Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 6 April 2007 at 20:34:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 6 April 2007, Everton vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   31   78  +53      93.15     2.89    63.93    94.73   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             31   72  +36      86.08     3.23    42.93     5.27    99.77   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           31   57  +27      71.28     3.20    34.15     0.00     0.09    99.47    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             30   55  +24      71.04     3.45    32.70     0.00     0.14    98.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             32   50  +15      59.30     3.02    16.69     0.00     0.00     0.72    73.61     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              31   50   -2      58.18     3.32    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.71    49.20     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           31   48   +0      57.27     3.41    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.34    40.86     0.00     0.00  
Reading             31   44   +4      55.80     3.43     7.52     0.00     0.00     0.10    28.91     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          31   43   +5      51.80     3.39     4.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.83     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           31   40   -8      50.70     3.51    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle           31   37   -6      45.05     3.39    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35R    0.00  
Manchester_C        31   37  -11      43.27     3.01   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       31   36   -6      45.23     3.20    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         31   35   -6      44.43     3.40    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Fulham              32   35  -16      40.70     2.87   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.69R    0.00  
Wigan               31   33  -15      42.13     3.37   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.00  
Charlton            32   31  -20      36.67     2.86   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.92R    0.09  
Sheffield_U         31   31  -20      39.69     3.22   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.89R    0.07  
West_Ham            31   26  -26      30.37     2.70   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.86R   15.84  
Watford             31   20  -28      25.91     3.01   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   84.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 6 April 2007, Hull vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            41   77  +16      86.11     2.81    19.47    37.80    76.50   100.00    82.44P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   74  +23      86.09     3.50    26.69    46.19    75.67    99.86    82.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       40   73  +22      83.26     3.21    25.00    15.10    41.41    99.44    57.98P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   68  +13      77.66     3.20    15.25     0.45     2.75    84.23    21.50P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    40   67  +21      77.74     3.22    25.16     0.47     3.33    86.80    26.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   66   -2      73.81     3.12    -2.48     0.00     0.14    36.98     5.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   63  +19      73.59     3.12    22.95     0.01     0.17    44.93    11.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   63  +11      72.50     3.22    12.99     0.00     0.01    26.43     6.19P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   62  +15      70.15     2.88    17.05     0.00     0.00     8.38     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   61  +16      70.37     3.20    17.68     0.00     0.00    12.84     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   56   +0      63.64     3.12    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   55   +4      62.95     3.21     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53  -10      59.82     3.27   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   52   -6      61.17     3.31    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -9      58.77     3.08   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   51   +0      59.84     3.30     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -9      54.39     3.18   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Burnley          39   45   -1      54.08     3.42    -1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Hull             41   44  -14      48.99     2.74   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.48R    0.26  
Queens_PR        40   43  -14      49.69     3.07   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.96R    0.52  
Barnsley         40   41  -25      46.86     3.00   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.07R    7.46  
Leeds            40   39  -24      44.40     2.91   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.18R   23.25  
Southend         41   39  -26      44.00     2.70   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.35R   31.18  
Luton            40   37  -20      43.22     3.11   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.36R   37.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          40   79  +33      89.98     3.13    37.01    85.06    97.81   100.00    98.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        40   75  +20      85.39     3.23    23.18    12.35    68.67   100.00    77.10P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   40   71  +18      82.44     3.19    22.76     2.41    28.00    99.88    47.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              40   67  +23      78.53     3.16    28.01     0.16     4.08    98.49    31.93P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              40   67  +14      76.40     3.15    15.91     0.02     1.24    92.28    21.84P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           40   65  +15      74.20     3.24    16.45     0.01     0.18    76.28    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             40   61  +14      70.07     3.28    15.28     0.00     0.01    24.55     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            40   59   +5      67.53     3.17     5.53     0.00     0.00     5.46     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            40   59   +0      66.28     3.16    -1.27     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.90     3.18     3.09     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            40   55   -4      62.24     3.21    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           40   54   +2      63.50     3.30     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton            40   52   -3      59.57     3.19    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Crewe               40   52   -5      59.59     3.21    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield        40   51   -9      57.57     3.08   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Bournemouth         40   49   -8      56.41     3.16    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.00  
