Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 April 2007 at 20:34:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 April 2007, Tottenham vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    31   78  +53      93.25     2.88    64.09    95.08   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   72  +36      86.05     3.26    42.89     4.92    99.80   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   57  +27      71.26     3.17    34.17     0.00     0.07    99.38    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   55  +24      71.01     3.49    32.56     0.00     0.14    98.63    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          31   50   -2      58.29     3.33    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.76    52.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   48   +0      57.29     3.47    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.39    43.66     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.65     3.56    14.66     0.00     0.00     0.76    65.46     0.00     0.00  
Reading         31   44   +4      55.67     3.43     7.31     0.00     0.00     0.08    29.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   43   +5      51.96     3.42     4.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.76     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   40   -8      50.66     3.47    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   37   -6      44.91     3.35    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.52R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   36   -6      45.05     3.16    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40R    0.00  
Manchester_C    30   36  -11      44.07     3.36   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.99R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -13      41.43     3.07   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.79     3.73    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.30R    0.00  
Wigan           31   33  -15      42.04     3.38   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.89R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     31   31  -20      39.71     3.24   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    0.09  
Charlton        31   30  -20      36.71     3.18   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R    0.18  
West_Ham        31   26  -26      30.40     2.70   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.83R   15.98  
Watford         31   20  -28      25.95     3.01   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   83.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 April 2007, Birmingham vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            40   76  +16      86.75     3.13    19.86    42.42    76.97   100.00    82.70P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   74  +23      86.16     3.49    26.80    41.96    72.80    99.94    80.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       40   73  +22      83.49     3.17    25.32    13.53    40.04    99.47    57.77P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   68  +14      79.34     3.54    16.67     1.88     7.38    91.74    26.31P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    40   67  +21      77.80     3.20    25.22     0.20     2.61    86.75    25.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   66   -2      73.77     3.14    -2.52     0.01     0.11    35.66     5.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   63  +19      73.47     3.16    22.71     0.00     0.09    42.33    10.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   63  +11      72.56     3.22    13.05     0.00     0.01    26.64     5.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   61  +16      70.52     3.20    17.87     0.00     0.00    13.11     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   59  +12      68.60     3.24    14.17     0.00     0.00     4.19     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   56   +0      63.66     3.13    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   55   +4      62.92     3.19     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   52   -2      62.64     3.57    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -9      58.77     3.15   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   51   +0      59.83     3.32     0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   50  -11      57.90     3.53   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -9      54.49     3.44   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Hull             40   44  -13      50.65     3.09   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67R    0.12  
Burnley          38   42   -5      52.21     3.65    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.08R    0.22  
Barnsley         40   41  -25      46.83     3.04   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.77R    8.65  
Queens_PR        39   40  -15      47.77     3.36   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.70R    4.32  
Southend         40   39  -23      45.17     3.02   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.89R   20.08  
Leeds            40   39  -24      44.40     2.89   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.17R   25.26  
Luton            40   37  -20      43.12     3.11   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.36R   41.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Oldham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          40   79  +33      90.01     3.13    37.02    84.86    97.70   100.00    98.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        40   75  +20      85.35     3.26    23.13    12.42    68.11   100.00    76.27P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   40   71  +18      82.45     3.21    22.76     2.51    28.02    99.87    47.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              40   67  +23      78.54     3.24    28.01     0.18     4.64    98.31    31.82P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              40   67  +14      76.46     3.15    16.00     0.03     1.31    92.25    21.75P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           40   65  +15      74.21     3.22    16.46     0.01     0.20    75.14    16.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             40   61  +14      70.06     3.27    15.27     0.00     0.01    24.98     5.57P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            40   59   +5      67.56     3.25     5.54     0.00     0.00     6.16     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            40   59   +0      66.23     3.20    -1.32     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.88     3.19     3.07     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            40   55   -4      62.33     3.22    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           40   54   +2      63.42     3.30     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton            40   52   -3      59.58     3.18    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               40   52   -5      59.50     3.18    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield        40   51   -9      57.60     3.09   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Bournemouth         40   49   -8      56.42     3.19    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Gillingham          40   49  -21      55.20     3.17   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01R    0.00  
