Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 5 April 2007 at 20:35:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   31   78  +53      93.15     2.86    63.97    95.02   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             31   72  +36      86.10     3.25    42.98     4.99    99.77   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           31   57  +27      71.24     3.20    34.17     0.00     0.07    99.53    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             30   55  +24      70.96     3.50    32.50     0.00     0.15    98.71    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              31   50   -2      58.18     3.30    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.84    52.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           31   48   +0      57.31     3.45    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.41    44.31     0.00     0.00  
Everton             31   47  +12      58.39     3.29    14.77     0.00     0.00     0.44    64.27     0.00     0.00  
Reading             31   44   +4      55.67     3.47     7.26     0.00     0.00     0.07    30.16     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          31   43   +5      51.84     3.36     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.72     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           31   40   -8      50.79     3.46    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           31   37   -6      45.03     3.41    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.41R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       31   36   -6      45.09     3.18    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48R    0.00  
Manchester_C        30   36  -11      44.16     3.39   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.54R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         31   35   -6      44.50     3.43    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.14R    0.00  
Fulham              31   35  -13      41.41     3.10   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.03R    0.00  
Wigan               31   33  -15      42.09     3.35   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         31   31  -20      39.71     3.22   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.19R    0.06  
Charlton            31   30  -20      36.58     3.14   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.19R    0.24  
West_Ham            31   26  -26      30.44     2.72   -36.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.75R   15.46  
Watford             31   20  -28      25.88     3.01   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   84.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Queens_PR vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            40   76  +16      86.69     3.14    19.82    43.29    78.93   100.00    83.94P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   74  +23      86.14     3.50    26.76    42.87    75.43    99.91    82.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       40   73  +22      83.31     3.20    25.09    13.03    39.53    99.52    56.93P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   68  +13      77.70     3.25    15.28     0.43     2.80    85.38    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    40   67  +21      77.79     3.20    25.26     0.36     3.00    87.61    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   66   -2      73.82     3.14    -2.44     0.02     0.16    37.70     5.14P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   63  +19      73.54     3.16    22.85     0.00     0.14    44.75    11.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   63  +11      72.48     3.25    12.93     0.00     0.01    27.27     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   61  +16      70.42     3.18    17.75     0.00     0.00    12.95     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   59  +12      68.65     3.25    14.23     0.00     0.00     4.76     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   56   +0      63.71     3.13    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   55   +4      62.95     3.22     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   52   -6      61.08     3.30    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -9      58.73     3.14   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   51   +0      59.76     3.26     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   50  -11      57.81     3.53   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -9      54.57     3.46   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.02  
Burnley          39   45   -1      54.19     3.40    -1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.01  
Hull             40   44  -13      50.74     3.09   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.70R    0.12  
Queens_PR        40   43  -14      49.67     3.08   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.06R    0.70  
Barnsley         40   41  -25      46.78     3.04   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.07R    9.84  
Southend         40   39  -23      45.19     3.01   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.32R   21.27  
Leeds            40   39  -24      44.43     2.91   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.93R   26.95  
Luton            40   37  -20      43.23     3.10   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.77R   41.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          40   79  +33      90.07     3.15    37.12    85.36    97.87   100.00    98.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        40   75  +20      85.42     3.23    23.21    12.04    68.92    99.99    76.83P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   40   71  +18      82.40     3.24    22.73     2.38    27.38    99.86    46.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              40   67  +23      78.56     3.19    28.03     0.14     4.48    98.52    32.69P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              40   67  +14      76.36     3.17    15.83     0.07     1.14    91.83    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           40   65  +15      74.18     3.24    16.40     0.00     0.23    75.80    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             40   61  +14      70.09     3.28    15.30     0.00     0.00    25.20     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            40   59   +5      67.53     3.19     5.51     0.00     0.00     5.72     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            40   59   +0      66.20     3.16    -1.40     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.94     3.19     3.13     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            40   55   -4      62.28     3.23    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           40   54   +2      63.56     3.31     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton            40   52   -3      59.56     3.19    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Crewe               40   52   -5      59.57     3.18    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield        40   51   -9      57.50     3.06   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Bournemouth         40   49   -8      56.37     3.16    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.00  
