Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 5 April 2007 at 20:35:42 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Manchester_United 31 78 +53 93.15 2.86 63.97 95.02 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 72 +36 86.10 3.25 42.98 4.99 99.77 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 57 +27 71.24 3.20 34.17 0.00 0.07 99.53 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 55 +24 70.96 3.50 32.50 0.00 0.15 98.71 99.98 0.00 0.00 Bolton 31 50 -2 58.18 3.30 -4.55 0.00 0.00 0.84 52.47 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 48 +0 57.31 3.45 -0.90 0.00 0.00 0.41 44.31 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 47 +12 58.39 3.29 14.77 0.00 0.00 0.44 64.27 0.00 0.00 Reading 31 44 +4 55.67 3.47 7.26 0.00 0.00 0.07 30.16 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 31 43 +5 51.84 3.36 4.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.72 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 31 40 -8 50.79 3.46 -6.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.02 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 31 37 -6 45.03 3.41 -8.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.41R 0.00 Middlesbrough 31 36 -6 45.09 3.18 -7.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.48R 0.00 Manchester_C 30 36 -11 44.16 3.39 -14.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.54R 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 35 -6 44.50 3.43 -5.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.14R 0.00 Fulham 31 35 -13 41.41 3.10 -18.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.03R 0.00 Wigan 31 33 -15 42.09 3.35 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.31R 0.00 Sheffield_U 31 31 -20 39.71 3.22 -22.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.19R 0.06 Charlton 31 30 -20 36.58 3.14 -25.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.19R 0.24 West_Ham 31 26 -26 30.44 2.72 -36.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.75R 15.46 Watford 31 20 -28 25.88 3.01 -33.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 84.23Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Queens_PR vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 40 76 +16 86.69 3.14 19.82 43.29 78.93 100.00 83.94P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 74 +23 86.14 3.50 26.76 42.87 75.43 99.91 82.95P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 40 73 +22 83.31 3.20 25.09 13.03 39.53 99.52 56.93P 0.00 0.00 Preston 40 68 +13 77.70 3.25 15.28 0.43 2.80 85.38 21.38P 0.00 0.00 West_Bromwich 40 67 +21 77.79 3.20 25.26 0.36 3.00 87.61 26.79P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 40 66 -2 73.82 3.14 -2.44 0.02 0.16 37.70 5.14P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 40 63 +19 73.54 3.16 22.85 0.00 0.14 44.75 11.54P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 40 63 +11 72.48 3.25 12.93 0.00 0.01 27.27 6.41P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 40 61 +16 70.42 3.18 17.75 0.00 0.00 12.95 3.77P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 59 +12 68.65 3.25 14.23 0.00 0.00 4.76 1.15P 0.00 0.00 Sheffield_W 40 56 +0 63.71 3.13 -1.13 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 40 55 +4 62.95 3.22 3.69 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 40 52 -6 61.08 3.30 -4.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 40 52 -9 58.73 3.14 -11.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 40 51 +0 59.76 3.26 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 50 -11 57.81 3.53 -13.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 39 46 -9 54.57 3.46 -10.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56R 0.02 Burnley 39 45 -1 54.19 3.40 -1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58R 0.01 Hull 40 44 -13 50.74 3.09 -15.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.70R 0.12 Queens_PR 40 43 -14 49.67 3.08 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.06R 0.70 Barnsley 40 41 -25 46.78 3.04 -29.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.07R 9.84 Southend 40 39 -23 45.19 3.01 -26.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.32R 21.27 Leeds 40 39 -24 44.43 2.91 -28.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.93R 26.95 Luton 40 37 -20 43.23 3.10 -23.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.77R 41.08League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 40 79 +33 90.07 3.15 37.12 85.36 97.87 100.00 98.62P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 40 75 +20 85.42 3.23 23.21 12.04 68.92 99.99 76.83P 0.00 0.00 Nottingham_Forest 40 71 +18 82.40 3.24 22.73 2.38 27.38 99.86 46.97P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 40 67 +23 78.56 3.19 28.03 0.14 4.48 98.52 32.69P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 40 67 +14 76.36 3.17 15.83 0.07 1.14 91.83 21.56P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 65 +15 74.18 3.24 16.40 0.00 0.23 75.80 16.41P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 40 61 +14 70.09 3.28 15.30 0.00 0.00 25.20 5.35P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 59 +5 67.53 3.19 5.51 0.00 0.00 5.72 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 40 59 +0 66.20 3.16 -1.40 0.00 0.00 2.10 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 40 55 +2 63.94 3.19 3.13 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 40 55 -4 62.28 3.23 -5.25 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 40 54 +2 63.56 3.31 3.98 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 40 52 -3 59.56 3.19 -3.