Gillingham          40   49  -21      55.14     3.15   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Northampton         40   48   -4      55.27     3.14    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       40   47  -11      54.13     3.23   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.83R    0.00  
Cheltenham          40   43  -17      49.76     3.13   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.12R    0.20  
Bradford            40   41  -14      48.05     3.22   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.59R    0.40  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.97     3.19    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.61R    0.48  
Rotherham           40   34  -12      40.97     3.06   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.32R   28.61  
Brentford           40   34  -29      39.22     2.88   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   70.31  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Rochdale vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       40   81  +27      91.84     3.17    30.96    78.23    99.78   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   76  +29      87.72     2.98    34.04    19.43    96.11   100.00    97.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     40   74  +17      83.94     3.14    19.52     2.03    69.11   100.00    77.86P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    40   72  +14      81.50     3.21    16.18     0.29    30.06    99.94    45.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   67  +12      77.15     3.27    15.03     0.01     4.66    97.94    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   63   +7      72.02     3.34     8.10     0.00     0.14    72.41    14.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   60  +10      68.68     3.28    10.79     0.00     0.00    33.40     8.79P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   59  +20      72.01     3.42    25.50     0.00     0.14    77.64    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   57   +0      64.46     3.23    -0.98     0.00     0.00     4.52     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56   +5      65.40     3.34     6.73     0.00     0.00     7.86     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.14     3.47     0.57     0.00     0.00     3.73     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     40   54   +1      62.35     3.18     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   53  +13      62.61     3.26    15.14     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   50   +0      58.07     3.20    -0.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          40   50   -3      57.33     3.18    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         40   50   -6      57.08     3.08    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   50  -19      55.87     3.09   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           40   49  -13      55.34     3.11   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             40   45  -12      50.94     3.03   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Accrington       40   41  -12      47.85     3.10   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.90R    0.34  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.80     3.55   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.36R    0.26  
Wrexham          39   39  -25      45.58     3.14   -29.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.34R    5.25  
Boston           40   39  -26      46.52     3.20   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.52R    3.36  
Torquay          40   32  -24      37.74     2.96   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.89R   90.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Tamworth vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          40   85  +44      98.08     3.01    51.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   72  +28      82.00     2.78    32.66     0.00    99.58    41.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          41   71  +13      79.01     2.97    14.64     0.00    92.94    20.36P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   67  +15      74.71     2.94    16.30     0.00    57.14    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             40   66   +2      74.78     3.24     2.93     0.00    48.62     7.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             41   65  +12      73.48     2.96    14.38     0.00    40.69     8.13P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          40   64   +6      73.74     3.24     8.19     0.00    39.70     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          39   60   +7      70.79     3.66     8.75     0.00    16.68     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          40   60   +4      68.61     3.27     4.35     0.00     3.74     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           41   58  -14      63.00     2.76   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   57   -3      65.76     3.50    -3.95     0.00     0.67     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        39   53   +5      63.48     3.54     6.37     0.00     0.22     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            40   48   +4      56.69     3.30     4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   48   -8      54.39     2.99    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.42R    0.00  
Northwich          36   48  -11      58.24     4.21   -16.45     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   40   48  -18      54.31     3.11   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.00  
Woking             41   47   -6      53.86     2.97    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.01  
Altrincham         41   47  -12      52.54     2.85   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.29R    0.01  
Cambridge_U        41   46  -10      51.31     2.83   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.97R    0.03  
Grays              40   45   +2      53.44     3.21     2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.77R    0.01  
Tamworth           41   44  -14      49.92     2.86   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.84R    0.58  
Halifax            39   43   -5      51.91     3.59    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.73R    0.10  
Southport          41   38  -15      42.82     2.76   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R   31.38  
St_Albans          41   36  -26      41.40     2.86   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.36R   67.88  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10