Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 7 April 2007 at 20:33:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Portsmouth vs Manchester_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   32   78  +52      91.13     2.57    61.71    87.76   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             32   75  +37      86.56     3.07    41.84    12.24    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           32   60  +28      72.74     2.85    34.97     0.00     0.04    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             31   55  +23      67.73     3.37    28.02     0.00     0.00    92.15    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              32   53   +0      60.29     3.04    -1.73     0.00     0.00     5.12    72.47     0.00     0.00  
Everton             32   50  +15      59.04     3.07    16.30     0.00     0.00     1.88    67.50     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           32   48   -1      57.11     3.29     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.85    34.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          32   46   +6      54.29     3.14     6.27     0.00     0.00     0.05    11.88     0.00     0.00  
Reading             32   44   +3      54.52     3.15     6.64     0.00     0.00     0.05    13.59     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           32   40   -5      46.85     3.10    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           32   40   -9      48.90     3.17    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       32   39   -3      46.31     2.93    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         32   38   -5      46.64     3.13    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C        31   37  -11      43.35     3.07   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Fulham              32   35  -16      40.70     2.86   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.00R    0.00  
Wigan               32   33  -17      40.10     3.04   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.56R    0.00  
Charlton            32   31  -20      36.73     2.89   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.22R    0.17  
Sheffield_U         32   31  -21      38.18     2.91   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.61R    0.17  
West_Ham            32   29  -25      33.46     2.64   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.83R    2.19  
Watford             32   20  -31      25.20     2.80   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   97.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Sunderland vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            41   77  +16      86.14     2.82    19.50    47.77    79.79    99.99    84.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       41   76  +23      84.24     2.87    25.04    25.66    61.53    99.99    72.47P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   74  +22      84.06     3.30    24.77    26.45    56.67    99.78    69.02P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   68  +10      76.34     2.89    12.24     0.06     0.82    76.61    16.01P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    41   67  +19      76.01     2.91    22.65     0.04     0.66    76.70    20.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   66  +21      74.94     2.79    24.52     0.03     0.49    67.70    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   66   -3      72.99     2.85    -2.68     0.00     0.03    28.09     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   64  +18      72.49     2.92    20.32     0.00     0.00    31.33     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   63  +10      70.34     2.92    10.79     0.00     0.00     9.69     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   62  +15      70.11     2.92    17.02     0.00     0.00     9.63     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      41   59   +1      65.92     2.87     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   58   +7      64.66     2.86     6.81     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   54   +4      60.93     3.06     4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53  -10      59.72     3.22   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   52   -7      59.72     3.03    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   52  -10      56.95     2.75   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   48   +0      56.59     3.18     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -9      54.42     3.18   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Queens_PR        41   46  -13      51.70     2.78   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Hull             41   44  -14      49.00     2.73   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.96R    0.17  
Leeds            41   42  -23      46.01     2.54   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.11R    5.46  
Barnsley         41   41  -29      45.95     2.78   -32.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.82R   10.98  
Southend         41   39  -26      44.08     2.70   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.05R   29.54  
Luton            41   37  -22      42.13     2.81   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.31R   53.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Oldham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          41   82  +34      91.26     2.85    37.48    95.84    99.89   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        41   76  +20      84.66     2.93    22.67     4.04    77.35   100.00    83.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   41   71  +17      80.75     2.89    21.24     0.12    18.43    99.69    39.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              41   68  +23      77.38     2.90    26.73     0.00     2.89    97.53    30.49P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           41   68  +16      75.43     2.96    16.86     0.00     0.72    86.22    19.82P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              41   67  +13      75.47     2.86    15.46     0.00     0.72    88.12    20.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             41   62  +14      70.09     2.98    15.79     0.00     0.00    21.61     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            41   62   +2      68.26     2.85     1.25     0.00     0.00     4.46     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            41   59   +4      66.44     2.90     4.89     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           41   58   +4      65.77     2.88     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            41   58   -3      64.24     2.92    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           41   54   +0      61.75     3.01     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            41   52   -5      57.99     2.87    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Crewe               41   52   -6      58.39     2.88    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Huddersfield        41   52   -9      57.95     2.87   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Northampton         41   51   -2      57.16     2.80    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Bournemouth         41   50   -8      55.76     2.84    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Gillingham          41   49  -22      54.12     2.85   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.06R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       41   47  -13      52.42     2.87   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.24R    0.01  
