Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 4 April 2007 at 20:34:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   31   78  +53      93.19     2.87    64.02    94.75   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             31   72  +36      86.08     3.28    42.92     5.25    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           31   57  +27      71.22     3.21    34.10     0.00     0.05    99.54   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             30   55  +24      70.95     3.49    32.43     0.00     0.10    98.51    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              31   50   -2      58.31     3.33    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.90    53.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           31   48   +0      57.24     3.42    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.47    42.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton             31   47  +12      58.28     3.29    14.60     0.00     0.00     0.49    63.25     0.00     0.00  
Reading             31   44   +4      55.73     3.49     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.09    31.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          31   43   +5      51.93     3.38     4.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.75     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           31   40   -8      50.69     3.51    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle           31   37   -6      44.98     3.40    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.46R    0.00  
Middlesbrough       31   36   -6      45.11     3.16    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43R    0.00  
Manchester_C        30   36  -11      44.11     3.39   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.98R    0.00  
Aston_Villa         31   35   -6      44.50     3.41    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.01R    0.00  
Fulham              31   35  -13      41.44     3.08   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.24R    0.00  
Wigan               31   33  -15      42.03     3.37   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.07R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         31   31  -20      39.70     3.20   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.35R    0.07  
Charlton            31   30  -20      36.73     3.16   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.69R    0.18  
West_Ham            31   26  -26      30.37     2.71   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R   15.67  
Watford             31   20  -28      25.88     2.99   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   84.08  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Queens_PR vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            40   76  +16      86.78     3.13    19.94    44.78    79.66    99.99    84.85P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   74  +23      86.09     3.49    26.69    41.40    74.48    99.96    82.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       40   73  +22      83.34     3.19    25.11    13.04    40.15    99.61    57.92P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   68  +13      77.72     3.22    15.29     0.44     2.59    85.49    20.86P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    40   67  +21      77.74     3.19    25.18     0.34     2.92    87.26    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   66   -2      73.74     3.11    -2.53     0.01     0.10    37.38     5.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   63  +19      73.47     3.11    22.70     0.00     0.11    44.03    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   63  +11      72.47     3.26    12.90     0.00     0.01    27.68     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   61  +16      70.43     3.19    17.77     0.00     0.00    13.70     4.07P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   59  +12      68.65     3.24    14.24     0.00     0.00     4.75     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   56   +0      63.75     3.14    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   55   +4      62.89     3.18     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   52   -6      61.05     3.30    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -9      58.75     3.11   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   51   +0      59.77     3.32     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   50  -11      57.78     3.50   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -9      54.54     3.41   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Burnley          39   45   -1      54.11     3.38    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Hull             40   44  -13      50.85     3.11   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.09  
Queens_PR        40   43  -14      49.70     3.10   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.26R    0.83  
Barnsley         40   41  -25      46.84     3.02   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.25R    9.15  
Southend         40   39  -23      45.19     3.02   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.23R   21.57  
Leeds            40   39  -24      44.40     2.91   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.46R   27.50  
Luton            40   37  -20      43.29     3.15   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.48R   40.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          40   79  +33      90.02     3.16    37.06    85.26    97.87   100.00    98.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        40   75  +20      85.40     3.23    23.19    12.07    68.90   100.00    77.05P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   40   71  +18      82.39     3.23    22.68     2.44    27.30    99.89    46.46P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              40   67  +23      78.50     3.17    27.98     0.17     4.39    98.52    32.44P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              40   67  +14      76.45     3.17    15.97     0.04     1.36    92.30    22.22P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           40   65  +15      74.12     3.26    16.31     0.00     0.17    74.61    16.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             40   61  +14      70.08     3.27    15.32     0.00     0.01    25.96     5.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            40   59   +5      67.48     3.18     5.45     0.00     0.00     5.83     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            40   59   +0      66.19     3.16    -1.38     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.86     3.23     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            40   55   -4      62.28     3.22    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           40   54   +2      63.50     3.30     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton            40   52   -3      59.61     3.19    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               40   52   -5      59.57     3.19    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield        40   51   -9      57.63     3.10   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Bournemouth         40   49   -8      56.44     3.16    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45R    0.00  
