Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 April 2007 at 21:34:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Manchester_United vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   34   82  +54      89.64     2.29    58.23    72.67   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             33   78  +40      87.58     2.78    44.01    27.33   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           35   67  +32      73.16     2.02    35.09     0.00     0.00    95.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.18     2.10    27.92     0.00     0.00     4.10   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             35   54  +15      57.58     2.05    14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              35   54   -3      57.60     2.02    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.23     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.66     2.12     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           34   50   -1      56.47     2.64     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.62     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.35     2.49     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.09     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           34   44   -7      49.43     2.58    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.79     2.55    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        35   42  -11      44.87     2.00   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.76     2.49    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       35   40   -7      44.80     2.25    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.89     1.79   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.86R    0.00  
Wigan               35   35  -19      39.59     2.23   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         35   35  -20      39.33     2.13   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    0.00  
Charlton            35   33  -21      35.35     1.88   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.13R    0.04  
West_Ham            35   32  -30      34.06     1.76   -34.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.41R    0.35  
Watford             35   24  -31      26.49     1.92   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Sheffield_W vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       44   82  +23      85.62     1.83    24.26    50.70    82.89   100.00    87.83P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.49     1.75    17.16    16.90    51.44   100.00    64.56P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   80  +23      84.76     2.24    24.00    32.40    65.67   100.00    76.42P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   71  +12      73.72     1.84    11.97     0.00     0.00    52.55    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.21     2.18    20.90     0.00     0.00    81.11    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.33     2.24    -0.64     0.00     0.00    59.30     8.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   69  +20      72.94     1.73    21.95     0.00     0.00    49.14    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   69  +19      72.27     1.84    19.75     0.00     0.00    30.62     8.90P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +18      71.87     1.78    18.23     0.00     0.00    21.19     5.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   68   +5      70.76     1.72     5.03     0.00     0.00     6.08     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   64   +7      67.11     1.79     7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   -2      63.73     1.86    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.33     1.77     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.41     2.30     3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -13      59.40     2.24   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.16     2.17     4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -15      54.97     1.69   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   52  -12      54.06     1.74   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   50  -13      52.64     1.84   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   50  -24      52.09     1.68   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Hull             44   46  -16      48.25     1.74   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.16R    0.00  
Leeds            44   45  -24      46.82     1.65   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.07R    0.00  
Southend         44   42  -28      44.09     1.63   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R    6.60  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.11     1.77   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Cheltenham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          44   88  +37      91.52     1.77    38.11   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        44   82  +23      85.74     1.77    24.47     0.00    91.60   100.00    93.96P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   44   78  +22      81.81     1.82    23.66     0.00     7.38   100.00    34.34P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           44   77  +22      79.45     1.82    21.62     0.00     1.01   100.00    26.50P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              44   73  +13      76.29     1.83    13.78     0.00     0.00    97.52    21.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              44   69  +20      72.55     1.82    21.15     0.00     0.00    62.16    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             44   69  +18      71.89     1.86    18.23     0.00     0.00    32.08     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            44   68   +3      70.04     1.67     2.03     0.00     0.00     8.24     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            44   63   +3      66.49     1.78     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           44   62   +6      64.66     1.75     5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            44   62   -4      64.46     1.81    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               44   58   -6      60.14     1.73    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          44   58  -19      60.20     1.79   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           44   57   -1      60.60     1.84     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         44   57   -3      59.72     1.78    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        44   55  -11      57.72     1.84   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            44   52   -8      54.40     1.80    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       44   51  -12      53.19     1.82   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30R    0.00  
Bournemouth         44   51  -13      53.59     1.82   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22R    0.00  
Cheltenham          44   50  -14      52.58     1.81   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.67R    0.00  
Bradford            44   46  -15      48.53     1.81   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.68R    0.00  
Chesterfield        44   44  -10      46.33     1.71   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.87R    0.00  
Rotherham           44   38  -13      40.25     1.69   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.32  
Brentford           44   34  -38      35.57     1.59   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.67  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Peterborough vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.16     1.78    28.59    75.89   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   85  +31      88.60     1.65    32.34    21.38   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     44   84  +21      86.75     1.76    21.12     2.73    99.06   100.00    99.33P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    44   78  +14      81.23     1.80    14.93     0.00     0.94   100.00    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   70   +9      73.33     1.87     9.82     0.00     0.00    99.66    18.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   67  +22      73.08     2.10    25.08     0.00     0.00    98.80    36.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   67   +6      70.14     1.80     6.61     0.00     0.00    80.00    15.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   63   +9      65.84     1.85     9.17     0.00     0.00     4.70     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   63   +4      66.58     2.12     3.43     0.00     0.00     9.88     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   62  +18      64.67     1.85    17.88     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   62   +8      65.05     1.86     8.45     0.00     0.00     2.55     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   62   +0      64.58     1.82    -0.18     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.12     1.85     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   57  -16      58.85     1.69   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   56  -15      58.25     1.79   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         44   54   -7      56.57     1.79    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   52   -6      54.27     1.74    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   50   -6      53.06     1.86    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   48  -15      50.28     1.76   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Accrington       44   47  -10      49.64     1.77   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   47  -20      50.45     2.22   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.00  
Wrexham          43   45  -24      47.54     1.87   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.28R    0.00  
Boston           44   45  -27      47.90     1.83   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.55R    0.00  
Torquay          44   33  -27      35.26     1.75   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Tamworth vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          45   92  +44      94.03     1.25    45.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         45   81  +34      82.47     1.27    34.16     0.00   100.00    39.73P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          45   78  +17      79.76     1.28    17.56     0.00   100.00    21.06P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   77  +19      78.21     1.23    18.84     0.00    91.14    18.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             45   75  +18      76.93     1.26    18.83     0.00    71.97    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             45   75   +6      76.54     1.28     6.25     0.00    31.93     4.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          45   74   +8      74.77     1.14     6.96     0.00     4.74     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          44   69  +11      72.12     1.89    11.57     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   64   +2      65.44     1.32     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           45   63  -16      64.40     1.34   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   62   -4      64.29     1.73    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          43   57  -16      60.18     2.20   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        44   56   +2      58.94     1.80     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   54   -6      55.44     1.32    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   54   -6      55.67     1.31    -5.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            44   52   +1      54.88     1.82     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        45   52  -10      53.64     1.30    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   45   52  -21      53.31     1.31   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         45   50  -14      51.31     1.31   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.82R    0.00  
Grays              44   49   -1      51.51     1.76    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.45R    0.00  
Halifax            44   49   -9      51.64     1.86    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.38R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   48  -17      49.09     1.25   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.19R    0.00  
Southport          45   47   -9      47.84     1.16    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.17R    0.00  
St_Albans          45   37  -33      38.38     1.34   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10