Cheltenham          41   46  -15      51.54     2.84   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.41R    0.00  
Chesterfield        41   43   -8      49.46     2.85    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.76R    0.03  
Bradford            41   42  -14      48.01     2.92   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.83R    0.14  
Rotherham           41   37  -11      42.25     2.73   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.49R    9.20  
Brentford           41   34  -31      37.81     2.53   -35.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.64  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Wycombe vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       41   81  +26      89.84     2.85    29.07    54.80    99.86   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   79  +30      88.73     2.69    34.26    43.24    99.55   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     41   75  +17      83.40     2.87    19.25     1.95    82.10   100.00    86.72P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    41   72  +13      79.12     2.93    13.49     0.01    14.59    99.78    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   68  +12      76.42     2.92    14.43     0.00     3.71    98.30    24.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        41   64   +7      72.02     2.97     8.73     0.00     0.12    76.55    16.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   61  +10      68.27     2.96    10.74     0.00     0.00    27.02     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   60  +20      71.75     3.13    25.65     0.00     0.08    79.79    28.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   58   +2      66.00     3.20     1.87     0.00     0.00     8.55     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +0      64.28     2.92    -0.78     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     41   57   +3      63.51     2.85     2.60     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   56  +14      64.11     2.97    15.98     0.00     0.00     2.97     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   56   +4      63.92     2.98     5.58     0.00     0.00     2.47     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   53  -18      58.37     2.87   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           41   52  -12      57.57     2.84   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          41   51   -3      56.90     2.88    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         41   51   -6      57.01     2.79    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   50   -1      56.37     2.92    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   45  -13      49.69     2.65   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.01  
Accrington       41   44  -11      49.47     2.74   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Macclesfield     40   44  -14      51.07     3.27   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.01  
Wrexham          40   39  -27      44.45     2.81   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.59R    5.39  
Boston           41   39  -28      45.58     2.94   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.38R    3.03  
Torquay          41   32  -25      37.17     2.74   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.67R   91.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2007, Stevenage vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          41   88  +45      98.82     2.74    51.45   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         42   72  +27      79.91     2.47    30.60     0.00    98.61    37.60P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          42   72  +13      78.61     2.66    14.66     0.00    93.78    20.54P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   70  +16      76.42     2.64    17.45     0.00    81.41    18.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             42   68  +13      74.54     2.64    14.58     0.00    56.06    11.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             41   66   +1      73.34     2.97     1.78     0.00    29.17     4.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          41   65   +6      72.89     2.92     7.47     0.00    26.30     4.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          40   61   +7      70.37     3.41     8.69     0.00    12.93     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          41   60   +3      67.86     3.00     4.56     0.00     1.42     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           42   59  -14      62.70     2.39   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   58   -3      65.41     3.18    -3.93     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        40   53   +4      61.47     3.26     4.35     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            41   51   +5      58.05     2.97     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northwich          37   51  -10      60.88     4.00   -13.84     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             42   50   -5      55.48     2.62    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   50   -8      54.42     2.51    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   49   -8      54.30     2.67    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   41   48  -19      53.16     2.79   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.11R    0.00  
Halifax            40   46   -4      53.50     3.28    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.55R    0.00  
Cambridge_U        42   46  -11      50.04     2.47   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.39R    0.03  
Grays              41   45   +1      51.98     2.94     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.69R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   44  -15      49.14     2.62   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.92R    0.44  
Southport          42   41  -14      45.04     2.48   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.56R    5.25  
St_Albans          42   36  -30      39.93     2.45   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   94.29  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10