Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 19 April 2007 at 21:36:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 April 2007, Blackburn vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   33   81  +54      91.35     2.44    60.93    86.38   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             33   78  +40      87.35     2.81    43.70    13.62   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           34   64  +30      72.60     2.29    34.83     0.00     0.00    88.33   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             34   62  +26      68.71     2.55    28.13     0.00     0.00    11.68    99.54   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.57     2.44    16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22    81.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.36     2.47    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    68.59     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.37     2.48     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.75     2.98     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    31.57     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.64     2.53     5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.43     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           33   43   -7      49.71     2.94    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.74     2.55    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.88     2.50    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        34   41  -11      45.16     2.36   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       34   39   -7      43.93     2.39    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.07     2.38   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.41     2.25   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.99R    0.01  
Sheffield_U         34   34  -20      39.43     2.49   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.28R    0.00  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.97     2.32   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.74R    0.07  
West_Ham            34   29  -31      31.76     2.09   -36.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.72R    8.18  
Watford             34   23  -31      26.85     2.33   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.94     2.24    26.18    71.17    93.20   100.00    95.34P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   80  +23      84.70     2.25    23.91    21.48    69.50   100.00    78.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.69     2.10    17.47     7.36    37.26   100.00    53.18P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.83     2.26    14.06     0.00     0.04    80.17    17.91P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.24     2.17    20.93     0.00     0.00    77.06    20.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.36     2.23    -0.56     0.00     0.00    53.34     8.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.50     2.20    21.00     0.00     0.00    49.45    15.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.24     2.08    22.53     0.00     0.00    29.59     8.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.21     2.23    16.19     0.00     0.00     7.26     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.73     2.15     4.93     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.57     2.25     8.69     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      63.00     2.24     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.76     2.27    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.46     2.31     3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -13      59.39     2.22   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.11     2.15     4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.83     2.09   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.35     2.21   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Leicester        43   47  -14      50.34     2.16   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.92R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.25     2.11   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.92R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.82     2.02   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.99R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.32     1.93   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.57R    0.05  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.82     2.01   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R    9.20  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.70     2.07   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   90.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.10     2.23    36.38    98.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.11     2.22    22.48     1.72    79.78   100.00    85.37P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.77     2.24    21.48     0.00    17.23    99.96    39.45P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.17     2.24    21.12     0.00     2.96    98.99    27.66P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.22     2.23    13.59     0.00     0.02    86.42    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.29     2.27    22.69     0.00     0.00    80.26    21.04P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.33     2.11     3.99     0.00     0.00    16.05     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.78     2.27    17.98     0.00     0.00    17.68     4.41P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.57     2.19     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.77     2.26    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.72     2.15     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.05     2.31     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.26     2.20    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.41     2.24   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.35     2.22    -3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.20     2.14    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.09     2.29   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.41     2.13   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.62     2.22   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.38     2.24   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.09R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.20     2.28   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.70R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.39     2.12    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.19R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.14     2.08   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    2.73  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.25     1.89   -37.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.27  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.26     2.19    29.58    58.62   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      91.02     1.99    34.88    40.92   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.59     2.17    19.79     0.46    97.21   100.00    98.03P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.37     2.25    13.57     0.00     2.79   100.00    25.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.61     2.29     9.76     0.00     0.00    96.42    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.81     2.28     8.05     0.00     0.00    87.69    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.33     2.45    25.60     0.00     0.00    93.33    34.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.32     2.24     9.35     0.00     0.00     7.21     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.07     2.54     3.58     0.00     0.00    12.29     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.59     2.29     6.72     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.78     2.19     2.55     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.58     2.23    13.77     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.93     2.23    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.62     2.25   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.57     2.19    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.16     2.14   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.73     2.23    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.88     2.19    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.22     2.12   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.39     2.54   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.66     1.97   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.46R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.03     2.29   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.48R    0.41  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.23     2.26   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.42R    0.34  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.40     2.17   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 April 2007, Gravesend vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.13     1.75    46.23   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.71     1.71    33.43     0.00   100.00    39.93P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.23     1.81    16.72     0.00    92.97    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.30     1.86    18.82     0.00    84.27    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.80     1.81    18.18     0.00    78.69    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             44   72   +3      74.99     1.83     3.37     0.00    27.23     3.88P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          44   71   +7      73.85     1.69     7.10     0.00     8.21     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          43   68  +11      72.45     2.35    11.48     0.00     8.62     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   64   +3      67.24     1.88     3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   62   -3      65.55     2.14    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.13     1.76   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          42   57  -13      61.55     2.57   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.84     1.81    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        43   53   +0      57.42     2.27     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   44   52  -19      53.91     1.63   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.10     2.24     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.92     1.87    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.63     1.85   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    0.00  
Halifax            43   49   -7      52.93     2.30    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.31R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.69     1.80   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.23R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.91     2.20    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.33R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.97     1.74    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.64R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.44     1.82   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.48R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.09     1.76   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10