Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 3 April 2007 at 20:34:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    31   78  +53      93.19     2.86    63.96    95.06   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   72  +36      86.05     3.26    42.93     4.93    99.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   57  +27      71.18     3.23    34.04     0.00     0.08    99.43   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   55  +24      70.99     3.47    32.57     0.00     0.17    98.77    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          31   50   -2      58.23     3.30    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.81    52.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   48   +0      57.29     3.46    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.41    44.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   47  +12      58.33     3.31    14.62     0.00     0.00     0.48    63.90     0.00     0.00  
Reading         31   44   +4      55.69     3.45     7.31     0.00     0.00     0.09    30.30     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   43   +5      51.89     3.38     4.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.92     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   40   -8      50.72     3.50    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   37   -6      44.90     3.39    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.51R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   36   -6      45.12     3.22    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.49R    0.00  
Manchester_C    30   36  -11      44.11     3.42   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.93R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   35   -6      44.42     3.42    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.91R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -13      41.48     3.11   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.70R    0.00  
Wigan           31   33  -15      42.08     3.40   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     31   31  -20      39.73     3.23   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.55R    0.04  
Charlton        31   30  -20      36.62     3.15   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.60R    0.23  
West_Ham        31   26  -26      30.44     2.69   -36.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.86R   16.29  
Watford         31   20  -28      26.00     3.03   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   83.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 April 2007, Birmingham vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            40   76  +16      86.78     3.15    19.90    43.12    77.45   100.00    83.31P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   74  +23      86.17     3.48    26.79    41.57    73.64    99.87    81.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       40   73  +22      83.38     3.20    25.21    13.16    38.74    99.46    56.54P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   68  +14      79.28     3.54    16.61     1.85     7.37    91.27    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    40   67  +21      77.87     3.19    25.37     0.29     2.56    87.30    26.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   66   -2      73.81     3.13    -2.43     0.01     0.12    35.41     5.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   63  +19      73.56     3.16    22.77     0.00     0.12    43.41    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   63  +11      72.53     3.24    13.01     0.00     0.01    26.28     5.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   61  +16      70.51     3.20    17.88     0.00     0.00    12.79     3.79P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   59  +12      68.71     3.23    14.34     0.00     0.00     4.04     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   56   +0      63.71     3.11    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   55   +4      62.89     3.17     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   52   -2      62.61     3.62    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -9      58.83     3.12   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   51   +0      59.80     3.32     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   50  -11      57.84     3.53   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -9      54.45     3.46   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Hull             40   44  -13      50.63     3.10   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66R    0.13  
Burnley          38   42   -5      52.18     3.67    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.12R    0.10  
Barnsley         40   41  -25      46.77     3.02   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.41R    8.74  
Queens_PR        39   40  -15      47.69     3.36   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.82R    4.64  
Southend         40   39  -23      45.21     3.00   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.73R   19.68  
Leeds            40   39  -24      44.37     2.89   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.22R   26.62  
Luton            40   37  -20      43.23     3.14   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R   40.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          40   79  +33      90.00     3.14    37.03    85.42    97.99   100.00    98.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        40   75  +20      85.34     3.24    23.09    11.95    68.75   100.00    76.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   40   71  +18      82.37     3.20    22.64     2.44    27.26    99.88    47.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              40   67  +23      78.57     3.14    28.07     0.14     4.53    98.61    32.48P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              40   67  +14      76.44     3.13    15.99     0.05     1.32    92.19    22.06P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           40   65  +15      74.15     3.25    16.38     0.01     0.15    75.16    15.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             40   61  +14      70.07     3.28    15.27     0.00     0.00    25.42     5.56P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            40   59   +5      67.55     3.19     5.53     0.00     0.00     5.47     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            40   59   +0      66.27     3.19    -1.31     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.95     3.19     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            40   55   -4      62.27     3.21    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           40   54   +2      63.53     3.31     3.94     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton            40   52   -3      59.55     3.15    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               40   52   -5      59.58     3.21    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield        40   51   -9      57.61     3.12   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Bournemouth         40   49   -8      56.35     3.15    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Gillingham          40   49  -21      55.17     3.17   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.00  
