Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 20 April 2007 at 21:41:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 April 2007, Blackburn vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   33   81  +54      91.39     2.45    60.96    86.78   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             33   78  +40      87.28     2.80    43.61    13.22   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           34   64  +30      72.65     2.27    34.93     0.00     0.00    88.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             34   62  +26      68.75     2.51    28.16     0.00     0.00    11.31    99.41   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.59     2.43    16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34    82.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.40     2.47    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    69.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.37     2.51     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.83     3.00     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    31.68     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.60     2.52     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.70     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           33   43   -7      49.78     2.90    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.76     2.54    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.90     2.50    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        34   41  -11      45.13     2.35   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       34   39   -7      43.94     2.39    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.05     2.37   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.16R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.36     2.26   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.39R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         34   34  -20      39.34     2.50   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.02R    0.01  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.94     2.30   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.45R    0.10  
West_Ham            34   29  -31      31.71     2.07   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R    8.31  
Watford             34   23  -31      26.86     2.33   -33.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 April 2007, Derby vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.94     2.24    26.18    68.88    91.05   100.00    93.81P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.47     1.74    17.15    10.21    46.99   100.00    61.16P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   80  +23      84.70     2.26    23.92    20.91    61.97   100.00    73.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.78     2.27    13.98     0.00     0.00    79.72    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.26     2.18    20.98     0.00     0.00    77.44    20.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.33     2.23    -0.62     0.00     0.00    52.94     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.46     2.21    20.95     0.00     0.00    48.90    14.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.23     2.11    22.48     0.00     0.00    29.71     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.27     2.23    16.26     0.00     0.00     7.88     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.76     2.17     4.97     0.00     0.00     2.71     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.60     2.23     8.73     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.96     2.23     5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.78     2.25    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.42     2.29     3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -13      59.39     2.25   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.08     2.13     4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.83     2.09   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.35     2.19   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Leicester        43   47  -14      50.40     2.19   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.24     2.13   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.58R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.83     2.03   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.15R    0.00  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.36     1.96   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.16R    0.00  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.84     2.00   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.10R    5.17  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.08     1.77   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.83  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.07     2.22    36.36    98.34   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.15     2.24    22.55     1.66    80.11   100.00    85.83P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.79     2.22    21.53     0.00    16.98    99.97    39.72P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.16     2.25    21.11     0.00     2.92    98.95    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.22     2.26    13.61     0.00     0.00    85.89    18.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.25     2.27    22.66     0.00     0.00    80.12    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.35     2.12     4.00     0.00     0.00    16.79     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.77     2.27    17.97     0.00     0.00    17.74     4.32P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.57     2.19     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.77     2.25    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.71     2.14     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.02     2.30     1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.24     2.20    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.40     2.22   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.29     2.21    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.22     2.16    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.14     2.29   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.44     2.15   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.25R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.65     2.23   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.38     2.24   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.95R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.13     2.29   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.49R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.41     2.12    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.86R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.12     2.09   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    2.96  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.30     1.92   -37.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.04  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 April 2007, Hartlepool vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.26     1.80    28.72    43.60   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      91.00     1.99    34.86    55.70   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.62     2.19    19.83     0.70    97.31   100.00    98.10P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.36     2.25    13.55     0.00     2.69   100.00    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.61     2.27     9.76     0.00     0.00    96.45    19.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.81     2.27     8.04     0.00     0.00    87.54    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.32     2.43    25.56     0.00     0.00    93.67    34.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.35     2.26     9.41     0.00     0.00     7.68     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.02     2.54     3.52     0.00     0.00    12.43     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.06     1.85     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.53     2.29     6.64     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.60     2.25    13.80     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.88     2.22    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.62     2.26   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.63     2.20    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.17     2.14   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.73     2.22    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.90     2.22    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.24     2.10   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.40     2.54   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.66     1.99   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.53R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.02     2.28   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.28R    0.44  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.23     2.25   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.55R    0.37  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.41     2.16   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 April 2007, Gravesend vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.13     1.76    46.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.72     1.73    33.44     0.00   100.00    40.23P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.25     1.82    16.75     0.00    93.16    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.27     1.85    18.77     0.00    84.14    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.78     1.81    18.14     0.00    78.91    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             44   72   +3      74.97     1.82     3.35     0.00    26.75     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          44   71   +7      73.83     1.69     7.09     0.00     8.03     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          43   68  +11      72.47     2.36    11.51     0.00     9.02     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   64   +3      67.22     1.89     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   62   -3      65.53     2.16    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.12     1.76   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          42   57  -13      61.62     2.59   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.83     1.82    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        43   53   +0      57.39     2.23     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   44   52  -19      53.90     1.64   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.12     2.25     1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.96     1.88    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.62     1.85   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.00  
Halifax            43   49   -7      52.87     2.28    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.67     1.82   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.86R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.94     2.20    -1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.15R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.98     1.72    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.48     1.81   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.55R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.10     1.75   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10