Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 14 April 2007 at 19:13:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Portsmouth vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.13     2.55    61.88    87.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.54     3.06    41.84    12.03    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           33   61  +28      72.00     2.54    34.40     0.00     0.01    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             33   59  +24      67.97     2.79    27.41     0.00     0.00    98.25    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              34   54   -1      59.38     2.46    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.54    70.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.90     2.72    16.59     0.00     0.00     0.70    73.18     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          34   49   +5      53.32     2.49     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.59     0.00     0.00  
Reading             34   48   +4      54.65     2.52     5.80     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      57.01     3.30     0.15     0.00     0.00     0.53    36.77     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         34   42   -3      47.79     2.52    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           34   41   -6      45.86     2.49    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        33   41   -9      45.69     2.59   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.86     3.21    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       33   39   -5      44.39     2.56    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Fulham              34   35  -19      38.43     2.28   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.72R    0.01  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.43     2.75   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.20R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         33   34  -18      39.45     2.58   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.48R    0.03  
Charlton            33   32  -20      36.52     2.51   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.38R    0.24  
West_Ham            33   29  -28      32.35     2.32   -34.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.28R   10.52  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.48     2.57   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   89.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Sunderland vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       43   82  +25      87.00     2.24    26.27    77.79    95.45   100.00    96.88P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   78  +15      83.66     2.12    17.42     8.96    51.72   100.00    64.47P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   77  +22      83.30     2.61    23.23    13.25    52.73   100.00    66.82P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   71  +13      75.78     2.25    14.01     0.00     0.07    79.60    17.78P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    43   70  +19      75.26     2.17    20.97     0.00     0.02    77.48    20.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   70   -1      74.43     2.25    -0.50     0.00     0.01    54.91     8.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   68  +19      73.47     2.19    20.94     0.00     0.00    48.42    14.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   66  +19      72.22     2.11    22.47     0.00     0.00    29.18     7.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   66  +16      70.24     2.23    16.22     0.00     0.00     7.33     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   65   +4      69.64     2.16     4.81     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   64   +8      68.61     2.23     8.75     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   59   +6      62.96     2.23     5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   58   -3      62.83     2.29    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +3      61.34     2.31     3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56  -10      60.50     2.56   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53  -14      55.89     2.09   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   +1      56.75     2.53     1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   49  -13      52.32     2.18   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47  -13      51.41     2.49   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.51R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -26      50.24     2.13   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.21R    0.00  
Hull             43   45  -16      47.82     2.04   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.06R    0.01  
Leeds            43   45  -23      47.38     1.95   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.55R    0.04  
Southend         43   42  -27      44.83     2.02   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.59R    8.80  
Luton            43   37  -24      39.67     2.04   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   91.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Scunthorpe vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          43   85  +35      90.13     2.23    36.41    98.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        43   79  +21      84.13     2.21    22.53     1.47    79.81   100.00    85.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   43   75  +19      80.82     2.24    21.56     0.00    17.49    99.97    40.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           43   74  +21      78.13     2.26    21.07     0.00     2.71    99.11    27.31P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              43   70  +12      75.26     2.24    13.65     0.00     0.00    86.70    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              43   69  +21      74.23     2.28    22.62     0.00     0.00    79.89    20.30P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            43   68   +5      71.32     2.10     3.98     0.00     0.00    16.07     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             43   66  +17      70.77     2.24    17.97     0.00     0.00    17.68     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            43   63   +5      67.59     2.17     5.74     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            43   62   -2      65.79     2.27    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           43   59   +3      63.70     2.11     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           43   57   +0      62.07     2.28     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               43   55   -7      58.24     2.19    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          43   55  -20      58.38     2.20   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         43   54   -4      58.33     2.21    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            43   52   -7      55.21     2.13    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Huddersfield        43   52  -13      56.10     2.28   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth         43   51  -10      54.43     2.15   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.24R    0.00  
Cheltenham          43   50  -13      53.66     2.24   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       43   48  -14      51.38     2.26   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.15R    0.00  
Bradford            43   46  -13      50.10     2.27   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.81R    0.00  
Chesterfield        43   44   -9      47.43     2.13    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.62R    0.00  
Rotherham           43   38  -12      41.10     2.06   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    2.96  
Brentford           43   34  -35      36.27     1.91   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.05  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Notts_County vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       43   87  +28      92.20     2.19    29.52    58.26   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   85  +32      90.99     2.01    34.81    41.37   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     43   81  +19      85.59     2.19    19.79     0.38    97.33   100.00    98.15P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    43   75  +13      79.34     2.26    13.53     0.00     2.67   100.00    24.89P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   69   +9      73.62     2.29     9.77     0.00     0.00    96.45    19.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   67   +7      71.78     2.27     8.01     0.00     0.00    87.53    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      72.96     2.75    25.99     0.00     0.00    94.44    35.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   62   +9      66.35     2.26     9.40     0.00     0.00     7.02     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   62   +4      67.05     2.52     3.58     0.00     0.00    11.84     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   60   +6      64.57     2.30     6.70     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     43   60   +3      63.83     2.18     2.62     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   59  +13      63.60     2.23    13.77     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   -1      62.91     2.20    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   56  -10      59.59     2.25   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         43   54   -4      57.62     2.19    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   54  -21      57.16     2.16   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.82     2.55    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   50   -4      53.91     2.21    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       43   47   -9      50.25     2.11   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   47  -15      51.39     2.56   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Bury             43   45  -16      47.68     1.97   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.56R    0.00  
Wrexham          42   42  -25      46.07     2.28   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.59R    0.36  
Boston           43   42  -28      46.21     2.24   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.24R    0.33  
Torquay          43   33  -26      36.37     2.17   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2007, Woking vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          44   91  +44      95.16     1.76    46.31   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   78  +32      81.73     1.71    33.46     0.00   100.00    38.47P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          44   75  +16      78.22     1.83    16.70     0.00    96.28    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             44   74  +18      77.32     1.85    18.84     0.00    90.30    19.17P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   74  +18      76.81     1.81    18.18     0.00    87.62    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             43   69   +2      73.54     2.28     2.63     0.00    15.12     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          43   68   +4      72.49     2.18     4.47     0.00     4.76     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          42   65  +10      71.04     2.71    10.80     0.00     5.88     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          43   63   +3      67.55     2.31     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           44   62  -16      64.14     1.77   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   61   -3      65.96     2.56    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          40   57   -8      64.22     3.25    -9.48     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   54   -4      56.74     1.82    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        42   53   +1      58.53     2.63     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            43   51   +1      55.09     2.24     1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   51   -8      53.96     1.88    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   50  -13      52.64     1.84   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.72R    0.00  
Halifax            42   49   -6      54.02     2.61    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.86R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        44   49  -11      51.65     1.81   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.23R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   43   49  -21      52.19     2.13   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.07R    0.00  
Grays              43   48   -1      51.95     2.21    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.60R    0.00  
Southport          44   47   -8      48.96     1.72    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.80R    0.00  
Tamworth           44   45  -18      47.49     1.82   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.94R    0.00  
St_Albans          44   37  -32      39.14     1.78   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10