Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 17 April 2007 at 22:54:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Manchester_United vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   33   81  +54      91.42     2.46    60.95    89.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.49     3.04    41.77    10.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             34   62  +26      68.75     2.52    28.22     0.00     0.00    16.25    99.42   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           33   61  +28      72.03     2.53    34.49     0.00     0.00    83.75    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.51     2.43    16.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    81.50     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.38     2.49    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    69.18     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.36     2.49     3.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.81     2.98     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    31.96     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.64     2.52     5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.29     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.76     2.51    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.86     2.50    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        34   41  -11      45.18     2.37   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.81     3.17    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       33   39   -5      44.43     2.57    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.04     2.36   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.67R    0.01  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.42     2.26   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.85R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         34   34  -20      39.31     2.49   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.32R    0.03  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.96     2.31   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.31R    0.26  
West_Ham            33   29  -28      32.32     2.32   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.93R   10.34  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.49     2.58   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   89.36  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.92     2.26    26.18    71.22    93.41   100.00    95.23P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   80  +23      84.69     2.25    23.89    21.56    69.26   100.00    78.55P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.69     2.11    17.47     7.22    37.31   100.00    53.83P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.81     2.27    14.02     0.00     0.01    79.94    18.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.21     2.17    20.89     0.00     0.00    76.89    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.35     2.25    -0.60     0.00     0.00    53.31     8.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.51     2.21    20.99     0.00     0.00    49.55    15.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.23     2.09    22.55     0.00     0.00    29.82     8.34P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.20     2.23    16.16     0.00     0.00     7.27     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.72     2.16     4.94     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.58     2.24     8.72     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.95     2.24     5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.79     2.26    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.40     2.31     3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -13      59.40     2.23   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   54   +4      58.14     2.18     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.85     2.09   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.34     2.18   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        43   47  -14      50.36     2.17   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.61R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.24     2.11   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.39R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.83     2.05   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.58R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.38     1.96   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.95R    0.04  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.83     2.01   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.35R    9.27  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.67     2.05   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   90.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.04     2.23    36.32    98.31   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.13     2.22    22.52     1.69    80.78   100.00    85.96P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.74     2.23    21.46     0.00    16.33    99.95    38.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.16     2.25    21.13     0.00     2.88    99.07    27.32P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.24     2.25    13.64     0.00     0.00    86.05    19.68P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.29     2.27    22.71     0.00     0.00    80.44    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.33     2.12     3.99     0.00     0.00    15.92     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.80     2.26    18.00     0.00     0.00    17.86     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.60     2.19     5.76     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.82     2.28    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.72     2.11     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.05     2.31     1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.23     2.20    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.36     2.21   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.31     2.21    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.20     2.12    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.10     2.30   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.50     2.15   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.13R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.64     2.23   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.86R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.42     2.27   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.24R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.10     2.25   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.42     2.10    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.23R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.12     2.06   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    2.92  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.26     1.92   -37.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.08  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.24     2.20    29.58    59.14   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.99     2.00    34.82    40.48   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.66     2.19    19.87     0.38    97.24   100.00    98.03P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.36     2.25    13.52     0.00     2.76   100.00    25.32P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.60     2.28     9.74     0.00     0.00    96.26    18.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.82     2.28     8.06     0.00     0.00    87.80    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.30     2.43    25.54     0.00     0.00    93.58    34.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.30     2.26     9.34     0.00     0.00     7.20     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.04     2.52     3.56     0.00     0.00    12.31     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.55     2.27     6.66     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.79     2.17     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.60     2.26    13.79     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.91     2.23    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.67     2.26   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.58     2.16    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.16     2.15   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.72     2.21    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.83     2.19    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.24     2.11   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.40     2.56   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.70     1.99   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.11R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.07     2.30   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.55R    0.40  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.20     2.26   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.72R    0.41  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.43     2.18   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2007, Burton vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.18     1.75    46.32   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.73     1.71    33.46     0.00   100.00    39.17P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.21     1.80    16.72     0.00    93.67    19.23P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.30     1.84    18.81     0.00    85.57    18.57P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.83     1.81    18.19     0.00    80.85    17.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             44   72   +3      74.97     1.82     3.34     0.00    26.84     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          43   68  +11      72.40     2.35    11.43     0.00     8.82     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.52     2.17     4.53     0.00     4.25     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   64   +3      67.23     1.89     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   62   -3      65.52     2.16    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.10     1.76   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          41   57  -10      62.70     2.89   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.78     1.83    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        43   53   +0      57.39     2.24     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   44   52  -19      53.89     1.63   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.11     2.25     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.96     1.87    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.63     1.85   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.53R    0.00  
Halifax            43   49   -7      52.84     2.29    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.79R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.65     1.82   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.86R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.98     2.21    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.55R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.94     1.71    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.97R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.48     1.81   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.27R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.16     1.79   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10