Gillingham          40   49  -21      55.12     3.17   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.18R    0.00  
Northampton         40   48   -4      55.33     3.13    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       40   47  -11      54.05     3.23   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.10R    0.00  
Cheltenham          40   43  -17      49.84     3.13   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.32R    0.17  
Bradford            40   41  -14      48.05     3.22   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.97R    0.40  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      48.03     3.19    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.81R    0.48  
Rotherham           40   34  -12      41.00     3.06   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.43R   28.52  
Brentford           40   34  -29      39.20     2.90   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   70.43  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Rochdale vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       40   81  +27      91.78     3.17    30.87    77.56    99.78   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   76  +29      87.70     3.00    34.04    20.16    96.29   100.00    97.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     40   74  +17      83.92     3.15    19.48     1.96    68.81   100.00    77.64P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    40   72  +14      81.49     3.17    16.19     0.32    29.93    99.95    45.56P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   67  +12      77.26     3.28    15.17     0.01     4.88    98.00    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   63   +7      72.07     3.32     8.17     0.00     0.14    72.63    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   60  +10      68.73     3.26    10.85     0.00     0.01    33.50     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   59  +20      72.04     3.41    25.56     0.00     0.17    77.87    26.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   57   +0      64.46     3.23    -1.01     0.00     0.00     4.46     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56   +5      65.42     3.33     6.75     0.00     0.00     7.51     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.08     3.49     0.50     0.00     0.00     3.62     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     40   54   +1      62.48     3.19     1.48     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   53  +13      62.60     3.25    15.15     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   50   +0      58.12     3.26    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          40   50   -3      57.32     3.16    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         40   50   -6      57.16     3.05    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   50  -19      55.84     3.05   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   49  -13      55.37     3.12   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             40   45  -12      50.87     3.02   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.01  
Accrington       40   41  -12      47.74     3.08   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.59R    0.41  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.77     3.54   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.04R    0.25  
Wrexham          39   39  -25      45.56     3.13   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.17R    5.45  
Boston           40   39  -26      46.47     3.20   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.30R    3.31  
Torquay          40   32  -24      37.73     2.94   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R   90.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2007, Tamworth vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          40   85  +44      98.16     3.01    52.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   72  +28      82.02     2.78    32.69     0.00    99.69    41.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          41   71  +13      78.97     2.99    14.59     0.00    94.02    20.68P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   67  +15      74.65     2.96    16.25     0.00    61.23    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             40   66   +2      74.71     3.24     2.83     0.00    53.06     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             41   65  +12      73.56     2.94    14.52     0.00    47.41     9.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          40   62   +4      71.57     3.25     5.89     0.00    19.58     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          39   60   +7      70.73     3.69     8.70     0.00    19.10     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          40   60   +4      68.52     3.25     4.24     0.00     4.47     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           41   58  -14      62.98     2.74   -17.13     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   57   -3      65.78     3.53    -3.87     0.00     1.04     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        39   53   +5      63.51     3.53     6.40     0.00     0.37     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            40   48   +4      56.67     3.31     4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   48   -8      54.33     2.97    -8.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.00  
Northwich          36   48  -11      58.33     4.15   -16.32     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   40   48  -18      54.37     3.10   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.01  
Woking             41   47   -6      53.80     2.96    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.01  
Altrincham         41   47  -12      52.58     2.86   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.18R    0.01  
Cambridge_U        41   46  -10      51.18     2.84   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.06R    0.07  
Grays              40   45   +2      53.43     3.24     2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.34R    0.01  
Halifax            39   44   -3      53.22     3.57    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.12R    0.01  
Tamworth           41   44  -14      49.96     2.91   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.27R    0.69  
Southport          41   38  -15      42.85     2.74   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.99R   31.23  
St_Albans          41   36  -26      41.41     2.85   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   67.97  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10