Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 18 April 2007 at 21:10:33 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 April 2007, Blackburn vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   33   81  +54      91.41     2.44    61.05    87.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             33   78  +40      87.32     2.79    43.63    12.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           34   64  +30      72.58     2.29    34.81     0.00     0.00    88.16   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             34   62  +26      68.76     2.53    28.23     0.00     0.00    11.85    99.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.57     2.45    16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30    81.99     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.31     2.49    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    67.69     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.36     2.52     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.81     3.00     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    32.04     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.63     2.52     5.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.45     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           33   43   -7      49.77     2.92    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.77     2.51    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.87     2.51    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        34   41  -11      45.14     2.36   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       34   39   -7      43.91     2.40    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.12     2.38   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.98R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.38     2.26   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.16R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         34   34  -20      39.33     2.49   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.13R    0.01  
Charlton            34   32  -21      36.01     2.32   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.91R    0.05  
West_Ham            34   29  -31      31.76     2.08   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.80R    8.56  
Watford             34   23  -31      26.86     2.35   -33.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   91.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.96     2.23    26.19    70.94    93.28   100.00    95.27P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   80  +23      84.71     2.23    23.92    21.55    69.54   100.00    79.12P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.71     2.11    17.51     7.51    37.16   100.00    53.44P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.77     2.25    14.00     0.00     0.01    79.42    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.25     2.17    20.95     0.00     0.00    77.04    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.39     2.24    -0.51     0.00     0.00    54.10     8.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.46     2.21    20.94     0.00     0.00    48.33    15.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.29     2.08    22.58     0.00     0.00    30.36     8.26P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.25     2.24    16.24     0.00     0.00     7.51     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.70     2.16     4.90     0.00     0.00     2.51     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.60     2.23     8.73     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.94     2.26     5.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.78     2.27    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.39     2.30     3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -13      59.39     2.22   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.10     2.16     4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.83     2.08   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.32     2.17   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        43   47  -14      50.36     2.16   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.93R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.25     2.13   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.63R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.86     2.03   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.04R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.36     1.93   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.05R    0.06  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.81     2.01   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.28R    8.73  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.67     2.06   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   91.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.11     2.24    36.40    98.38   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.13     2.20    22.51     1.62    80.19   100.00    85.77P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.80     2.23    21.56     0.00    16.92    99.97    39.89P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.17     2.25    21.12     0.00     2.88    99.22    27.32P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.23     2.23    13.62     0.00     0.01    86.25    19.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.26     2.25    22.66     0.00     0.00    80.19    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.29     2.11     3.95     0.00     0.00    15.88     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.77     2.27    17.97     0.00     0.00    17.88     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.58     2.20     5.75     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.83     2.25    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.71     2.13     3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.03     2.30     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.21     2.19    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.41     2.23   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.30     2.22    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.24     2.13    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.14     2.29   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.41     2.14   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.62     2.23   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.09R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.39     2.24   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.30R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.08     2.26   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.81R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.42     2.11    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.04R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.13     2.07   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.12  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.29     1.93   -37.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.88  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.20     2.21    29.52    58.30   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.99     2.00    34.84    41.39   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.62     2.18    19.84     0.32    97.48   100.00    98.31P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.38     2.25    13.58     0.00     2.52   100.00    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.60     2.28     9.71     0.00     0.00    96.44    18.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.81     2.26     8.05     0.00     0.00    87.83    17.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.32     2.41    25.56     0.00     0.00    93.54    34.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.29     2.26     9.34     0.00     0.00     7.22     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.07     2.54     3.60     0.00     0.00    12.06     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.53     2.26     6.64     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.80     2.18     2.59     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.63     2.24    13.86     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.92     2.21    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.65     2.26   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.59     2.18    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.16     2.13   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.75     2.23    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.83     2.19    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.22     2.11   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.38     2.56   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.71     1.97   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.20R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.08     2.29   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.74R    0.36  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.19     2.27   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.32R    0.41  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.39     2.18   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Stafford_Rangers vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.16     1.75    46.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.72     1.71    33.43     0.00   100.00    40.17P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.23     1.82    16.72     0.00    93.81    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.31     1.84    18.84     0.00    85.82    18.52P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.78     1.81    18.14     0.00    80.00    16.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             44   72   +3      74.95     1.83     3.32     0.00    27.30     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          43   68  +11      72.40     2.35    11.41     0.00     8.96     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.52     2.16     4.53     0.00     4.11     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   64   +3      67.24     1.89     3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   62   -3      65.50     2.16    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.11     1.75   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          41   57  -10      62.68     2.90   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.78     1.83    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        43   53   +0      57.42     2.24     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   44   52  -19      53.90     1.63   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.11     2.24     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.93     1.88    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.62     1.85   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.04R    0.00  
Halifax            43   49   -7      52.89     2.28    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.42R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.68     1.82   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.68R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.96     2.18    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.66R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.98     1.73    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.33R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.45     1.81   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.58R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.14     1.78   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10