Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 April 2007 at 20:34:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Newcastle vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.04     2.58    61.49    87.64   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.49     3.08    41.78    12.36    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.80     2.87    35.04     0.00     0.04    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             32   56  +23      67.29     3.05    27.86     0.00     0.00    93.84    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              33   54   +0      59.97     2.69    -1.67     0.00     0.00     4.04    74.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton             33   51  +15      58.86     2.71    16.56     0.00     0.00     1.20    71.50     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      56.96     3.30     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.94    35.27     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          33   46   +4      52.27     2.82     3.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.68     0.00     0.00  
Reading             32   44   +3      54.49     3.17     6.63     0.00     0.00     0.03    14.50     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           33   41   -5      46.75     2.78    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.84     3.18    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C        32   40   -9      45.57     2.82   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.39     2.94    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         33   39   -5      45.65     2.83    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Fulham              33   35  -18      38.95     2.52   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.25R    0.00  
Wigan               33   34  -17      40.36     2.77   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.29R    0.01  
Charlton            32   31  -20      36.73     2.90   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.85R    0.51  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.08     2.89   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.45R    0.56  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.39     2.66   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.26R    6.67  
Watford             33   23  -29      27.45     2.58   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   92.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southampton vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       42   79  +24      86.19     2.54    26.51    62.03    90.50   100.00    93.20P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   78  +16      85.05     2.50    18.50    29.23    77.25   100.00    83.19P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   74  +21      81.97     2.95    22.69     8.69    30.86    99.32    50.82P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    42   70  +20      77.30     2.51    23.08     0.05     1.29    91.13    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   69   -1      74.33     2.56    -1.09     0.00     0.06    48.67     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   68   +9      74.06     2.62     9.85     0.00     0.03    47.90     9.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   67  +19      73.74     2.57    20.84     0.00     0.01    49.78    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +20      73.32     2.46    23.11     0.00     0.00    45.95    12.66P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   65  +16      70.81     2.61    16.53     0.00     0.00    13.25     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   63   +8      69.02     2.59     8.83     0.00     0.00     3.41     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   62   +3      67.42     2.50     2.74     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   58   +6      63.69     2.61     6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   55   -4      61.13     2.66    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   +2      59.73     2.68     2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53  -10      57.32     2.53   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   53  -11      58.56     2.89   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   51   +2      58.21     2.88     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.96     2.43   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47  -12      53.26     2.90   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
Hull             42   44  -16      48.01     2.41   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.84R    0.48  
Barnsley         42   44  -28      48.21     2.49   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.82R    1.25  
Leeds            42   42  -24      45.54     2.31   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.84R    8.96  
Southend         42   42  -25      46.57     2.43   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.62R    7.88  
Luton            42   37  -23      41.04     2.48   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   81.42  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Yeovil vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          42   82  +33      89.37     2.51    35.78    97.83    99.94   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        42   76  +19      82.65     2.59    20.74     2.08    69.64    99.97    77.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   42   72  +17      79.68     2.56    20.17     0.09    20.57    99.25    40.82P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           42   71  +18      76.91     2.60    18.64     0.00     4.11    90.81    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              42   70  +14      76.44     2.55    15.46     0.00     3.14    89.80    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              42   69  +23      76.46     2.60    25.91     0.00     2.62    92.89    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             42   65  +17      71.43     2.65    18.38     0.00     0.01    21.85     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            42   65   +4      69.65     2.54     2.89     0.00     0.00     4.37     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            42   62   +5      67.85     2.56     5.58     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            42   61   -2      66.26     2.63    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           42   58   +3      64.11     2.55     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               42   55   -4      59.42     2.59    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         42   54   -1      59.34     2.52    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           42   54   -3      60.58     2.71    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            42   52   -6      56.93     2.54    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Huddersfield        42   52  -11      56.65     2.50   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Gillingham          42   52  -21      56.41     2.57   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Bournemouth         42   50  -10      54.62     2.53   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       42   47  -14      51.68     2.62   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.76R    0.00  
Cheltenham          42   47  -15      51.09     2.46   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.49R    0.00  
Chesterfield        42   44   -8      49.15     2.51    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.81R    0.01  
Bradford            42   43  -14      48.10     2.60   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.94R    0.01  
Rotherham           42   38  -11      42.56     2.46   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R    3.73  
Brentford           42   34  -33      37.09     2.22   -36.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.25  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Wrexham vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       42   84  +27      90.61     2.57    28.59    54.31   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   82  +31      89.66     2.39    34.29    44.51    99.96   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     42   78  +18      84.23     2.57    19.19     1.18    93.50   100.00    95.39P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    42   72  +12      78.17     2.64    13.15     0.00     5.38    99.69    25.96P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   69  +12      76.06     2.58    14.47     0.00     1.09    98.42    23.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        42   67   +9      73.42     2.67    10.43     0.00     0.05    88.25    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   63  +21      73.00     2.78    26.07     0.00     0.01    89.10    30.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   62  +10      67.63     2.59    10.35     0.00     0.00    11.45     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   +4      67.33     2.87     3.45     0.00     0.00     8.88     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     42   60   +4      64.94     2.54     3.31     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59   +6      65.35     2.64     7.27     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   59   +0      63.85     2.57    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   56  +12      61.95     2.61    12.77     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   55  -10      59.99     2.63   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   54  -18      58.14     2.51   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   51   -5      55.71     2.55    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         42   51   -7      56.26     2.55    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   50   -3      55.25     2.59    -3.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   45  -15      48.74     2.34   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Accrington       42   44  -12      48.96     2.52   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   44  -17      49.58     2.92   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Boston           42   42  -25      47.40     2.61   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.72R    0.14  
Wrexham          41   39  -28      43.28     2.50   -32.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.19R    5.64  
Torquay          42   32  -26      36.50     2.53   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   94.22  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2007, Southport vs Burton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          42   88  +43      96.50     2.48    47.93   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   75  +30      80.88     2.10    32.68     0.00    99.58    38.59P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          43   75  +17      80.04     2.28    18.36     0.00    98.56    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             43   71  +16      76.29     2.28    17.78     0.00    76.86    15.38P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   70  +16      76.35     2.63    17.31     0.00    73.92    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          42   68   +8      74.59     2.53     9.62     0.00    37.17     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             42   66   -1      71.80     2.61    -0.45     0.00     7.72     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   63   +5      69.13     2.70     5.97     0.00     1.16     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          41   62   +7      69.81     3.06     8.42     0.00     5.03     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           43   59  -17      62.02     2.15   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   58   -4      63.75     2.85    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        40   53   +4      61.59     3.26     4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             43   53   -4      57.32     2.27    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            42   51   +2      56.61     2.62     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Northwich          38   51  -11      59.84     3.71   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   50   -8      54.13     2.30    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   50  -10      53.11     2.10   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.21R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        43   49   -9      52.45     2.20   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.19R    0.00  
Grays              42   48   +2      53.30     2.59     1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.62R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   42   48  -21      52.21     2.44   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.99R    0.00  
Halifax            41   46   -8      52.36     2.98    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.25R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   45  -15      48.44     2.19   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.27R    0.08  
Southport          43   44  -12      46.79     2.11   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.11R    0.35  
St_Albans          43   37  -30      39.73     2.07   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.56  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10