Gillingham          40   49  -21      55.10     3.17   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.00  
Northampton         40   48   -4      55.29     3.13    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.62R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       40   47  -11      54.11     3.23   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.92R    0.00  
Cheltenham          40   43  -17      49.80     3.14   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.47R    0.19  
Bradford            40   41  -14      48.07     3.21   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.52R    0.47  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.99     3.20    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.89R    0.47  
Rotherham           40   34  -12      41.04     3.11   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   28.14  
Brentford           40   34  -29      39.19     2.89   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   70.72  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Rochdale vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       40   81  +27      91.83     3.14    30.95    77.79    99.78   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   76  +29      87.73     3.00    34.04    19.57    95.91   100.00    97.46P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     40   74  +17      83.98     3.19    19.56     2.27    69.42   100.00    78.03P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    40   72  +14      81.44     3.22    16.09     0.38    30.25    99.92    46.20P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   67  +12      77.12     3.25    14.97     0.00     4.39    97.75    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   63   +7      71.96     3.34     8.02     0.00     0.17    71.56    14.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   60  +10      68.71     3.24    10.85     0.00     0.00    33.23     8.78P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   59  +20      72.07     3.40    25.57     0.00     0.07    78.30    27.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   57   +0      64.56     3.23    -0.85     0.00     0.00     4.79     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56   +5      65.37     3.35     6.69     0.00     0.00     7.88     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.21     3.49     0.64     0.00     0.00     4.12     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     40   54   +1      62.34     3.16     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   53  +13      62.71     3.27    15.29     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   50   +0      57.97     3.24    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          40   50   -3      57.34     3.16    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         40   50   -6      57.05     3.06    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   50  -19      55.91     3.08   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   49  -13      55.37     3.10   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             40   45  -12      50.85     3.01   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Accrington       40   41  -12      47.75     3.09   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.48R    0.38  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.81     3.55   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.29R    0.29  
Wrexham          39   39  -25      45.60     3.16   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.17R    5.38  
Boston           40   39  -26      46.41     3.20   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.47R    3.71  
Torquay          40   32  -24      37.87     2.96   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.64R   90.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Tamworth vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          40   85  +44      98.17     3.00    52.21   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   72  +28      81.96     2.78    32.62     0.01    99.71    40.49P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          41   71  +13      79.00     2.98    14.66     0.00    94.45    21.16P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   67  +15      74.75     2.95    16.36     0.00    63.29    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             40   66   +2      74.63     3.24     2.73     0.00    51.65     8.22P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             41   65  +12      73.54     2.96    14.49     0.00    47.16     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          40   62   +4      71.61     3.24     5.92     0.00    20.14     3.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          39   60   +7      70.61     3.65     8.50     0.00    18.30     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          40   60   +4      68.49     3.22     4.16     0.00     3.96     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           41   58  -14      63.02     2.76   -17.06     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   57   -3      65.76     3.48    -3.92     0.00     0.97     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        39   53   +5      63.58     3.53     6.51     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            40   48   +4      56.68     3.32     4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   48   -8      54.35     2.97    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.00  
Northwich          36   48  -11      58.37     4.15   -16.29     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.70R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   40   48  -18      54.37     3.13   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.24R    0.01  
Woking             41   47   -6      53.78     2.94    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   47  -12      52.60     2.83   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.15R    0.03  
Cambridge_U        41   46  -10      51.22     2.79   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.61R    0.06  
Grays              40   45   +2      53.41     3.24     2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.32R    0.01  
Halifax            39   44   -3      53.22     3.57    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.29R    0.04  
Tamworth           41   44  -14      49.95     2.90   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.05R    0.65  
Southport          41   38  -15      42.81     2.75   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.20R   31.21  
St_Albans          41   36  -26      41.37     2.86   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.43R   68.02  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10