Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 April 2007 at 20:33:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Charlton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.08     2.57    61.64    87.91   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.47     3.08    41.72    12.10    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.80     2.88    35.05     0.00     0.04    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             32   56  +23      67.23     3.08    27.79     0.00     0.00    93.62    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              33   54   +0      59.92     2.70    -1.71     0.00     0.00     3.95    76.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.88     2.68    16.55     0.00     0.00     1.29    73.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      56.92     3.30     0.03     0.00     0.00     1.18    35.53     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          33   46   +4      52.23     2.80     3.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.58     0.00     0.00  
Reading             33   45   +3      53.98     2.82     6.37     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.69     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           33   41   -5      46.77     2.80    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.82     3.19    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        32   40   -9      45.65     2.85   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.35     2.93    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         33   39   -5      45.58     2.80    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              33   35  -18      38.93     2.50   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.73R    0.01  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.41     2.79   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.55R    0.01  
Charlton            33   32  -20      36.56     2.51   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.77R    0.27  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.07     2.90   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.99R    0.55  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.42     2.65   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.07R    6.78  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.49     2.58   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   92.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southampton vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       42   79  +24      86.15     2.56    26.48    61.05    90.00   100.00    92.87P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   78  +16      85.04     2.48    18.49    29.61    76.62   100.00    82.64P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   74  +21      82.06     2.95    22.83     9.26    32.09    99.42    52.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    42   70  +20      77.31     2.52    23.12     0.08     1.21    91.27    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   69   -1      74.33     2.56    -1.09     0.00     0.04    48.59     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   68   +9      74.07     2.64     9.86     0.00     0.04    48.33     9.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   67  +19      73.71     2.57    20.80     0.00     0.01    49.61    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +20      73.23     2.47    22.97     0.00     0.01    45.34    11.93P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   65  +16      70.77     2.61    16.45     0.00     0.00    13.24     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   63   +8      69.03     2.61     8.84     0.00     0.00     3.62     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   62   +3      67.34     2.50     2.61     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   58   +6      63.75     2.61     6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   55   -4      61.16     2.66    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   +2      59.69     2.68     2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53  -10      57.34     2.52   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   53  -11      58.62     2.90   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   51   +2      58.17     2.88     2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.99     2.44   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47  -12      53.22     2.88   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Hull             42   44  -16      48.05     2.43   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.61R    0.51  
Barnsley         42   44  -28      48.15     2.47   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.26R    1.43  
Leeds            42   42  -24      45.57     2.33   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.38R    8.12  
Southend         42   42  -25      46.61     2.47   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.75R    7.99  
Luton            42   37  -23      41.02     2.48   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.06R   81.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Tranmere vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          42   82  +33      89.35     2.52    35.79    97.72    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        42   76  +19      82.61     2.59    20.68     2.19    69.30    99.99    77.23P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   42   72  +17      79.65     2.57    20.16     0.09    20.86    99.09    41.31P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           42   71  +18      76.92     2.60    18.65     0.01     4.21    90.64    24.08P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              42   70  +14      76.42     2.56    15.47     0.00     3.19    89.56    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              42   69  +23      76.47     2.57    25.92     0.00     2.48    93.16    28.34P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             42   65  +17      71.48     2.64    18.46     0.00     0.00    22.18     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            42   65   +4      69.64     2.54     2.88     0.00     0.00     4.32     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            42   62   +5      67.80     2.55     5.50     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            42   61   -2      66.30     2.66    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           42   58   +3      64.08     2.54     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               42   55   -4      59.45     2.60    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         42   54   -1      59.31     2.52    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           42   54   -3      60.65     2.70    -1.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            42   52   -6      56.90     2.56    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Huddersfield        42   52  -11      56.64     2.51   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Gillingham          42   52  -21      56.37     2.57   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Bournemouth         42   50  -10      54.62     2.52   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.42R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       42   47  -14      51.73     2.63   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.56R    0.00  
Cheltenham          42   47  -15      51.07     2.43   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.08R    0.00  
Chesterfield        42   44   -8      49.17     2.53    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.38R    0.00  
Bradford            42   43  -14      48.07     2.62   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.08R    0.01  
Rotherham           42   38  -11      42.60     2.47   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.31R    3.83  
Brentford           42   34  -33      37.08     2.25   -36.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.16  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Stockport vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       42   84  +27      90.54     2.56    28.52    52.65   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   82  +31      89.70     2.37    34.33    46.03    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     42   78  +18      84.23     2.57    19.18     1.32    93.78   100.00    95.53P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    42   72  +12      78.13     2.58    13.12     0.00     5.12    99.67    25.35P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   69  +12      76.00     2.57    14.39     0.00     1.01    98.11    22.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        42   67   +9      73.52     2.67    10.54     0.00     0.09    88.92    19.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      72.97     2.77    26.03     0.00     0.02    88.66    31.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   62  +10      67.63     2.61    10.34     0.00     0.00    11.07     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   +4      67.43     2.88     3.58     0.00     0.00     9.44     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     42   60   +4      64.94     2.52     3.33     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59   +6      65.31     2.65     7.21     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   59   +0      63.83     2.56    -0.88     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   56  +12      62.03     2.63    12.89     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   55  -10      59.96     2.60   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   54  -18      58.18     2.50   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.78     2.54    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         42   51   -7      56.24     2.55    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   50   -3      55.24     2.58    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   45  -15      48.71     2.34   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.00  
Accrington       42   44  -12      49.00     2.53   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   44  -17      49.47     2.93   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.01  
Boston           42   42  -25      47.38     2.59   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.20  
Wrexham          41   39  -28      43.29     2.47   -32.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.33R    5.54  
Torquay          42   32  -26      36.52     2.53   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   94.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2007, Northwich vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          43   88  +41      94.32     2.14    44.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   75  +30      80.87     2.12    32.67     0.00    99.54    38.67P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          43   75  +17      79.98     2.27    18.26     0.00    97.86    21.34P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   73  +18      77.75     2.23    18.99     0.00    88.96    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             43   71  +16      76.28     2.27    17.74     0.00    73.28    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          42   68   +8      74.56     2.55     9.61     0.00    30.02     4.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             42   66   -1      71.75     2.64    -0.52     0.00     5.66     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   63   +5      69.10     2.69     5.92     0.00     0.64     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          41   62   +7      69.82     3.07     8.41     0.00     4.02     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           43   59  -17      62.09     2.16   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   58   -4      63.83     2.86    -5.20     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          39   54   -9      62.55     3.56   -10.57     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        41   53   +2      60.38     2.97     2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   53   -4      57.26     2.27    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            42   51   +2      56.60     2.64     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   50   -8      54.14     2.27    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   50  -10      53.16     2.13   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        43   49   -9      52.45     2.19   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71R    0.00  
Grays              42   48   +2      53.33     2.56     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.37R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   42   48  -21      52.12     2.46   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.73R    0.00  
Halifax            41   46   -8      52.27     2.99    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.74R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   45  -15      48.40     2.19   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.66R    0.10  
Southport          43   44  -12      46.78     2.11   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.65R    0.34  
St_Albans          43   37  -30      39.74     2.06   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.56  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10