Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 3 April 2007 at 20:34:27 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Manchester_U 31 78 +53 93.19 2.86 63.96 95.06 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 72 +36 86.05 3.26 42.93 4.93 99.75 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 57 +27 71.18 3.23 34.04 0.00 0.08 99.43 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 55 +24 70.99 3.47 32.57 0.00 0.17 98.77 99.98 0.00 0.00 Bolton 31 50 -2 58.23 3.30 -4.47 0.00 0.00 0.81 52.74 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 48 +0 57.29 3.46 -0.95 0.00 0.00 0.41 44.02 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 47 +12 58.33 3.31 14.62 0.00 0.00 0.48 63.90 0.00 0.00 Reading 31 44 +4 55.69 3.45 7.31 0.00 0.00 0.09 30.30 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 31 43 +5 51.89 3.38 4.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.92 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 31 40 -8 50.72 3.50 -6.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.02 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 31 37 -6 44.90 3.39 -8.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.51R 0.00 Middlesbrough 31 36 -6 45.12 3.22 -7.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.49R 0.00 Manchester_C 30 36 -11 44.11 3.42 -15.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.93R 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 35 -6 44.42 3.42 -6.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.91R 0.00 Fulham 31 35 -13 41.48 3.11 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.70R 0.00 Wigan 31 33 -15 42.08 3.40 -15.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.59R 0.00 Sheffield_U 31 31 -20 39.73 3.23 -22.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.55R 0.04 Charlton 31 30 -20 36.62 3.15 -24.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.60R 0.23 West_Ham 31 26 -26 30.44 2.69 -36.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.86R 16.29 Watford 31 20 -28 26.00 3.03 -33.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 83.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 April 2007, Birmingham vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 40 76 +16 86.78 3.15 19.90 43.12 77.45 100.00 83.31P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 74 +23 86.17 3.48 26.79 41.57 73.64 99.87 81.35P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 40 73 +22 83.38 3.20 25.21 13.16 38.74 99.46 56.54P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 68 +14 79.28 3.54 16.61 1.85 7.37 91.27 25.70P 0.00 0.00 West_Bromwich 40 67 +21 77.87 3.19 25.37 0.29 2.56 87.30 26.29P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 40 66 -2 73.81 3.13 -2.43 0.01 0.12 35.41 5.10P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 40 63 +19 73.56 3.16 22.77 0.00 0.12 43.41 11.12P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 40 63 +11 72.53 3.24 13.01 0.00 0.01 26.28 5.79P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 40 61 +16 70.51 3.20 17.88 0.00 0.00 12.79 3.79P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 59 +12 68.71 3.23 14.34 0.00 0.00 4.04 0.96P 0.00 0.00 Sheffield_W 40 56 +0 63.71 3.11 -1.13 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 40 55 +4 62.89 3.17 3.63 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 52 -2 62.61 3.62 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 40 52 -9 58.83 3.12 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 40 51 +0 59.80 3.32 0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 50 -11 57.84 3.53 -13.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 39 46 -9 54.45 3.46 -10.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35R 0.00 Hull 40 44 -13 50.63 3.10 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.66R 0.13 Burnley 38 42 -5 52.18 3.67 -5.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.12R 0.10 Barnsley 40 41 -25 46.77 3.02 -29.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.41R 8.74 Queens_PR 39 40 -15 47.69 3.36 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.82R 4.64 Southend 40 39 -23 45.21 3.00 -26.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.73R 19.68 Leeds 40 39 -24 44.37 2.89 -28.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.22R 26.62 Luton 40 37 -20 43.23 3.14 -23.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.70R 40.08League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 40 79 +33 90.00 3.14 37.03 85.42 97.99 100.00 98.59P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 40 75 +20 85.34 3.24 23.09 11.95 68.75 100.00 76.78P 0.00 0.00 Nottingham_Forest 40 71 +18 82.37 3.20 22.64 2.44 27.26 99.88 47.01P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 40 67 +23 78.57 3.14 28.07 0.14 4.53 98.61 32.48P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 40 67 +14 76.44 3.13 15.99 0.05 1.32 92.19 22.06P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 65 +15 74.15 3.25 16.38 0.01 0.15 75.16 15.93P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 40 61 +14 70.07 3.28 15.27 0.00 0.00 25.42 5.56P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 59 +5 67.55 3.19 5.53 0.00 0.00 5.47 1.00P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 40 59 +0 66.27 3.19 -1.31 0.00 0.00 2.38 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 40 55 +2 63.95 3.19 3.15 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 40 55 -4 62.27 3.21 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 40 54 +2 63.53 3.31 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 40 52 -3 59.55 3.15 -3.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Crewe 40 52 -5 59.58 3.21 -6.