Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 10 April 2007 at 20:33:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Charlton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.04     2.57    61.54    87.35   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.53     3.07    41.80    12.65    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.79     2.87    35.00     0.00     0.04    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             32   56  +23      67.20     3.07    27.80     0.00     0.00    93.72    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              33   54   +0      59.95     2.70    -1.66     0.00     0.00     4.10    76.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.85     2.72    16.51     0.00     0.00     1.37    73.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      56.98     3.29     0.12     0.00     0.00     0.85    36.78     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          33   46   +4      52.29     2.82     3.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.69     0.00     0.00  
Reading             33   45   +3      53.86     2.82     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.92     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           33   41   -5      46.74     2.78    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.91     3.19    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        32   40   -9      45.62     2.83   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.40     2.95    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         33   39   -5      45.61     2.82    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              33   35  -18      38.92     2.50   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.45R    0.00  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.31     2.77   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71R    0.01  
Charlton            33   32  -20      36.44     2.50   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.81R    0.34  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.21     2.90   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.05R    0.57  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.42     2.64   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.12R    6.75  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.53     2.58   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   92.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southampton vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       42   79  +24      86.14     2.55    26.47    61.24    89.97   100.00    92.82P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   78  +16      85.08     2.47    18.52    29.57    77.02   100.00    82.86P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   74  +21      82.05     2.95    22.81     9.13    31.73    99.44    51.41P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    42   70  +20      77.28     2.53    23.11     0.07     1.21    90.88    25.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   69   -1      74.35     2.56    -1.09     0.00     0.05    48.97     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   68   +9      73.98     2.63     9.74     0.00     0.02    46.90     9.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   67  +19      73.82     2.57    20.96     0.00     0.01    51.17    15.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +20      73.26     2.45    22.99     0.00     0.00    45.08    11.99P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   65  +16      70.83     2.63    16.54     0.00     0.00    13.75     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   63   +8      69.00     2.62     8.81     0.00     0.00     3.30     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   62   +3      67.38     2.49     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   58   +6      63.69     2.61     6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   55   -4      61.19     2.67    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   +2      59.72     2.68     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53  -10      57.32     2.50   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   53  -11      58.55     2.88   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   51   +2      58.27     2.89     2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.94     2.42   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47  -12      53.28     2.91   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Hull             42   44  -16      47.98     2.42   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.47R    0.64  
Barnsley         42   44  -28      48.17     2.46   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.95R    1.18  
Leeds            42   42  -24      45.51     2.31   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.22R    8.48  
Southend         42   42  -25      46.61     2.46   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.63R    7.56  
Luton            42   37  -23      41.00     2.47   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.89R   82.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Tranmere vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          42   82  +33      89.33     2.52    35.75    97.58    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        42   76  +19      82.61     2.60    20.69     2.29    68.58    99.98    76.89P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   42   72  +17      79.72     2.55    20.25     0.10    21.46    99.15    41.45P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           42   71  +18      76.90     2.61    18.61     0.01     4.02    90.64    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              42   70  +14      76.44     2.56    15.46     0.00     3.36    89.77    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              42   69  +23      76.47     2.58    25.91     0.00     2.59    93.05    28.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             42   65  +17      71.45     2.62    18.41     0.00     0.01    21.57     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            42   65   +4      69.69     2.55     2.96     0.00     0.00     4.54     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            42   62   +5      67.92     2.59     5.67     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            42   61   -2      66.25     2.66    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           42   58   +3      64.09     2.53     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               42   55   -4      59.39     2.59    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         42   54   -1      59.32     2.52    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           42   54   -3      60.61     2.72    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            42   52   -6      56.92     2.54    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Huddersfield        42   52  -11      56.65     2.51   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Gillingham          42   52  -21      56.41     2.58   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Bournemouth         42   50  -10      54.57     2.55   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       42   47  -14      51.68     2.61   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham          42   47  -15      51.11     2.47   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.70R    0.00  
Chesterfield        42   44   -8      49.14     2.50    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.94R    0.00  
Bradford            42   43  -14      48.13     2.63   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.09R    0.03  
Rotherham           42   38  -11      42.56     2.49   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R    3.62  
Brentford           42   34  -33      37.06     2.23   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.35  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Stockport vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       42   84  +27      90.56     2.56    28.54    53.95   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   82  +31      89.62     2.40    34.20    44.77    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     42   78  +18      84.26     2.56    19.23     1.28    93.78   100.00    95.42P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    42   72  +12      78.05     2.64    12.97     0.00     5.01    99.69    24.45P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   69  +12      75.99     2.58    14.35     0.00     1.13    98.09    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        42   67   +9      73.53     2.63    10.57     0.00     0.08    88.82    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      73.01     2.78    26.06     0.00     0.01    88.88    32.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   62  +10      67.68     2.61    10.39     0.00     0.00    11.43     2.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   +4      67.40     2.88     3.56     0.00     0.00     9.12     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     42   60   +4      64.96     2.50     3.37     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59   +6      65.32     2.67     7.23     0.00     0.00     2.02     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   59   +0      63.87     2.57    -0.84     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   56  +12      62.00     2.61    12.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   55  -10      59.89     2.61   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   54  -18      58.19     2.51   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.79     2.56    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         42   51   -7      56.25     2.56    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   50   -3      55.27     2.60    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   45  -15      48.68     2.34   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.00  
Accrington       42   44  -12      49.04     2.50   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   44  -17      49.48     2.88   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.00  
Boston           42   42  -25      47.30     2.61   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.66R    0.17  
Wrexham          41   39  -28      43.35     2.49   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R    5.67  
Torquay          42   32  -26      36.55     2.54   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.73R   94.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Oxford_Utd vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          42   88  +43      96.46     2.48    47.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   75  +30      80.88     2.11    32.68     0.00    99.56    38.47P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          43   75  +17      80.02     2.27    18.32     0.00    98.36    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             43   71  +16      76.32     2.27    17.80     0.00    77.01    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   70  +16      76.28     2.61    17.23     0.00    73.02    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          42   68   +8      74.64     2.54     9.69     0.00    38.04     6.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             42   66   -1      71.82     2.62    -0.45     0.00     7.61     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   63   +5      69.09     2.70     5.89     0.00     1.22     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          41   62   +7      69.90     3.05     8.53     0.00     5.17     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           43   59  -17      62.06     2.15   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   58   -4      63.87     2.86    -5.14     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        40   53   +4      61.55     3.26     4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   53   -4      57.30     2.27    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            42   51   +2      56.65     2.63     2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northwich          38   51  -11      59.76     3.70   -14.44     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   50   -8      54.14     2.29    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   50  -10      53.10     2.11   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.42R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        43   49   -9      52.50     2.19   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.31R    0.00  
Grays              42   48   +2      53.31     2.55     1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   42   48  -21      52.25     2.45   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.63R    0.00  
Halifax            41   46   -8      52.29     3.00    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.68R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   45  -15      48.37     2.19   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.35R    0.07  
Southport          43   44  -12      46.79     2.10   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.69R    0.36  
St_Albans          43   37  -30      39.76     2.07   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.56  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10