Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 2 April 2007 at 20:33:51 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 April 2007, Tottenham vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    31   78  +53      93.19     2.87    63.95    94.81   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   72  +36      86.04     3.27    42.89     5.19    99.78   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   57  +27      71.20     3.22    34.07     0.00     0.07    99.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   55  +24      70.94     3.51    32.44     0.00     0.14    98.39    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          31   50   -2      58.35     3.30    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.82    53.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   48   +0      57.31     3.46    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.45    43.21     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.58     3.57    14.57     0.00     0.00     1.02    64.98     0.00     0.00  
Reading         31   44   +4      55.72     3.45     7.36     0.00     0.00     0.09    30.02     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   43   +5      51.93     3.40     4.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   40   -8      50.72     3.51    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   37   -6      44.96     3.39    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.51R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   36   -6      45.16     3.20    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44R    0.00  
Manchester_C    30   36  -11      44.14     3.38   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -13      41.41     3.08   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.77     3.72    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.19R    0.00  
Wigan           31   33  -15      42.01     3.36   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.81R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     31   31  -20      39.75     3.25   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.89R    0.07  
Charlton        31   30  -20      36.70     3.18   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.42R    0.17  
West_Ham        31   26  -26      30.38     2.72   -36.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.82R   15.77  
Watford         31   20  -28      25.91     2.98   -33.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   84.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 April 2007, Birmingham vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            40   76  +16      86.71     3.15    19.85    42.61    76.78   100.00    82.36P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   74  +23      86.13     3.51    26.74    41.70    72.85    99.89    81.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       40   73  +22      83.45     3.15    25.27    13.39    39.75    99.53    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   68  +14      79.39     3.54    16.74     1.91     7.62    91.75    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    40   67  +21      77.80     3.22    25.22     0.38     2.68    86.69    25.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   66   -2      73.84     3.13    -2.40     0.01     0.15    35.97     5.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   63  +19      73.50     3.14    22.76     0.01     0.16    42.46    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   63  +11      72.60     3.22    13.11     0.00     0.01    26.89     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   61  +16      70.45     3.19    17.81     0.00     0.01    12.55     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   59  +12      68.62     3.24    14.23     0.00     0.00     4.07     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   56   +0      63.66     3.12    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   55   +4      62.96     3.23     3.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   52   -2      62.60     3.60    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -9      58.89     3.14   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   51   +0      59.76     3.29     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   50  -11      58.01     3.55   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -9      54.35     3.46   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Hull             40   44  -13      50.62     3.08   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.15  
Burnley          38   42   -5      52.08     3.66    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.15  
Barnsley         40   41  -25      46.84     3.02   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.56R    8.40  
Queens_PR        39   40  -15      47.77     3.37   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.93R    4.54  
Southend         40   39  -23      45.16     2.98   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.52R   20.48  
Leeds            40   39  -24      44.47     2.91   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.31R   25.34  
Luton            40   37  -20      43.17     3.14   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.07R   40.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          40   79  +33      90.01     3.11    37.07    85.46    97.75   100.00    98.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        40   75  +20      85.34     3.26    23.13    11.91    68.08    99.98    76.23P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   40   71  +18      82.48     3.21    22.83     2.48    28.36    99.83    47.88P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              40   67  +23      78.49     3.20    27.95     0.12     4.41    98.37    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              40   67  +14      76.42     3.14    15.92     0.04     1.25    92.25    22.11P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           40   65  +15      74.17     3.26    16.39     0.00     0.17    75.00    16.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             40   61  +14      70.07     3.28    15.29     0.00     0.00    25.66     5.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            40   59   +5      67.52     3.19     5.51     0.00     0.00     5.68     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            40   59   +0      66.26     3.15    -1.34     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.95     3.15     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            40   55   -4      62.24     3.23    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           40   54   +2      63.51     3.32     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton            40   52   -3      59.53     3.19    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               40   52   -5      59.60     3.23    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield        40   51   -9      57.58     3.09   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Bournemouth         40   49   -8      56.37     3.17    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50R    0.00  
