Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 18 April 2007 at 21:34:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 April 2007, Blackburn vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   33   81  +54      91.42     2.43    61.05    86.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             33   78  +40      87.32     2.83    43.65    13.01   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           34   64  +30      72.63     2.26    34.86     0.00     0.00    88.50    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             34   62  +26      68.78     2.52    28.20     0.00     0.00    11.50    99.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.57     2.42    16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27    81.93     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.35     2.45    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    68.45     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.33     2.48     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.85     3.00     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    32.13     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.65     2.52     5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.46     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           33   43   -7      49.71     2.93    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.80     2.56    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.86     2.49    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        34   41  -11      45.14     2.37   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       34   39   -7      43.89     2.40    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.11     2.36   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.96R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.40     2.27   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.75R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         34   34  -20      39.33     2.49   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.89R    0.00  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.95     2.32   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.55R    0.07  
West_Ham            34   29  -31      31.73     2.09   -36.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.81R    8.46  
Watford             34   23  -31      26.85     2.34   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.96     2.26    26.22    71.47    93.33   100.00    95.30P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   80  +23      84.66     2.24    23.84    21.09    69.33   100.00    78.24P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.69     2.11    17.49     7.43    37.34   100.00    53.65P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.85     2.25    14.09     0.00     0.00    80.25    18.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.23     2.17    20.92     0.00     0.00    77.05    20.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.33     2.26    -0.60     0.00     0.00    52.78     7.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.48     2.20    20.97     0.00     0.00    49.05    14.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.25     2.09    22.52     0.00     0.00    29.95     8.09P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.24     2.20    16.22     0.00     0.00     7.26     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.72     2.19     4.92     0.00     0.00     2.86     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.60     2.23     8.72     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.92     2.24     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.73     2.26    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.41     2.31     3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -13      59.39     2.23   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.11     2.15     4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.86     2.09   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.38     2.20   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Leicester        43   47  -14      50.39     2.17   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.24     2.11   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.83     2.04   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.55R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.36     1.93   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.63R    0.06  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.86     2.01   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.27R    8.62  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.63     2.05   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   91.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.08     2.24    36.37    98.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.13     2.21    22.50     1.72    80.42   100.00    86.05P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.72     2.24    21.41     0.00    16.57    99.98    39.24P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.14     2.25    21.09     0.00     3.00    98.98    27.43P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.20     2.26    13.59     0.00     0.01    85.86    18.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.20     2.28    22.58     0.00     0.00    79.43    20.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.35     2.11     4.02     0.00     0.00    16.79     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.78     2.26    17.97     0.00     0.00    18.27     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.57     2.18     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.82     2.27    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.73     2.15     3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      61.98     2.31     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.28     2.21    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.44     2.24   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.28     2.22    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.22     2.17    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.13     2.28   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.48     2.15   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.62     2.21   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.67R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.37     2.25   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.28R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.10     2.29   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.88R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.46     2.13    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.57R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.13     2.07   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.08  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.31     1.93   -37.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.92  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.24     2.20    29.56    58.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.98     2.01    34.82    41.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.58     2.18    19.80     0.43    97.36   100.00    98.16P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.34     2.25    13.49     0.00     2.64   100.00    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.59     2.27     9.71     0.00     0.00    96.30    18.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.81     2.26     8.05     0.00     0.00    87.53    18.62P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.28     2.45    25.50     0.00     0.00    93.42    34.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.35     2.26     9.40     0.00     0.00     7.59     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.04     2.53     3.57     0.00     0.00    12.21     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.55     2.29     6.65     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.78     2.16     2.55     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.59     2.22    13.78     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.91     2.21    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.62     2.25   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.64     2.19    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.20     2.15   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.75     2.20    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.88     2.20    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.21     2.11   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.41     2.56   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.73     2.01   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.86R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.08     2.28   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.72R    0.41  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.17     2.25   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.80R    0.45  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.39     2.17   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Stafford_Rangers vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.15     1.75    46.30   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.70     1.71    33.42     0.00   100.00    39.51P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.22     1.82    16.72     0.00    93.62    19.10P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.29     1.85    18.78     0.00    85.17    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.82     1.80    18.20     0.00    80.93    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             44   72   +3      74.95     1.82     3.32     0.00    27.09     4.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          43   68  +11      72.43     2.35    11.44     0.00     8.93     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.55     2.17     4.55     0.00     4.26     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   64   +3      67.22     1.90     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   62   -3      65.53     2.16    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.13     1.77   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          41   57  -10      62.68     2.91   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.78     1.82    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        43   53   +0      57.41     2.27     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   44   52  -19      53.92     1.64   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.08     2.23     1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.91     1.88    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.63     1.85   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.69R    0.00  
Halifax            43   49   -7      52.92     2.29    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.14R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.69     1.83   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.57R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.97     2.21    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.89R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.96     1.72    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.83R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.45     1.81   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.64R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.11     1.79   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10