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Crewe 40 52 -5 59.57 3.18 -6.25 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.03R 0.00 Huddersfield 40 51 -9 57.50 3.06 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32R 0.00 Bournemouth 40 49 -8 56.37 3.16 -9.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.49R 0.00 Gillingham 40 49 -21 55.10 3.17 -24.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.71R 0.00 Northampton 40 48 -4 55.29 3.13 -5.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.62R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 40 47 -11 54.11 3.23 -12.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92R 0.00 Cheltenham 40 43 -17 49.80 3.14 -19.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.47R 0.19 Bradford 40 41 -14 48.07 3.21 -15.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.52R 0.47 Chesterfield 40 40 -9 47.99 3.20 -9.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.89R 0.47 Rotherham 40 34 -12 41.04 3.11 -13.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.08R 28.14 Brentford 40 34 -29 39.19 2.89 -33.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.92R 70.72 Adjustments: Rotherham -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Rochdale vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Hartlepool 40 81 +27 91.83 3.14 30.95 77.79 99.78 100.00 99.89P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 40 76 +29 87.73 3.00 34.04 19.57 95.91 100.00 97.46P 0.00 0.00 Swindon_Town 40 74 +17 83.98 3.19 19.56 2.27 69.42 100.00 78.03P 0.00 0.00 Milton_Keynes 40 72 +14 81.44 3.22 16.09 0.38 30.25 99.92 46.20P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_C 40 67 +12 77.12 3.25 14.97 0.00 4.39 97.75 23.86P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 40 63 +7 71.96 3.34 8.02 0.00 0.17 71.56 14.30P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 60 +10 68.71 3.24 10.85 0.00 0.00 33.23 8.78P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 59 +20 72.07 3.40 25.57 0.00 0.07 78.30 27.27P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 40 57 +0 64.56 3.23 -0.85 0.00 0.00 4.79 0.95P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 56 +5 65.37 3.35 6.69 0.00 0.00 7.88 1.73P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 55 +1 64.21 3.49 0.64 0.00 0.00 4.12 0.96P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 54 +1 62.34 3.16 1.27 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 40 53 +13 62.71 3.27 15.29 0.00 0.00 1.48 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 50 +0 57.97 3.24 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 40 50 -3 57.34 3.16 -4.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 40 50 -6 57.05 3.06 -7.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 40 50 -19 55.91 3.08 -23.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 49 -13 55.37 3.10 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bury 40 45 -12 50.85 3.01 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93R 0.00 Accrington 40 41 -12 47.75 3.09 -15.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.48R 0.38 Macclesfield 39 41 -16 49.81 3.55 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.29R 0.29 Wrexham 39 39 -25 45.60 3.16 -29.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.17R 5.38 Boston 40 39 -26 46.41 3.20 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.47R 3.71 Torquay 40 32 -24 37.87 2.96 -27.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.64R 90.24Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Tamworth vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 40 85 +44 98.17 3.00 52.21 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 72 +28 81.96 2.78 32.62 0.01 99.71 40.49P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 41 71 +13 79.00 2.98 14.66 0.00 94.45 21.16P 0.00 0.00 York 41 67 +15 74.75 2.95 16.36 0.00 63.29 13.68P 0.00 0.00 Burton 40 66 +2 74.63 3.24 2.73 0.00 51.65 8.22P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 65 +12 73.54 2.96 14.49 0.00 47.16 9.23P 0.00 0.00 Gravesend 40 62 +4 71.61 3.24 5.92 0.00 20.14 3.49P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 60 +7 70.61 3.65 8.50 0.00 18.30 2.96P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 60 +4 68.49 3.22 4.16 0.00 3.96 0.58P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 41 58 -14 63.02 2.76 -17.06 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 39 57 -3 65.76 3.48 -3.92 0.00 0.97 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D 39 53 +5 63.58 3.53 6.51 0.00 0.33 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Crawley 40 48 +4 56.68 3.32 4.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45R 0.00 Forest_Green 41 48 -8 54.35 2.97 -8.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.92R 0.00 Northwich 36 48 -11 58.37 4.15 -16.29 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.70R 0.00 Stafford_Rangers 40 48 -18 54.37 3.13 -20.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.24R 0.01 Woking 41 47 -6 53.78 2.94 -5.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.65R 0.00 Altrincham 41 47 -12 52.60 2.83 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.15R 0.03 Cambridge_U 41 46 -10 51.22 2.79 -12.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.61R 0.06 Grays 40 45 +2 53.41 3.24 2.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.32R 0.01 Halifax 39 44 -3 53.22 3.57 -3.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29R 0.04 Tamworth 41 44 -14 49.95 2.90 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.05R 0.65 Southport 41 38 -15 42.81 2.75 -17.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.20R 31.21 St_Albans 41 36 -26 41.37 2.86 -28.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.43R 68.02 Adjustments: Crawley -10