Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 31 March 2007 at 20:33:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Watford vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    31   78  +53      93.22     2.87    64.06    94.89   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   72  +36      86.09     3.23    42.94     5.12    99.84   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   57  +27      71.22     3.23    34.08     0.00     0.04    99.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   55  +24      71.05     3.47    32.62     0.00     0.11    98.59    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          31   50   -2      58.28     3.29    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.74    52.44     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.64     3.57    14.62     0.00     0.00     0.82    65.53     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.88     3.77    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.23    30.01     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.95     3.77     8.12     0.00     0.00     0.45    43.69     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   43   +5      51.93     3.40     4.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.53     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   40   -8      50.70     3.51    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   37   -6      44.91     3.37    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.47R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   36   -6      45.16     3.15    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Manchester_C    30   36  -11      44.11     3.42   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.06R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -13      41.41     3.09   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.33R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.66     3.72    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.18R    0.00  
Wigan           31   33  -15      42.05     3.38   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.72R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     31   31  -20      39.73     3.20   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.25R    0.07  
Charlton        31   30  -20      36.70     3.13   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.74R    0.21  
West_Ham        31   26  -26      30.31     2.66   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   16.14  
Watford         31   20  -28      25.91     3.00   -33.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   83.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Queens_PR vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            40   76  +16      86.74     3.14    19.85    49.30    80.14   100.00    85.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       40   73  +22      83.38     3.16    25.19    15.62    44.09    99.52    60.42P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      85.00     3.76    24.41    32.34    62.70    99.45    73.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   68  +14      79.39     3.52    16.75     2.29     9.37    91.66    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    40   67  +21      77.71     3.23    25.15     0.46     3.34    86.40    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   66   -2      73.79     3.13    -2.48     0.01     0.12    35.37     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   63  +19      73.61     3.17    22.91     0.00     0.20    43.66    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   63  +11      72.59     3.25    13.09     0.00     0.03    26.99     5.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   61  +16      70.49     3.20    17.83     0.00     0.01    12.83     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   59  +12      68.69     3.22    14.30     0.00     0.00     3.97     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   56   +0      63.70     3.14    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   55   +4      62.93     3.20     3.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   52   -2      62.68     3.61    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.72     3.35    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   51   +0      59.75     3.29     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   50  -11      57.94     3.54   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -9      54.43     3.49   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Hull             40   44  -13      50.64     3.11   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.82R    0.14  
Burnley          38   42   -5      52.21     3.67    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.12  
Barnsley         40   41  -25      46.89     3.04   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.53R    7.96  
Queens_PR        39   40  -15      47.68     3.38   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.89R    4.79  
Southend         40   39  -23      45.12     2.99   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.99R   20.64  
Leeds            40   39  -24      44.40     2.90   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.58R   25.21  
Luton            40   37  -20      43.13     3.13   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.78R   41.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Scunthorpe vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          40   79  +33      90.03     3.13    37.07    85.31    97.94   100.00    98.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        40   75  +20      85.38     3.24    23.18    12.19    69.16    99.98    77.27P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   40   71  +18      82.36     3.25    22.62     2.33    27.02    99.89    46.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              40   67  +23      78.49     3.19    27.96     0.11     4.39    98.52    31.88P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              40   67  +14      76.43     3.15    15.95     0.05     1.27    92.25    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           40   65  +15      74.22     3.26    16.45     0.01     0.22    75.81    16.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             40   61  +14      70.03     3.25    15.25     0.00     0.00    24.41     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            40   59   +5      67.49     3.22     5.44     0.00     0.00     5.96     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            40   59   +0      66.24     3.16    -1.33     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.92     3.17     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            40   55   -4      62.32     3.23    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           40   54   +2      63.52     3.32     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton            40   52   -3      59.62     3.20    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               40   52   -5      59.65     3.21    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield        40   51   -9      57.58     3.11   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Bournemouth         40   49   -8      56.33     3.19    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Gillingham          40   49  -21      55.16     3.18   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.11R    0.00  
