Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 April 2007 at 20:34:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Charlton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.08     2.58    61.61    87.53   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.55     3.06    41.84    12.46    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.81     2.87    35.05     0.00     0.04    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             32   56  +23      67.21     3.07    27.76     0.00     0.00    93.89    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              33   54   +0      59.90     2.69    -1.73     0.00     0.00     3.81    75.75     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.87     2.70    16.56     0.00     0.00     1.26    73.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      57.01     3.30     0.14     0.00     0.00     1.05    36.63     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          33   46   +4      52.29     2.85     3.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.83     0.00     0.00  
Reading             33   45   +3      53.95     2.82     6.31     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.16     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           33   41   -5      46.74     2.77    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.92     3.20    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        32   40   -9      45.53     2.86   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.38     2.94    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         33   39   -5      45.66     2.82    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              33   35  -18      38.90     2.51   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.45R    0.01  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.35     2.78   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.47R    0.01  
Charlton            33   32  -20      36.47     2.50   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.83R    0.35  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.12     2.93   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.69R    0.56  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.38     2.66   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.67R    6.94  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.50     2.58   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   92.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southampton vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       42   79  +24      86.15     2.55    26.45    60.50    89.20   100.00    92.40P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   78  +16      85.13     2.50    18.61    30.25    77.44   100.00    83.33P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   74  +21      82.12     2.93    22.91     9.21    32.06    99.36    52.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    42   70  +20      77.29     2.52    23.07     0.04     1.23    91.11    25.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   69   -1      74.36     2.54    -1.06     0.00     0.01    49.01     7.10P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   68   +9      74.03     2.63     9.82     0.00     0.04    47.80     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   67  +19      73.83     2.56    20.96     0.00     0.01    50.95    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +20      73.22     2.45    22.98     0.00     0.00    44.38    11.32P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   65  +16      70.83     2.62    16.55     0.00     0.00    13.58     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   63   +8      69.00     2.61     8.82     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   62   +3      67.39     2.50     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   58   +6      63.69     2.62     6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   55   -4      61.21     2.69    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   +2      59.70     2.68     2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53  -10      57.29     2.51   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   53  -11      58.51     2.90   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   51   +2      58.32     2.86     2.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.93     2.44   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47  -12      53.25     2.89   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Hull             42   44  -16      47.99     2.42   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.61R    0.48  
Barnsley         42   44  -28      48.10     2.46   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.15R    1.16  
Leeds            42   42  -24      45.52     2.31   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.82R    8.21  
Southend         42   42  -25      46.66     2.46   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.58R    7.35  
Luton            42   37  -23      40.96     2.45   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.92R   82.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Tranmere vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          42   82  +33      89.30     2.54    35.70    97.61    99.95   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        42   76  +19      82.54     2.60    20.60     2.25    68.27    99.99    76.21P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   42   72  +17      79.68     2.58    20.17     0.14    21.77    99.20    41.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           42   71  +18      76.94     2.60    18.68     0.01     4.08    91.06    24.55P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              42   70  +14      76.43     2.58    15.47     0.00     3.22    89.72    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              42   69  +23      76.45     2.58    25.90     0.00     2.71    93.04    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             42   65  +17      71.41     2.63    18.35     0.00     0.00    21.34     5.34P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            42   65   +4      69.73     2.53     3.00     0.00     0.00     4.57     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            42   62   +5      67.83     2.55     5.58     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            42   61   -2      66.31     2.67    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           42   58   +3      64.10     2.53     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               42   55   -4      59.45     2.61    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         42   54   -1      59.31     2.50    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           42   54   -3      60.61     2.69    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            42   52   -6      56.93     2.55    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Huddersfield        42   52  -11      56.70     2.51   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Gillingham          42   52  -21      56.41     2.55   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Bournemouth         42   50  -10      54.64     2.51   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.48R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       42   47  -14      51.67     2.63   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.43R    0.00  
Cheltenham          42   47  -15      51.06     2.44   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.24R    0.00  
Chesterfield        42   44   -8      49.18     2.50    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.79R    0.00  
Bradford            42   43  -14      48.12     2.60   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.48R    0.01  
Rotherham           42   38  -11      42.59     2.48   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R    3.68  
Brentford           42   34  -33      37.05     2.23   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.31  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Stockport vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       42   84  +27      90.62     2.56    28.65    53.65    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   82  +31      89.69     2.37    34.32    45.28    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     42   78  +18      84.28     2.54    19.22     1.07    93.81   100.00    95.31P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    42   72  +12      78.18     2.60    13.20     0.00     5.16    99.73    26.45P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   69  +12      76.01     2.55    14.38     0.00     0.95    98.14    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        42   67   +9      73.49     2.64    10.51     0.00     0.07    88.73    18.90P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      72.96     2.75    26.03     0.00     0.03    88.79    30.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   62  +10      67.67     2.60    10.39     0.00     0.00    11.55     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   +4      67.36     2.85     3.51     0.00     0.00     9.06     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     42   60   +4      64.95     2.55     3.33     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59   +6      65.28     2.66     7.15     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   59   +0      63.82     2.56    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   56  +12      61.98     2.62    12.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   55  -10      59.91     2.62   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   54  -18      58.18     2.52   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.77     2.56    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         42   51   -7      56.25     2.56    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   50   -3      55.25     2.59    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   45  -15      48.64     2.32   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32R    0.00  
Accrington       42   44  -12      48.99     2.51   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   44  -17      49.50     2.87   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Boston           42   42  -25      47.37     2.62   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.94R    0.21  
Wrexham          41   39  -28      43.30     2.48   -32.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.88R    5.55  
Torquay          42   32  -26      36.56     2.53   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   94.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2007, York vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          42   88  +43      96.53     2.45    47.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   75  +30      80.85     2.11    32.63     0.00    99.48    38.23P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          43   75  +17      80.04     2.27    18.35     0.00    97.94    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   73  +18      77.74     2.25    18.97     0.00    88.80    18.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             43   71  +16      76.30     2.27    17.76     0.00    72.83    14.29P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          42   68   +8      74.57     2.56     9.57     0.00    30.20     5.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             42   66   -1      71.79     2.62    -0.47     0.00     5.73     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   63   +5      69.07     2.71     5.88     0.00     0.78     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          41   62   +7      69.94     3.03     8.60     0.00     4.25     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           43   59  -17      62.01     2.14   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   58   -4      63.89     2.85    -5.12     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        41   53   +2      60.33     2.98     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   53   -4      57.30     2.28    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            42   51   +2      56.57     2.63     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Northwich          38   51  -11      59.96     3.74   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   50   -8      54.16     2.30    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   50  -10      53.12     2.12   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        43   49   -9      52.49     2.18   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.55R    0.00  
Grays              42   48   +2      53.33     2.57     1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   42   48  -21      52.16     2.46   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.04R    0.00  
Halifax            41   46   -8      52.26     2.98    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.78R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   45  -15      48.38     2.19   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.97R    0.09  
Southport          43   44  -12      46.79     2.09   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.68R    0.37  
St_Albans          43   37  -30      39.77     2.06   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.55  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10