Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 18 April 2007 at 20:34:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Manchester_United vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   33   81  +54      91.38     2.44    60.89    89.28   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.53     3.03    41.83    10.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             34   62  +26      68.74     2.53    28.19     0.00     0.00    16.12    99.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           33   61  +28      72.04     2.51    34.49     0.00     0.00    83.88    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.51     2.44    16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27    81.92     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.37     2.47    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    69.33     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.37     2.50     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.26     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.75     2.98     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    31.07     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.64     2.52     5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.11     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.77     2.51    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.93     2.49    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        34   41  -11      45.18     2.36   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.88     3.21    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       33   39   -5      44.42     2.56    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.01     2.38   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.39     2.28   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.45R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         34   34  -20      39.36     2.50   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.99R    0.02  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.96     2.32   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.82R    0.21  
West_Ham            33   29  -28      32.34     2.32   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.98R   10.39  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.44     2.59   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   89.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.96     2.24    26.21    70.78    93.33   100.00    95.36P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   80  +23      84.73     2.25    23.95    21.96    69.87   100.00    78.72P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.69     2.11    17.49     7.25    36.80   100.00    53.62P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.76     2.24    13.98     0.00     0.00    79.74    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.24     2.20    20.93     0.00     0.00    77.08    20.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.33     2.26    -0.61     0.00     0.00    52.74     7.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.50     2.19    20.98     0.00     0.00    49.41    15.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.26     2.09    22.56     0.00     0.00    30.54     8.58P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.20     2.21    16.17     0.00     0.00     7.22     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.71     2.18     4.90     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.55     2.23     8.66     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.97     2.24     5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.75     2.26    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.48     2.31     3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -13      59.37     2.22   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.09     2.15     4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.83     2.07   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.36     2.18   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        43   47  -14      50.38     2.16   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.56R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.26     2.13   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.45R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.84     2.03   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.86R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.34     1.94   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.78R    0.04  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.83     2.03   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.23R    9.04  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.69     2.06   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   90.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.04     2.25    36.33    98.31   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.13     2.22    22.52     1.70    80.50   100.00    85.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.80     2.21    21.52     0.00    16.59    99.94    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.17     2.25    21.13     0.00     2.90    99.16    27.48P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.21     2.24    13.59     0.00     0.01    85.85    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.27     2.27    22.69     0.00     0.00    80.12    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.31     2.12     3.95     0.00     0.00    16.06     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.81     2.27    18.02     0.00     0.00    18.28     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.63     2.20     5.80     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.82     2.26    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.70     2.13     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.04     2.31     1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.19     2.18    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.39     2.24   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.33     2.21    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.21     2.14    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.09     2.30   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.44     2.15   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.13R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.63     2.24   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.18R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.40     2.24   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.04R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.12     2.28   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.05R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.42     2.12    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.06R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.12     2.09   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.17  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.31     1.93   -37.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.83  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.22     2.19    29.52    58.60   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.98     2.00    34.82    40.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.61     2.18    19.82     0.41    97.19   100.00    98.06P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.41     2.26    13.61     0.00     2.81   100.00    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.61     2.28     9.75     0.00     0.00    96.42    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.79     2.27     8.05     0.00     0.00    87.27    17.58P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.30     2.43    25.58     0.00     0.00    93.43    34.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.33     2.27     9.39     0.00     0.00     7.46     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.07     2.55     3.60     0.00     0.00    12.70     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.51     2.29     6.62     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.86     2.18     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.61     2.23    13.84     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.89     2.21    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.58     2.25   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.63     2.17    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.19     2.15   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.73     2.23    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.91     2.20    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.21     2.11   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.37     2.55   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.69     1.99   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.07     2.30   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.36R    0.36  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.18     2.27   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.03R    0.35  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.43     2.17   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Burton vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.16     1.75    46.30   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.72     1.71    33.46     0.00   100.00    39.35P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.27     1.81    16.77     0.00    94.24    19.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.30     1.85    18.80     0.00    85.67    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.80     1.81    18.15     0.00    80.74    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             44   72   +3      74.92     1.82     3.28     0.00    26.36     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          43   68  +11      72.43     2.35    11.45     0.00     9.05     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.51     2.14     4.51     0.00     3.93     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   64   +3      67.23     1.90     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   62   -3      65.48     2.13    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.13     1.76   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          41   57  -10      62.69     2.92   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.76     1.83    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        43   53   +0      57.46     2.24     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   44   52  -19      53.90     1.64   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.14     2.23     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.94     1.88    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.62     1.87   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.00R    0.00  
Halifax            43   49   -7      52.86     2.28    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.67     1.83   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.75R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.94     2.21    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.01R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.97     1.73    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.14R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.48     1.81   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.31R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.14     1.78   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10