Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 8 April 2007 at 20:33:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Portsmouth vs Manchester_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.16     2.58    61.66    88.31   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.48     3.07    41.80    11.70    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.83     2.85    35.14     0.00     0.07    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             31   55  +23      67.81     3.34    28.12     0.00     0.00    92.17    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              32   53   +0      60.32     3.06    -1.70     0.00     0.00     5.00    72.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton             32   50  +15      59.15     3.07    16.44     0.00     0.00     1.95    68.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      57.12     3.28     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.85    34.18     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          32   46   +6      54.28     3.13     6.25     0.00     0.00     0.09    11.73     0.00     0.00  
Reading             32   44   +3      54.53     3.20     6.61     0.00     0.00     0.06    13.65     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           32   40   -5      46.96     3.07    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.89     3.17    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.29     2.93    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         32   38   -5      46.64     3.13    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.02R    0.00  
Manchester_C        31   37  -11      43.25     3.06   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Fulham              32   35  -16      40.76     2.89   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.64R    0.00  
Wigan               32   33  -17      40.05     3.01   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.36R    0.00  
Charlton            32   31  -20      36.68     2.89   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.41R    0.12  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.22     2.90   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.11R    0.12  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.42     2.67   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.64R    1.79  
Watford             32   20  -31      25.11     2.75   -35.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   97.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Sunderland vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            41   77  +16      86.13     2.81    19.51    47.68    79.52   100.00    84.93P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       41   76  +23      84.28     2.90    25.06    26.68    62.34    99.98    72.95P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   74  +22      84.01     3.30    24.70    25.52    56.09    99.78    68.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   68  +10      76.35     2.90    12.27     0.07     0.85    77.11    16.14P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    41   67  +19      75.94     2.90    22.54     0.04     0.69    76.36    20.88P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   66  +21      74.91     2.81    24.46     0.01     0.47    67.19    18.60P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   66   -3      72.98     2.88    -2.68     0.00     0.02    28.72     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   64  +18      72.45     2.91    20.32     0.00     0.01    31.13     9.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   63  +10      70.28     2.93    10.75     0.00     0.00     9.57     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   62  +15      70.07     2.89    16.97     0.00     0.00     9.75     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      41   59   +1      65.92     2.86     0.87     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   58   +7      64.67     2.88     6.81     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   54   +4      60.98     3.03     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53  -10      59.75     3.22   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   52   -7      59.67     2.99    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   52  -10      56.98     2.74   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   48   +0      56.60     3.19     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -9      54.37     3.19   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Queens_PR        41   46  -13      51.74     2.79   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.72R    0.01  
Hull             41   44  -14      49.05     2.74   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.07R    0.20  
Leeds            41   42  -23      46.04     2.54   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.18R    5.78  
Barnsley         41   41  -29      46.04     2.76   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.85R   10.63  
Southend         41   39  -26      44.09     2.70   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.41R   28.91  
Luton            41   37  -22      42.12     2.82   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.58R   54.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Oldham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          41   82  +34      91.23     2.84    37.44    95.91    99.89   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        41   76  +20      84.60     2.91    22.61     3.92    76.58   100.00    82.67P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   41   71  +17      80.78     2.88    21.28     0.17    19.36    99.75    40.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              41   68  +23      77.31     2.93    26.61     0.01     2.75    97.22    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           41   68  +16      75.33     2.97    16.74     0.00     0.71    85.17    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              41   67  +13      75.45     2.88    15.44     0.00     0.69    87.62    20.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             41   62  +14      70.17     2.98    15.94     0.00     0.01    22.86     5.27P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            41   62   +2      68.27     2.88     1.26     0.00     0.00     4.92     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            41   59   +4      66.40     2.90     4.83     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           41   58   +4      65.93     2.86     5.60     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            41   58   -3      64.24     2.94    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           41   54   +0      61.78     3.00     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            41   52   -5      58.05     2.87    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Crewe               41   52   -6      58.46     2.87    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Huddersfield        41   52   -9      58.02     2.89   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Northampton         41   51   -2      57.10     2.81    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Bournemouth         41   50   -8      55.70     2.84    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Gillingham          41   49  -22      54.08     2.85   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.76R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       41   47  -13      52.36     2.84   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham          41   46  -15      51.53     2.83   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.38R    0.00  
Chesterfield        41   43   -8      49.57     2.85    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.74R    0.04  
Bradford            41   42  -14      48.05     2.93   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.19R    0.14  
Rotherham           41   37  -11      42.25     2.73   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R    8.47  
Brentford           41   34  -31      37.72     2.50   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.36  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Wycombe vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       41   81  +26      89.80     2.85    28.99    54.66    99.86   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   79  +30      88.76     2.69    34.26    43.47    99.62   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     41   75  +17      83.39     2.83    19.24     1.84    82.62   100.00    87.33P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    41   72  +13      79.13     2.90    13.48     0.02    14.29    99.79    33.07P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   68  +12      76.35     2.94    14.32     0.00     3.45    98.08    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        41   64   +7      71.96     2.97     8.63     0.00     0.08    75.48    15.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   61  +10      68.30     2.98    10.77     0.00     0.00    28.04     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   60  +20      71.73     3.11    25.64     0.00     0.07    79.90    28.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   58   +2      65.97     3.18     1.83     0.00     0.00     8.48     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +0      64.26     2.93    -0.80     0.00     0.00     3.29     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     41   57   +3      63.52     2.85     2.59     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   56  +14      64.09     2.97    15.91     0.00     0.00     3.12     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   56   +4      63.87     2.98     5.50     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   53  -18      58.35     2.87   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           41   52  -12      57.60     2.85   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          41   51   -3      56.96     2.86    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         41   51   -6      57.02     2.78    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   50   -1      56.44     2.92    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   45  -13      49.74     2.66   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Accrington       41   44  -11      49.50     2.74   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.81R    0.01  
Macclesfield     40   44  -14      51.13     3.27   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55R    0.00  
Wrexham          40   39  -27      44.49     2.80   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.17R    5.25  
Boston           41   39  -28      45.56     2.93   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.48R    3.04  
Torquay          41   32  -25      37.12     2.72   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.80R   91.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Stevenage vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          41   88  +45      98.83     2.75    51.49   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         42   72  +27      79.97     2.46    30.70     0.00    98.62    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          42   72  +13      78.63     2.63    14.68     0.00    93.98    20.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   70  +16      76.39     2.59    17.36     0.00    81.62    18.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             42   68  +13      74.53     2.65    14.56     0.00    55.73    10.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             41   66   +1      73.37     2.94     1.81     0.00    29.61     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          41   65   +6      72.87     2.89     7.49     0.00    26.52     4.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          40   61   +7      70.35     3.35     8.63     0.00    12.31     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          41   60   +3      67.82     3.03     4.48     0.00     1.30     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           42   59  -14      62.72     2.40   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   58   -3      65.43     3.17    -3.89     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        40   53   +4      61.46     3.27     4.39     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            41   51   +5      58.22     2.98     5.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northwich          37   51  -10      60.81     4.00   -13.96     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Woking             42   50   -5      55.51     2.62    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   50   -8      54.44     2.51    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   49   -8      54.32     2.66    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   41   48  -19      53.17     2.78   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.91R    0.00  
Halifax            40   46   -4      53.39     3.24    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.76R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        42   46  -11      50.08     2.47   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.62R    0.03  
Grays              41   45   +1      51.92     2.92     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.20R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   44  -15      49.08     2.59   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.38R    0.50  
Southport          42   41  -14      45.03     2.47   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.39R    5.13  
St_Albans          42   36  -30      39.88     2.46   -32.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   94.34  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10