Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 April 2007 at 21:04:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Charlton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.06     2.55    61.56    87.84   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.51     3.06    41.82    12.16    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.77     2.86    35.02     0.00     0.04    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             32   56  +23      67.25     3.08    27.83     0.00     0.00    93.84    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              33   54   +0      59.87     2.69    -1.77     0.00     0.00     3.83    74.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.88     2.73    16.59     0.00     0.00     1.31    73.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      57.09     3.31     0.25     0.00     0.00     1.05    37.63     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          33   46   +4      52.24     2.87     3.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.79     0.00     0.00  
Reading             33   45   +3      53.94     2.85     6.28     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.52     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           33   41   -5      46.77     2.78    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.85     3.18    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C        32   40   -9      45.62     2.84   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.33     2.93    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         33   39   -5      45.63     2.82    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham              33   35  -18      38.91     2.51   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.36R    0.01  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.34     2.76   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.46R    0.01  
Charlton            33   32  -20      36.47     2.52   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.97R    0.28  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.10     2.90   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.08R    0.56  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.45     2.66   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.23R    7.01  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.51     2.58   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   92.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southampton vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       42   79  +24      86.13     2.55    26.46    60.56    90.12   100.00    93.05P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   78  +16      85.10     2.48    18.57    30.30    77.97   100.00    83.75P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   74  +21      81.99     2.97    22.76     9.06    30.59    99.38    50.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    42   70  +20      77.29     2.56    23.10     0.07     1.26    90.48    24.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   69   -1      74.32     2.57    -1.10     0.00     0.04    48.75     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   68   +9      74.05     2.63     9.82     0.00     0.01    47.77     9.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   67  +19      73.77     2.57    20.90     0.00     0.01    50.61    14.45P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +20      73.26     2.45    22.99     0.00     0.00    45.21    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   65  +16      70.81     2.62    16.52     0.00     0.00    13.67     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   63   +8      69.03     2.60     8.84     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   62   +3      67.45     2.47     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   58   +6      63.73     2.63     6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   55   -4      61.18     2.68    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   +2      59.75     2.65     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53  -10      57.28     2.50   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   53  -11      58.49     2.89   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   51   +2      58.28     2.89     2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.95     2.43   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47  -12      53.31     2.90   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Hull             42   44  -16      47.99     2.42   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.50R    0.61  
Barnsley         42   44  -28      48.16     2.47   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.85R    1.25  
Leeds            42   42  -24      45.50     2.32   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.80R    8.49  
Southend         42   42  -25      46.57     2.46   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.06R    7.87  
Luton            42   37  -23      41.02     2.49   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.92R   81.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Yeovil vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          42   82  +33      89.34     2.54    35.76    97.58    99.90   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        42   76  +19      82.56     2.59    20.63     2.31    68.52    99.98    76.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   42   72  +17      79.66     2.58    20.18     0.11    21.45    99.19    41.26P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           42   71  +18      76.92     2.59    18.63     0.01     4.19    90.88    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              42   70  +14      76.44     2.58    15.47     0.00     3.19    89.28    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              42   69  +23      76.49     2.59    25.94     0.00     2.75    92.89    28.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             42   65  +17      71.44     2.63    18.39     0.00     0.00    21.87     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            42   65   +4      69.72     2.54     2.98     0.00     0.00     4.83     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            42   62   +5      67.84     2.59     5.58     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            42   61   -2      66.26     2.66    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           42   58   +3      64.07     2.52     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               42   55   -4      59.41     2.60    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         42   54   -1      59.36     2.53    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           42   54   -3      60.61     2.70    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            42   52   -6      56.89     2.55    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Huddersfield        42   52  -11      56.67     2.53   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Gillingham          42   52  -21      56.47     2.58   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Bournemouth         42   50  -10      54.61     2.53   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.63R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       42   47  -14      51.70     2.62   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.77R    0.00  
Cheltenham          42   47  -15      51.09     2.43   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.60R    0.00  
Chesterfield        42   44   -8      49.13     2.52    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.10R    0.00  
Bradford            42   43  -14      48.14     2.61   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.36R    0.01  
Rotherham           42   38  -11      42.57     2.48   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.49R    3.80  
Brentford           42   34  -33      37.06     2.24   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.19  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Wrexham vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       42   84  +27      90.60     2.54    28.59    54.65   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   82  +31      89.61     2.39    34.20    44.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     42   78  +18      84.25     2.55    19.19     1.20    93.97   100.00    95.51P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    42   72  +12      78.05     2.61    13.01     0.00     4.84    99.68    25.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   69  +12      76.01     2.58    14.40     0.00     1.05    98.00    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        42   67   +9      73.44     2.65    10.42     0.00     0.13    88.40    18.98P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      73.03     2.77    26.09     0.00     0.01    88.97    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   62  +10      67.63     2.62    10.36     0.00     0.00    10.82     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   +4      67.37     2.88     3.55     0.00     0.00     9.60     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     42   60   +4      64.96     2.52     3.36     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59   +6      65.38     2.66     7.32     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   59   +0      63.89     2.58    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   56  +12      61.95     2.63    12.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   55  -10      59.91     2.61   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   54  -18      58.21     2.50   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.70     2.54    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         42   51   -7      56.19     2.56    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   50   -3      55.29     2.60    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   45  -15      48.74     2.38   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Accrington       42   44  -12      49.01     2.51   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   44  -17      49.51     2.90   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.00  
Boston           42   42  -25      47.39     2.57   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.14R    0.26  
Wrexham          41   39  -28      43.36     2.50   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.71R    5.51  
Torquay          42   32  -26      36.50     2.52   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.72R   94.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southport vs Burton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          42   88  +43      96.46     2.49    47.84   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   75  +30      80.91     2.11    32.71     0.00    99.60    38.87P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          43   75  +17      80.02     2.25    18.32     0.00    98.67    21.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             43   71  +16      76.24     2.26    17.68     0.00    75.92    14.86P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   70  +16      76.38     2.63    17.38     0.00    75.11    16.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          42   68   +8      74.54     2.58     9.57     0.00    36.84     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             42   66   -1      71.79     2.61    -0.46     0.00     7.46     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   63   +5      69.03     2.69     5.84     0.00     1.23     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          41   62   +7      69.87     3.07     8.48     0.00     5.17     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           43   59  -17      62.04     2.16   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   58   -4      63.84     2.87    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        40   53   +4      61.51     3.22     4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   53   -4      57.24     2.26    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            42   51   +2      56.60     2.64     2.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northwich          38   51  -11      59.95     3.77   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   50   -8      54.19     2.29    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   50  -10      53.15     2.12   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        43   49   -9      52.53     2.20   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.39R    0.00  
Grays              42   48   +2      53.32     2.58     1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   42   48  -21      52.13     2.45   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.62R    0.00  
Halifax            41   46   -8      52.33     2.99    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.56R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   45  -15      48.42     2.19   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.62R    0.10  
Southport          43   44  -12      46.82     2.11   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.58R    0.34  
St_Albans          43   37  -30      39.76     2.06   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.56  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10