Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 17 April 2007 at 20:34:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Everton vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.13     2.56    61.80    87.69   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.58     3.06    41.89    12.30    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           33   61  +28      71.97     2.55    34.37     0.00     0.01    86.81    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             33   59  +24      67.93     2.79    27.33     0.00     0.00    13.19    98.19    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.57     2.45    16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93    82.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.33     2.47    -1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65    68.46     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.38     2.48     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.14     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.77     2.98     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27    31.41     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.66     2.52     5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.24     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.76     2.53    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.88     2.49    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        33   41   -9      45.71     2.57   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.86     3.18    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       33   39   -5      44.40     2.56    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.11     2.36   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.47R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.44     2.29   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.16R    0.01  
Sheffield_U         33   34  -18      39.49     2.57   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.55R    0.01  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.98     2.34   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.61R    0.26  
West_Ham            33   29  -28      32.29     2.31   -34.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.28R   10.31  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.44     2.59   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   89.42  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Sunderland vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.98     2.25    26.24    77.44    95.37   100.00    96.79P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.68     2.11    17.44     9.24    51.08   100.00    63.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   77  +22      83.35     2.61    23.29    13.31    53.47   100.00    67.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.75     2.25    13.95     0.00     0.08    79.52    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.29     2.18    21.00     0.00     0.01    77.46    20.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.38     2.23    -0.54     0.00     0.00    53.58     8.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.48     2.20    20.97     0.00     0.00    48.64    14.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.25     2.10    22.53     0.00     0.00    29.96     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.22     2.24    16.20     0.00     0.00     7.66     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.71     2.16     4.90     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.63     2.24     8.76     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.95     2.23     5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.80     2.26    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.40     2.31     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56  -10      60.43     2.54   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.82     2.08   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   +1      56.75     2.53     1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.32     2.16   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47  -13      51.45     2.51   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.31R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.26     2.14   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.59R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.83     2.03   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.03R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.34     1.95   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.47R    0.06  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.82     2.02   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R    9.02  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.69     2.07   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   90.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.11     2.22    36.40    98.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.13     2.21    22.52     1.48    80.59   100.00    86.28P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.75     2.22    21.46     0.00    16.49    99.98    39.91P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.14     2.23    21.08     0.00     2.90    99.07    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.27     2.24    13.65     0.00     0.01    86.77    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.22     2.28    22.60     0.00     0.00    79.68    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.29     2.11     3.95     0.00     0.00    16.00     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.78     2.26    17.98     0.00     0.00    17.93     3.96P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.59     2.18     5.77     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.79     2.25    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.73     2.11     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.04     2.30     1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.28     2.23    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.39     2.24   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.28     2.21    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.23     2.15    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.14     2.30   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.43     2.15   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.65     2.23   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.59R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.39     2.25   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.17R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.12     2.27   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.38R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.42     2.10    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.10     2.05   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    2.97  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.27     1.92   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.03  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.19     2.20    29.51    58.23   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      91.01     2.00    34.88    41.38   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.62     2.17    19.83     0.39    97.36   100.00    98.05P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.37     2.23    13.55     0.00     2.64   100.00    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.58     2.28     9.69     0.00     0.00    96.17    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.86     2.27     8.10     0.00     0.00    87.96    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.30     2.45    25.54     0.00     0.00    93.31    33.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.34     2.26     9.38     0.00     0.00     7.54     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.07     2.53     3.61     0.00     0.00    12.29     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.54     2.27     6.66     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.84     2.19     2.62     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.62     2.23    13.81     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.88     2.24    -1.22     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.57     2.25   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.64     2.18    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.20     2.14   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.74     2.21    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.87     2.19    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.27     2.11   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.33     2.54   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.66     1.97   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.31R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.10     2.30   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.15R    0.40  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.22     2.28   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.81R    0.35  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.36     2.17   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Weymouth vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.18     1.75    46.34   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.70     1.70    33.43     0.00   100.00    39.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.28     1.82    16.76     0.00    96.58    19.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.32     1.84    18.84     0.00    90.84    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.85     1.81    18.24     0.00    88.17    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             43   69   +2      73.43     2.24     2.51     0.00    13.69     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.49     2.16     4.49     0.00     4.65     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          42   65  +10      71.00     2.72    10.76     0.00     6.05     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          43   63   +3      67.60     2.31     3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.11     1.76   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   61   -3      65.89     2.57    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          40   57   -8      64.24     3.25    -9.46     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.74     1.82    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        42   53   +1      58.58     2.64     1.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.15     2.26     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.94     1.88    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.60     1.85   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.00  
Halifax            42   49   -6      54.04     2.63    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.63     1.81   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.38R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   43   49  -21      52.19     2.11   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.82R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.93     2.21    -1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.32R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.95     1.73    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.99R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.48     1.81   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.13     1.76   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10