Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 13 April 2007 at 20:35:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Charlton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.08     2.59    61.61    87.91   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.48     3.06    41.77    12.09    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.86     2.87    35.12     0.00     0.07    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             32   56  +23      67.23     3.09    27.80     0.00     0.00    93.34    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              33   54   +0      59.91     2.69    -1.75     0.00     0.00     4.22    75.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.90     2.74    16.57     0.00     0.00     1.32    73.50     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      57.06     3.29     0.20     0.00     0.00     1.15    37.45     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          33   46   +4      52.22     2.84     3.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.54     0.00     0.00  
Reading             33   45   +3      53.92     2.82     6.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.87     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           33   41   -5      46.71     2.77    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.82     3.19    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        32   40   -9      45.59     2.83   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.29     2.93    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         33   39   -5      45.67     2.82    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham              33   35  -18      38.96     2.51   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.87R    0.00  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.35     2.76   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.46R    0.01  
Charlton            33   32  -20      36.48     2.49   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.89R    0.27  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.10     2.92   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.37R    0.67  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.44     2.69   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.59R    7.14  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.55     2.61   -32.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   91.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southampton vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       42   79  +24      86.17     2.56    26.50    61.34    90.15   100.00    93.06P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   78  +16      85.04     2.51    18.46    29.51    77.08   100.00    82.70P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   74  +21      82.01     2.96    22.76     9.07    31.51    99.33    50.89P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    42   70  +20      77.25     2.55    23.06     0.07     1.18    90.50    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   69   -1      74.30     2.55    -1.11     0.00     0.05    48.27     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   68   +9      74.02     2.61     9.81     0.00     0.04    47.73     9.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   67  +19      73.79     2.58    20.93     0.00     0.00    50.31    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +20      73.31     2.45    23.12     0.00     0.00    46.43    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   65  +16      70.78     2.63    16.48     0.00     0.00    13.33     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   63   +8      69.02     2.60     8.82     0.00     0.00     3.50     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   62   +3      67.41     2.50     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   58   +6      63.70     2.61     6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   55   -4      61.17     2.68    -2.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   +2      59.74     2.66     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53  -10      57.35     2.51   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   53  -11      58.51     2.87   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   51   +2      58.26     2.89     2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.96     2.43   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47  -12      53.33     2.89   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Hull             42   44  -16      47.98     2.41   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.41R    0.55  
Barnsley         42   44  -28      48.16     2.46   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.76R    1.35  
Leeds            42   42  -24      45.52     2.32   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.89R    8.58  
Southend         42   42  -25      46.59     2.44   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.14R    7.76  
Luton            42   37  -23      41.04     2.47   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.91R   81.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Tranmere vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          42   82  +33      89.36     2.53    35.79    97.71    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        42   76  +19      82.60     2.57    20.66     2.17    68.69    99.98    76.36P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   42   72  +17      79.73     2.57    20.26     0.09    21.70    99.08    41.89P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           42   71  +18      76.91     2.60    18.64     0.03     4.05    90.88    24.04P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              42   70  +14      76.43     2.56    15.47     0.00     3.08    89.42    23.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              42   69  +23      76.43     2.59    25.87     0.00     2.50    92.47    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             42   65  +17      71.49     2.65    18.45     0.00     0.01    22.66     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            42   65   +4      69.62     2.54     2.85     0.00     0.00     4.25     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            42   62   +5      67.85     2.60     5.58     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            42   61   -2      66.26     2.65    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           42   58   +3      64.10     2.53     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               42   55   -4      59.43     2.58    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         42   54   -1      59.33     2.51    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           42   54   -3      60.59     2.71    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            42   52   -6      56.91     2.55    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Huddersfield        42   52  -11      56.67     2.52   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Gillingham          42   52  -21      56.42     2.59   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Bournemouth         42   50  -10      54.58     2.51   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       42   47  -14      51.69     2.63   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham          42   47  -15      51.11     2.45   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.66R    0.00  
Chesterfield        42   44   -8      49.15     2.50    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.26R    0.01  
Bradford            42   43  -14      48.09     2.61   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.00R    0.01  
Rotherham           42   38  -11      42.60     2.49   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R    4.00  
Brentford           42   34  -33      37.09     2.25   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.98  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Stockport vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       42   84  +27      90.56     2.56    28.55    53.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   82  +31      89.63     2.40    34.21    44.84    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     42   78  +18      84.25     2.56    19.19     1.18    93.32   100.00    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    42   72  +12      78.19     2.61    13.19     0.00     5.52    99.69    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   69  +12      75.99     2.58    14.37     0.00     1.04    98.15    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        42   67   +9      73.47     2.65    10.48     0.00     0.13    88.75    18.51P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      73.00     2.76    26.05     0.00     0.03    88.97    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   62  +10      67.63     2.61    10.35     0.00     0.00    11.11     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   +4      67.39     2.87     3.56     0.00     0.00     9.25     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     42   60   +4      65.01     2.53     3.39     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59   +6      65.31     2.62     7.22     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   59   +0      63.82     2.57    -0.88     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   56  +12      61.99     2.62    12.84     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   55  -10      59.91     2.61   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   54  -18      58.19     2.51   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.78     2.55    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         42   51   -7      56.24     2.55    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   50   -3      55.27     2.60    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   45  -15      48.71     2.34   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Accrington       42   44  -12      48.94     2.52   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27R    0.01  
Macclesfield     41   44  -17      49.52     2.91   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.00  
Boston           42   42  -25      47.33     2.59   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.56R    0.20  
Wrexham          41   39  -28      43.39     2.51   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.89R    5.31  
Torquay          42   32  -26      36.51     2.52   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.70R   94.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2007, Northwich vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          43   88  +41      94.33     2.12    44.60   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   75  +30      80.84     2.14    32.61     0.00    99.42    37.48P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          43   75  +17      80.00     2.26    18.29     0.00    97.98    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   73  +18      77.72     2.23    18.96     0.00    88.98    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             43   71  +16      76.25     2.28    17.71     0.00    72.75    14.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          42   68   +8      74.52     2.57     9.53     0.00    29.91     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             42   66   -1      71.80     2.63    -0.46     0.00     6.05     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   63   +5      69.11     2.70     5.95     0.00     0.83     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          41   62   +7      69.87     3.04     8.51     0.00     4.04     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           43   59  -17      62.08     2.18   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   58   -4      63.83     2.85    -5.19     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          39   54   -9      62.39     3.55   -10.76     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        41   53   +2      60.35     2.98     2.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   53   -4      57.30     2.26    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            42   51   +2      56.59     2.62     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   50   -8      54.13     2.29    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   50  -10      53.14     2.12   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.26R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        43   49   -9      52.49     2.20   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.55R    0.00  
Grays              42   48   +2      53.32     2.54     1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   42   48  -21      52.15     2.46   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.03R    0.00  
Halifax            41   46   -8      52.26     2.95    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.71R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   45  -15      48.39     2.19   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.95R    0.11  
Southport          43   44  -12      46.80     2.11   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.78R    0.46  
St_Albans          43   37  -30      39.79     2.09   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.43  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10