Northampton         40   48   -4      55.27     3.11    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       40   47  -11      54.05     3.20   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.24R    0.00  
Cheltenham          40   43  -17      49.80     3.11   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.78R    0.23  
Bradford            40   41  -14      48.10     3.21   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.35R    0.35  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.99     3.21    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.74R    0.41  
Rotherham           40   34  -12      41.00     3.07   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   28.20  
Brentford           40   34  -29      39.16     2.88   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   70.80  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Walsall vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       40   81  +27      91.92     3.14    31.10    78.25    99.78   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   76  +29      87.70     2.98    34.04    18.58    96.15   100.00    97.56P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     39   73  +17      84.22     3.45    19.43     2.88    69.88    99.99    77.81P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    40   72  +14      81.44     3.19    16.10     0.28    28.52    99.92    43.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   67  +12      77.14     3.26    15.02     0.00     4.18    97.48    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   63   +7      72.08     3.32     8.20     0.00     0.18    69.73    13.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   60  +10      68.63     3.24    10.73     0.00     0.00    26.88     6.67P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   59  +22      74.63     3.59    29.46     0.00     1.31    90.65    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   57   +0      64.44     3.25    -1.01     0.00     0.00     3.62     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56   +5      65.37     3.33     6.67     0.00     0.00     6.00     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.11     3.46     0.50     0.00     0.00     2.73     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     40   54   +1      62.38     3.16     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   52  +13      63.20     3.53    15.53     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   50   +0      58.16     3.25    -0.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          40   50   -3      57.31     3.16    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         40   50   -6      57.08     3.06    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   50  -19      55.84     3.05   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   49  -13      55.32     3.08   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             39   42  -14      48.23     3.18   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.76R    0.17  
Accrington       40   41  -12      47.71     3.01   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.17R    0.36  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.81     3.53   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.28  
Wrexham          39   39  -25      45.58     3.14   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.69R    5.29  
Boston           40   39  -26      46.48     3.22   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.64R    3.56  
Torquay          40   32  -24      37.73     2.95   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.64R   90.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Tamworth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          40   85  +44      98.15     3.01    52.09   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   72  +28      81.95     2.76    32.57     0.00    99.47    40.32P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          40   68  +11      77.57     3.32    12.96     0.00    80.89    17.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   67  +15      74.75     2.92    16.39     0.00    56.75    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             40   66   +2      74.69     3.27     2.79     0.00    46.02     7.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             40   65  +13      74.98     3.28    15.58     0.00    58.84    12.49P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          39   61   +4      72.33     3.54     6.46     0.00    24.40     4.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          38   60   +8      72.55     3.97    10.37     0.00    31.42     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           40   58  -11      64.20     3.09   -14.27     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          39   57   +3      66.78     3.57     3.06     0.00     1.75     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   54   -4      63.67     3.78    -5.61     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        38   50   +2      62.04     3.83     3.63     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            40   48   +4      56.71     3.28     4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   40   48  -18      54.38     3.09   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.17R    0.01  
Woking             41   47   -6      53.86     2.95    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.01  
Forest_Green       40   47   -8      54.62     3.27    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.39R    0.01  
Altrincham         41   47  -12      52.51     2.83   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.48R    0.06  
Cambridge_U        41   46  -10      51.20     2.82   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.79R    0.12  
Northwich          35   45  -12      56.36     4.40   -17.86     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.40R    0.04  
Grays              39   44   +2      54.00     3.56     2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.26R    0.01  
Tamworth           40   44  -13      51.51     3.23   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.89R    0.56  
Halifax            38   43   -3      53.34     3.85    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.72R    0.12  
Southport          41   38  -15      42.87     2.77   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.24R   41.03  
St_Albans          40   36  -24      42.45     3.16   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.10R   58.06  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10