Northampton         40   48   -4      55.27     3.12    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       40   47  -11      54.05     3.19   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.12R    0.00  
Cheltenham          40   43  -17      49.80     3.11   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.91R    0.19  
Bradford            40   41  -14      48.06     3.22   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.85R    0.42  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      48.01     3.17    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.31R    0.47  
Rotherham           40   34  -12      40.97     3.07   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.30R   29.02  
Brentford           40   34  -29      39.21     2.88   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   69.91  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Walsall vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       40   81  +27      91.85     3.15    31.01    76.97    99.80   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   76  +29      87.76     3.01    34.11    19.66    96.03   100.00    97.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     39   73  +17      84.26     3.46    19.47     3.13    70.35    99.99    77.75P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    40   72  +14      81.35     3.24    15.94     0.24    28.12    99.88    42.87P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   67  +12      77.15     3.26    15.03     0.00     4.11    97.56    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   63   +7      72.09     3.31     8.23     0.00     0.14    69.71    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   60  +10      68.62     3.25    10.74     0.00     0.01    27.12     6.98P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   59  +22      74.64     3.60    29.46     0.00     1.45    90.61    35.31P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   57   +0      64.51     3.20    -0.92     0.00     0.00     3.82     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56   +5      65.36     3.36     6.66     0.00     0.00     5.82     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.07     3.50     0.43     0.00     0.00     2.62     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     40   54   +1      62.36     3.18     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   52  +13      63.17     3.56    15.46     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   50   +0      58.12     3.23    -0.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          40   50   -3      57.28     3.16    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         40   50   -6      57.07     3.07    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   50  -19      55.84     3.04   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   49  -13      55.34     3.10   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             39   42  -14      48.15     3.14   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.54R    0.28  
Accrington       40   41  -12      47.81     3.06   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.54R    0.35  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.85     3.56   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.96R    0.20  
Wrexham          39   39  -25      45.56     3.12   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.49R    5.50  
Boston           40   39  -26      46.47     3.19   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.88R    3.48  
Torquay          40   32  -24      37.80     2.97   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.58R   90.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Tamworth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          40   85  +44      98.12     3.02    52.02   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   72  +28      81.95     2.80    32.56     0.00    99.39    39.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          40   68  +11      77.67     3.33    13.11     0.00    81.31    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   67  +15      74.79     2.94    16.42     0.00    56.82    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             40   66   +2      74.81     3.27     2.95     0.00    47.75     7.97P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             40   65  +13      74.95     3.31    15.55     0.00    58.19    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          39   61   +4      72.24     3.53     6.32     0.00    22.82     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          38   60   +8      72.61     3.94    10.44     0.00    31.57     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           40   58  -11      64.19     3.08   -14.30     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          39   57   +3      66.76     3.55     3.02     0.00     1.72     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   54   -4      63.66     3.73    -5.59     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        38   50   +2      61.93     3.80     3.48     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            40   48   +4      56.76     3.33     4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   40   48  -18      54.44     3.14   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.01  
Woking             41   47   -6      53.94     2.97    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.13R    0.00  
Forest_Green       40   47   -8      54.59     3.28    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.84R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   47  -12      52.56     2.83   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.48R    0.04  
Cambridge_U        41   46  -10      51.25     2.81   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.92R    0.15  
Northwich          35   45  -12      56.26     4.42   -18.01     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.77R    0.03  
Grays              39   44   +2      53.83     3.52     2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.67R    0.01  
Tamworth           40   44  -13      51.64     3.24   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.68R    0.47  
Halifax            38   43   -3      53.30     3.86    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.36R    0.10  
Southport          41   38  -15      42.87     2.75   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.36R   40.53  
St_Albans          40   36  -24      42.40     3.17   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.10R   58.65  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10