Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 16 April 2007 at 20:34:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Everton vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.15     2.55    61.81    87.82   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.54     3.05    41.84    12.18    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           33   61  +28      72.00     2.55    34.47     0.00     0.01    87.11    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             33   59  +24      67.87     2.81    27.24     0.00     0.00    12.88    98.14    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.52     2.46    16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99    81.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.30     2.46    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56    67.92     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.39     2.51     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.85     3.01     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32    32.50     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.63     2.54     5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.59     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.79     2.56    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.90     2.49    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        33   41   -9      45.74     2.57   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.80     3.22    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       33   39   -5      44.38     2.56    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.05     2.36   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.87R    0.01  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.41     2.27   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.00R    0.01  
Sheffield_U         33   34  -18      39.55     2.58   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.05R    0.03  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.99     2.34   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.06R    0.21  
West_Ham            33   29  -28      32.32     2.30   -34.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R   10.60  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.48     2.58   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   89.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Sunderland vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.99     2.23    26.26    77.72    95.47   100.00    96.83P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.73     2.09    17.52     8.95    52.49   100.00    64.35P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   77  +22      83.32     2.64    23.23    13.32    51.85    99.99    66.44P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.76     2.25    13.98     0.00     0.14    79.77    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.28     2.15    21.01     0.00     0.04    78.22    20.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.35     2.23    -0.60     0.00     0.00    53.53     7.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.42     2.21    20.89     0.00     0.00    48.23    14.70P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.19     2.10    22.43     0.00     0.00    29.32     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.23     2.24    16.23     0.00     0.00     7.50     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.69     2.17     4.88     0.00     0.00     2.62     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.61     2.27     8.74     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.96     2.23     5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.81     2.28    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.40     2.33     3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56  -10      60.46     2.55   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.87     2.08   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   +1      56.77     2.54     1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.36     2.18   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47  -13      51.45     2.50   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.23     2.13   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.84R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.83     2.04   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.84R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.31     1.93   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.72R    0.04  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.86     2.03   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.15R    8.87  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.66     2.06   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   91.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Oldham vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.10     2.23    36.40    98.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.15     2.22    22.54     1.72    80.30   100.00    85.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.79     2.23    21.52     0.00    16.75    99.94    39.06P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.17     2.25    21.11     0.00     2.95    99.12    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.25     2.24    13.63     0.00     0.01    86.47    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.28     2.26    22.69     0.00     0.00    80.31    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.29     2.12     3.94     0.00     0.00    15.62     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.77     2.27    17.96     0.00     0.00    17.91     4.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.59     2.18     5.75     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.79     2.26    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.74     2.13     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.02     2.31     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.26     2.20    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.42     2.22   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.32     2.21    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.25     2.16    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.11     2.30   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.43     2.15   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.21R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.61     2.22   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.40     2.24   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.84R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.11     2.29   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.53R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.40     2.12    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.07R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.10     2.07   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    2.99  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.25     1.90   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.01  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.20     2.19    29.53    58.38   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.96     2.01    34.79    41.19   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.62     2.18    19.84     0.43    97.56   100.00    98.33P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.34     2.23    13.49     0.00     2.44   100.00    25.14P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.61     2.29     9.75     0.00     0.00    96.44    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.84     2.26     8.12     0.00     0.00    87.70    18.11P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.27     2.45    25.50     0.00     0.00    93.23    34.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.36     2.25     9.41     0.00     0.00     7.63     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.03     2.53     3.56     0.00     0.00    12.23     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.54     2.28     6.65     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.79     2.19     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.63     2.23    13.84     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.92     2.22    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.61     2.26   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.62     2.19    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.18     2.15   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.73     2.21    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.91     2.21    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.22     2.11   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.42     2.52   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.66     1.98   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.16R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.06     2.29   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.24R    0.42  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.20     2.26   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.02R    0.37  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.42     2.16   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Weymouth vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.15     1.77    46.26   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.76     1.70    33.51     0.00   100.00    39.78P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.23     1.82    16.71     0.00    96.28    20.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.30     1.86    18.81     0.00    90.34    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.79     1.80    18.16     0.00    87.72    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             43   69   +2      73.52     2.26     2.60     0.00    14.86     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.49     2.16     4.50     0.00     4.68     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          42   65  +10      71.01     2.73    10.76     0.00     6.11     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          43   63   +3      67.55     2.30     3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.12     1.76   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   61   -3      65.92     2.56    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          40   57   -8      64.23     3.26    -9.48     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.72     1.82    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        42   53   +1      58.55     2.64     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.05     2.24     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.94     1.88    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.63     1.85   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.00  
Halifax            42   49   -6      54.06     2.64    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.66     1.82   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.06R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   43   49  -21      52.18     2.10   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.07R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.99     2.21    -1.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.36R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.99     1.73    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.80R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.48     1.81   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.06R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.14     1.77   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10