Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 15 April 2007 at 20:35:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Everton vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.12     2.59    61.85    87.40   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.62     3.01    41.95    12.60   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           33   61  +28      72.03     2.54    34.49     0.00     0.00    86.83    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             33   59  +24      68.02     2.78    27.46     0.00     0.00    13.16    98.28    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton             34   54  +16      59.54     2.47    16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84    81.78     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.37     2.48    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.63    69.89     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.37     2.49     3.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.11     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           33   49   -1      56.75     2.96     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28    30.99     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.58     2.53     5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.75     2.53    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.89     2.50    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        33   41   -9      45.69     2.58   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.86     3.20    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       33   39   -5      44.38     2.55    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wigan               34   35  -17      40.08     2.39   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.57R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.37     2.26   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.07R    0.01  
Sheffield_U         33   34  -18      39.46     2.58   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.92R    0.01  
Charlton            34   32  -21      35.99     2.32   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.47R    0.29  
West_Ham            33   29  -28      32.28     2.31   -34.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.05R   10.96  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.50     2.57   -32.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   88.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Sunderland vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      87.03     2.24    26.29    78.00    95.28   100.00    96.67P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.69     2.10    17.46     8.41    51.95   100.00    64.31P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   77  +22      83.33     2.64    23.28    13.59    52.65   100.00    66.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.79     2.27    14.00     0.00     0.10    79.97    17.77P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.25     2.17    20.94     0.00     0.01    77.25    20.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.33     2.23    -0.63     0.00     0.01    52.84     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.49     2.21    21.00     0.00     0.00    49.48    15.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.22     2.10    22.47     0.00     0.00    29.71     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.21     2.23    16.18     0.00     0.00     7.38     1.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.69     2.18     4.87     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.61     2.24     8.75     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.98     2.26     5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.82     2.25    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.38     2.32     3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56  -10      60.48     2.56   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.87     2.08   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   +1      56.73     2.52     1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.33     2.18   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47  -13      51.43     2.51   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.44R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.27     2.13   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.28R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.84     2.05   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.62R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.32     1.92   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.80R    0.04  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.81     2.00   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.69R    8.77  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.66     2.06   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   91.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Scunthorpe vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.07     2.23    36.36    98.41   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.11     2.21    22.48     1.59    79.42   100.00    85.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.82     2.23    21.58     0.00    17.68    99.98    40.64P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.18     2.27    21.13     0.00     2.88    99.06    27.20P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.25     2.22    13.65     0.00     0.01    86.69    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.24     2.26    22.64     0.00     0.00    79.53    20.42P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.33     2.13     3.98     0.00     0.00    16.45     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.78     2.27    17.98     0.00     0.00    17.77     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.60     2.20     5.77     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.78     2.24    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.70     2.15     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.05     2.28     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.22     2.18    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.35     2.21   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.32     2.22    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.23     2.16    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.14     2.29   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.45     2.14   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.61     2.23   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.07R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.35     2.25   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.28R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.14     2.27   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.24R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.39     2.11    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.78R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.12     2.07   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.17  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.30     1.93   -37.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.83  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.22     2.21    29.56    58.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.96     2.00    34.79    40.63   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.63     2.18    19.85     0.43    97.53   100.00    98.29P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.37     2.24    13.55     0.00     2.46   100.00    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.62     2.28     9.76     0.00     0.00    96.43    19.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.80     2.26     8.02     0.00     0.00    87.83    17.59P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   64  +21      72.31     2.44    25.55     0.00     0.00    93.22    34.60P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.37     2.25     9.44     0.00     0.00     7.67     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.05     2.52     3.56     0.00     0.00    12.20     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.56     2.27     6.67     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.82     2.18     2.61     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.59     2.25    13.79     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.87     2.22    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.57     2.26   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.60     2.19    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.20     2.14   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   52   -5      55.69     2.20    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.89     2.19    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.22     2.10   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.41     2.56   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.70     1.98   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.11R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.06     2.28   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.95R    0.45  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.22     2.26   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.33R    0.34  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.40     2.16   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Woking vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.16     1.76    46.30   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.74     1.72    33.48     0.00   100.00    39.92P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.24     1.82    16.73     0.00    96.64    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.32     1.86    18.84     0.00    90.68    18.99P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.82     1.81    18.17     0.00    87.82    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             43   69   +2      73.45     2.26     2.52     0.00    13.79     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.49     2.17     4.49     0.00     4.97     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          42   65  +10      70.99     2.74    10.73     0.00     6.08     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          43   63   +3      67.56     2.29     3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.11     1.75   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   61   -3      65.90     2.53    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          40   57   -8      64.28     3.27    -9.41     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.75     1.82    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        42   53   +1      58.58     2.63     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.13     2.23     1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.96     1.88    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.64     1.85   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.12R    0.00  
Halifax            42   49   -6      54.03     2.62    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.67     1.82   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.27R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   43   49  -21      52.17     2.10   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.13R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.95     2.22    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.45R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.97     1.72    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.50R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.46     1.81   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.13R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.14     1.78   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10