Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 14 April 2007 at 20:34:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Portsmouth vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.08     2.56    61.79    87.61   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.56     3.08    41.88    12.39   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           33   61  +28      72.00     2.53    34.44     0.00     0.01    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             33   59  +24      68.03     2.80    27.50     0.00     0.00    98.06    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.36     2.47    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.54    69.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.87     2.73    16.57     0.00     0.00     0.74    73.02     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.36     2.49     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.63     2.53     5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      57.04     3.30     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.70    37.43     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.79     2.54    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.91     2.49    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        33   41   -9      45.69     2.55   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.78     3.20    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       33   39   -5      44.40     2.54    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.43     2.27   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.88R    0.01  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.44     2.76   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         33   34  -18      39.50     2.56   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.94R    0.01  
Charlton            33   32  -20      36.52     2.53   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.49R    0.21  
West_Ham            33   29  -28      32.31     2.31   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.42R   10.34  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.47     2.55   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   89.42  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Sunderland vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      86.95     2.24    26.20    77.03    95.18   100.00    96.48P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.71     2.10    17.50     9.18    51.70   100.00    64.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   77  +22      83.37     2.64    23.33    13.79    52.99   100.00    67.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.78     2.25    14.00     0.00     0.12    79.68    17.43P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.29     2.16    21.03     0.00     0.02    77.98    20.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.34     2.25    -0.60     0.00     0.00    53.08     8.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.47     2.23    20.96     0.00     0.00    49.06    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.20     2.11    22.45     0.00     0.00    29.32     8.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.24     2.23    16.22     0.00     0.00     7.60     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.66     2.19     4.82     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.60     2.26     8.71     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.97     2.24     5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.76     2.27    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.39     2.32     3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56  -10      60.48     2.56   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.86     2.08   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   +1      56.75     2.52     1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.35     2.18   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47  -13      51.42     2.52   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.33R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.25     2.12   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.21R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.86     2.05   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.47R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.32     1.93   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.99R    0.04  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.84     2.01   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.89R    9.21  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.69     2.07   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   90.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Scunthorpe vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.09     2.22    36.39    98.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.12     2.22    22.51     1.58    80.42   100.00    85.89P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.79     2.23    21.52     0.00    16.56    99.95    39.68P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.20     2.25    21.16     0.00     3.02    99.11    27.80P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.21     2.24    13.58     0.00     0.01    85.85    18.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.31     2.25    22.70     0.00     0.00    80.76    21.06P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.32     2.11     3.96     0.00     0.00    15.90     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.80     2.26    18.00     0.00     0.00    17.86     4.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.56     2.19     5.71     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.82     2.26    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.75     2.13     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.01     2.32     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.25     2.20    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.39     2.23   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.30     2.20    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.15     2.14    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.10     2.31   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.47     2.15   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.63     2.20   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.62R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.38     2.26   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.12R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.12     2.27   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.33R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.40     2.10    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.25R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.12     2.08   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    2.94  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.29     1.93   -37.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.06  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Notts_County vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.24     2.19    29.55    59.24   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.97     2.00    34.81    40.34   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.65     2.19    19.87     0.41    97.23   100.00    98.11P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.36     2.25    13.53     0.00     2.77   100.00    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.64     2.28     9.79     0.00     0.00    96.62    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.79     2.28     8.05     0.00     0.00    87.89    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      72.91     2.75    25.90     0.00     0.00    94.45    34.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.30     2.25     9.36     0.00     0.00     7.26     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      66.98     2.50     3.49     0.00     0.00    11.07     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.55     2.29     6.66     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.81     2.18     2.61     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.63     2.24    13.85     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.90     2.22    -1.22     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.65     2.24   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.66     2.19    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.18     2.17   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.79     2.56    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.85     2.20    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.23     2.11   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.41     2.56   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.70     1.99   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.12R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.01     2.27   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.66R    0.51  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.23     2.28   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.59R    0.48  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.41     2.18   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.01  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Woking vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.14     1.76    46.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.73     1.71    33.48     0.00   100.00    38.95P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.22     1.82    16.71     0.00    96.39    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.30     1.86    18.82     0.00    90.33    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.83     1.83    18.18     0.00    87.52    18.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             43   69   +2      73.52     2.25     2.61     0.00    14.64     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.50     2.18     4.52     0.00     4.95     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          42   65  +10      71.00     2.73    10.74     0.00     6.16     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          43   63   +3      67.57     2.32     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.13     1.75   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   61   -3      65.97     2.58    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          40   57   -8      64.26     3.26    -9.44     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.76     1.84    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        42   53   +1      58.55     2.62     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.08     2.24     1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.97     1.88    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.61     1.86   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.18R    0.00  
Halifax            42   49   -6      54.00     2.64    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.65     1.82   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.57R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   43   49  -21      52.15     2.10   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.24R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.96     2.19    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.49R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.97     1.73    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.49     1.81   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.91R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.12     1.77   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10