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Huddersfield 40 51 -9 57.61 3.12 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Bournemouth 40 49 -8 56.35 3.15 -9.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.43R 0.00 Gillingham 40 49 -21 55.17 3.17 -24.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.04R 0.00 Northampton 40 48 -4 55.27 3.11 -5.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.65R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 40 47 -11 54.05 3.20 -12.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.24R 0.00 Cheltenham 40 43 -17 49.80 3.11 -19.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.78R 0.23 Bradford 40 41 -14 48.10 3.21 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.35R 0.35 Chesterfield 40 40 -9 47.99 3.21 -9.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.74R 0.41 Rotherham 40 34 -12 41.00 3.07 -13.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.40R 28.20 Brentford 40 34 -29 39.16 2.88 -33.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 70.80 Adjustments: Rotherham -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Walsall vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Hartlepool 40 81 +27 91.92 3.14 31.10 78.25 99.78 100.00 99.84P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 40 76 +29 87.70 2.98 34.04 18.58 96.15 100.00 97.56P 0.00 0.00 Swindon_Town 39 73 +17 84.22 3.45 19.43 2.88 69.88 99.99 77.81P 0.00 0.00 Milton_Keynes 40 72 +14 81.44 3.19 16.10 0.28 28.52 99.92 43.88P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_C 40 67 +12 77.14 3.26 15.02 0.00 4.18 97.48 22.84P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 40 63 +7 72.08 3.32 8.20 0.00 0.18 69.73 13.78P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 60 +10 68.63 3.24 10.73 0.00 0.00 26.88 6.67P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 59 +22 74.63 3.59 29.46 0.00 1.31 90.65 34.40P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 40 57 +0 64.44 3.25 -1.01 0.00 0.00 3.62 0.65P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 56 +5 65.37 3.33 6.67 0.00 0.00 6.00 1.26P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 55 +1 64.11 3.46 0.50 0.00 0.00 2.73 0.55P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 54 +1 62.38 3.16 1.31 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 39 52 +13 63.20 3.53 15.53 0.00 0.00 2.35 0.67P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 50 +0 58.16 3.25 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Chester 40 50 -3 57.31 3.16 -4.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 40 50 -6 57.08 3.06 -7.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 40 50 -19 55.84 3.05 -23.27 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 49 -13 55.32 3.08 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 39 42 -14 48.23 3.18 -19.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.76R 0.17 Accrington 40 41 -12 47.71 3.01 -15.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.17R 0.36 Macclesfield 39 41 -16 49.81 3.53 -17.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.09R 0.28 Wrexham 39 39 -25 45.58 3.14 -30.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.69R 5.29 Boston 40 39 -26 46.48 3.22 -27.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.64R 3.56 Torquay 40 32 -24 37.73 2.95 -27.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.64R 90.33Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Tamworth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 40 85 +44 98.15 3.01 52.09 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 72 +28 81.95 2.76 32.57 0.00 99.47 40.32P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 40 68 +11 77.57 3.32 12.96 0.00 80.89 17.23P 0.00 0.00 York 41 67 +15 74.75 2.92 16.39 0.00 56.75 12.57P 0.00 0.00 Burton 40 66 +2 74.69 3.27 2.79 0.00 46.02 7.37P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 65 +13 74.98 3.28 15.58 0.00 58.84 12.49P 0.00 0.00 Gravesend 39 61 +4 72.33 3.54 6.46 0.00 24.40 4.22P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 38 60 +8 72.55 3.97 10.37 0.00 31.42 5.46P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 40 58 -11 64.20 3.09 -14.27 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 39 57 +3 66.78 3.57 3.06 0.00 1.75 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 38 54 -4 63.67 3.78 -5.61 0.00 0.25 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D 38 50 +2 62.04 3.83 3.63 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley 40 48 +4 56.71 3.28 4.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67R 0.00 Stafford_Rangers 40 48 -18 54.38 3.09 -20.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.17R 0.01 Woking 41 47 -6 53.86 2.95 -5.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.88R 0.01 Forest_Green 40 47 -8 54.62 3.27 -8.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.39R 0.01 Altrincham 41 47 -12 52.51 2.83 -14.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.48R 0.06 Cambridge_U 41 46 -10 51.20 2.82 -12.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.79R 0.12 Northwich 35 45 -12 56.36 4.40 -17.86 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.40R 0.04 Grays 39 44 +2 54.00 3.56 2.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.26R 0.01 Tamworth 40 44 -13 51.51 3.23 -14.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.89R 0.56 Halifax 38 43 -3 53.34 3.85 -3.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.72R 0.12 Southport 41 38 -15 42.87 2.77 -17.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.24R 41.03 St_Albans 40 36 -24 42.45 3.16 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.10R 58.06 Adjustments: Crawley -10