Gillingham          40   49  -21      55.15     3.18   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.43R    0.00  
Northampton         40   48   -4      55.29     3.13    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.62R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       40   47  -11      54.08     3.23   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.14R    0.00  
Cheltenham          40   43  -17      49.84     3.13   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.74R    0.24  
Bradford            40   41  -14      48.15     3.22   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.83R    0.33  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.99     3.19    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.04R    0.49  
Rotherham           40   34  -12      40.98     3.09   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   28.75  
Brentford           40   34  -29      39.17     2.93   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   70.19  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Walsall vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       40   81  +27      91.91     3.11    31.08    77.42    99.78   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   76  +29      87.80     2.98    34.16    19.32    96.13   100.00    97.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     39   73  +17      84.28     3.47    19.47     3.03    70.69   100.00    78.75P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    40   72  +14      81.39     3.20    15.99     0.23    27.62    99.90    43.23P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   67  +12      77.10     3.28    14.95     0.00     4.16    97.28    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   63   +7      72.10     3.33     8.21     0.00     0.17    69.56    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   60  +10      68.61     3.24    10.73     0.00     0.00    27.11     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   59  +22      74.72     3.61    29.63     0.00     1.45    90.84    35.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   57   +0      64.49     3.25    -0.94     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56   +5      65.29     3.36     6.60     0.00     0.00     5.86     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.09     3.50     0.50     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     40   54   +1      62.30     3.18     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   52  +13      63.19     3.58    15.46     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   50   +0      58.16     3.26    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          40   50   -3      57.30     3.18    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         40   50   -6      57.01     3.07    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   50  -19      55.87     3.06   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   49  -13      55.28     3.11   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             39   42  -14      48.14     3.13   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    0.33  
Accrington       40   41  -12      47.67     3.09   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.30R    0.43  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.96     3.54   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.58R    0.32  
Wrexham          39   39  -25      45.57     3.14   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.88R    5.51  
Boston           40   39  -26      46.44     3.20   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.80R    3.56  
Torquay          40   32  -24      37.85     2.97   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.43R   89.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Tamworth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          40   85  +44      98.12     3.00    52.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   72  +28      81.93     2.80    32.53     0.01    99.44    40.85P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          40   68  +11      77.61     3.31    13.03     0.00    81.56    16.59P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   67  +15      74.72     2.95    16.36     0.00    56.41    12.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             40   66   +2      74.79     3.26     2.93     0.00    47.69     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             40   65  +13      74.96     3.28    15.56     0.00    58.20    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          39   61   +4      72.22     3.52     6.32     0.00    22.54     3.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          38   60   +8      72.66     3.91    10.51     0.00    32.05     5.67P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           40   58  -11      64.12     3.06   -14.39     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          39   57   +3      66.81     3.53     3.08     0.00     1.71     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   54   -4      63.71     3.72    -5.51     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        38   50   +2      62.03     3.84     3.61     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley            40   48   +4      56.66     3.29     4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   40   48  -18      54.40     3.11   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.22R    0.01  
Woking             41   47   -6      53.91     2.94    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.01  
Forest_Green       40   47   -8      54.64     3.32    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   47  -12      52.56     2.85   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.38R    0.08  
Cambridge_U        41   46  -10      51.23     2.84   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.11R    0.10  
Northwich          35   45  -12      56.42     4.48   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.66R    0.01  
Grays              39   44   +2      53.87     3.53     2.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.51R    0.04  
Tamworth           40   44  -13      51.61     3.24   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.54R    0.47  
Halifax            38   43   -3      53.15     3.82    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.64R    0.12  
Southport          41   38  -15      42.84     2.75   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.37R   41.63  
St_Albans          40   36  -24      42.47     3.16   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.08R   57.52  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10