Northampton         40   48   -4      55.24     3.12    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       40   47  -11      54.11     3.21   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    0.00  
Cheltenham          40   43  -17      49.73     3.11   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.66R    0.19  
Bradford            40   41  -14      48.15     3.20   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.53R    0.40  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.91     3.18    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.33R    0.55  
Rotherham           40   34  -12      41.03     3.08   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.17R   28.16  
Brentford           40   34  -29      39.22     2.87   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   70.70  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Torquay vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       40   81  +27      91.86     3.16    30.98    77.03    99.69   100.00    99.82P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   76  +29      87.78     2.99    34.11    19.82    96.11   100.00    97.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     39   73  +17      84.24     3.47    19.44     2.94    69.47   100.00    77.44P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    40   72  +14      81.45     3.19    16.10     0.21    28.79    99.90    44.03P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   67  +12      77.22     3.26    15.12     0.00     4.33    97.43    23.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   63   +7      72.09     3.27     8.23     0.00     0.15    69.74    13.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   60  +10      68.67     3.27    10.79     0.00     0.01    27.19     6.85P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   59  +22      74.67     3.61    29.49     0.00     1.45    90.75    34.70P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   57   +0      64.45     3.22    -0.98     0.00     0.00     3.43     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56   +5      65.38     3.32     6.70     0.00     0.00     5.96     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.11     3.46     0.51     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     40   54   +1      62.32     3.18     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   52  +13      63.15     3.54    15.43     0.00     0.00     2.25     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   50   +0      58.13     3.24    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          40   50   -3      57.25     3.18    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         40   50   -6      57.09     3.09    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   50  -19      55.79     3.05   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           40   49  -13      55.35     3.12   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             39   42  -14      48.20     3.14   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.79R    0.27  
Accrington       40   41  -12      47.73     3.04   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.88R    0.42  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.85     3.56   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.92R    0.26  
Wrexham          39   39  -25      45.49     3.13   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.57R    5.32  
Boston           40   39  -26      46.49     3.20   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.41R    3.27  
Torquay          40   32  -24      37.77     2.93   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.44R   90.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2007, Southport vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          40   85  +44      98.15     2.98    52.11   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   72  +28      82.01     2.77    32.63     0.00    99.47    41.30P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          40   68  +11      77.65     3.35    13.06     0.00    81.20    17.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   67  +15      74.69     2.94    16.31     0.00    55.58    11.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             40   66   +2      74.81     3.26     2.97     0.00    48.03     7.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             40   65  +13      74.90     3.27    15.50     0.00    57.74    11.86P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          39   61   +4      72.28     3.53     6.43     0.00    23.64     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          38   60   +8      72.61     3.93    10.47     0.00    31.98     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           40   58  -11      64.16     3.09   -14.33     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          39   57   +3      66.83     3.56     3.13     0.00     1.85     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   54   -4      63.58     3.78    -5.73     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        38   50   +2      62.00     3.86     3.55     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            40   48   +4      56.75     3.29     4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   40   48  -18      54.40     3.09   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.01  
Woking             41   47   -6      53.97     2.98    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01R    0.01  
Forest_Green       40   47   -8      54.68     3.31    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.29R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   47  -12      52.50     2.83   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.95R    0.07  
Cambridge_U        41   46  -10      51.25     2.85   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.77R    0.12  
Northwich          35   45  -12      56.22     4.40   -18.11     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.79R    0.01  
Grays              39   44   +2      53.91     3.58     2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.75R    0.04  
Tamworth           40   44  -13      51.58     3.26   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.93R    0.51  
Halifax            38   43   -3      53.26     3.90    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.35R    0.12  
Southport          41   38  -15      42.89     2.76   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.17R   40.23  
St_Albans          40   36  -24      42.43     3.13   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.21R   58.90  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10