.58   -39.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.53  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Peterborough vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.17     1.79    28.61    76.09   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   85  +31      88.62     1.65    32.37    21.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     44   84  +21      86.77     1.78    21.14     2.75    98.95   100.00    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    44   78  +14      81.25     1.81    14.95     0.00     1.05   100.00    26.14P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   70   +9      73.33     1.85     9.84     0.00     0.00    99.61    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   67  +22      73.11     2.10    25.12     0.00     0.00    98.80    36.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   67   +6      70.14     1.79     6.61     0.00     0.00    80.27    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   63   +9      65.85     1.86     9.18     0.00     0.00     5.21     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   63   +4      66.56     2.13     3.40     0.00     0.00     9.46     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   62  +18      64.65     1.84    17.87     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   62   +8      65.02     1.87     8.42     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   62   +0      64.61     1.81    -0.14     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.06     1.85     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   57  -16      58.85     1.68   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   56  -15      58.23     1.78   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         44   54   -7      56.58     1.79    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   52   -6      54.25     1.74    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   50   -6      53.09     1.85    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             44   48  -15      50.25     1.76   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Accrington       44   47  -10      49.65     1.78   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.91R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   47  -20      50.49     2.24   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.48R    0.00  
Wrexham          43   45  -24      47.53     1.86   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.38R    0.00  
Boston           44   45  -27      47.88     1.84   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.88R    0.00  
Torquay          44   33  -27      35.26     1.76   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Tamworth vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          45   92  +44      94.04     1.24    45.05   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         45   81  +34      82.48     1.27    34.17     0.00   100.00    40.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          45   78  +17      79.78     1.28    17.58     0.00   100.00    20.66P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   77  +19      78.20     1.23    18.83     0.00    91.07    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             45   75  +18      76.93     1.26    18.84     0.00    72.77    14.61P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             45   75   +6      76.54     1.28     6.26     0.00    31.25     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          45   74   +8      74.75     1.13     6.95     0.00     4.67     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          44   69  +11      72.15     1.90    11.61     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   64   +2      65.43     1.32     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           45   63  -16      64.43     1.35   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   62   -4      64.29     1.73    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          43   57  -16      60.16     2.18   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        44   56   +2      58.94     1.79     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   54   -6      55.46     1.32    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   54   -6      55.68     1.31    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            44   52   +1      54.90     1.81     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        45   52  -10      53.68     1.29    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   45   52  -21      53.29     1.30   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         45   50  -14      51.32     1.31   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.55R    0.00  
Grays              44   49   -1      51.46     1.75    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.49R    0.00  
Halifax            44   49   -9      51.60     1.85    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   48  -17      49.05     1.23   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.94R    0.00  
Southport          45   47   -9      47.83     1.16    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.02R    0.00  
St_Albans          45   37  -33      38.35     1.34   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10