Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 30 March 2007 at 20:33:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.89     3.00    63.50    95.16   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.27     3.45    43.19     4.84    98.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.44     3.74    35.82     0.00     1.00    99.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.60     3.57    30.94     0.00     0.05    97.28    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.30     3.59    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.74    43.66     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.71     3.61    14.70     0.00     0.00     1.60    67.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.66     3.73    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.34    28.83     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.97     3.79     8.16     0.00     0.00     0.87    46.38     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.30     3.72     4.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.76     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.97     3.60    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.84     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      47.02     3.67    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      46.98     3.52    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.72     3.74    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.81R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.69     3.41   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.13R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.69     3.58   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.99R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.42     3.68   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.49     3.47   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.57R    0.06  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.33     3.49   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.06R    0.76  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.22     2.97   -39.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   36.27  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.33     3.19   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R   62.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.57     3.43    19.54    40.60    72.36    99.89    79.33P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.93     3.77    24.35    38.69    67.10    99.45    76.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.53     3.51    23.84    10.40    30.14    96.57    49.32P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.07     3.82    18.20     9.45    24.91    95.17    41.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      76.02     3.48     4.79     0.28     1.91    62.12    12.59P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.39     3.53    24.54     0.49     2.90    73.97    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.23     3.54    14.53     0.08     0.62    44.02    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.26     3.48    15.71     0.01     0.05    17.66     4.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.39     3.45    16.54     0.00     0.00     8.19     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.51     3.53    12.02     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.68     3.51     5.30     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.56     3.39    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.07     3.88     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.71     3.35    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.15     3.78   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.11     3.58    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.10     3.64    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.05     3.99    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94R    0.15  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.83     3.35   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.72R    1.64  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.80     3.32   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.80R    4.09  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.77     3.66   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.45R    2.40  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.58     3.35   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.70R    7.66  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.04     3.39   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.95R   33.52  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.31     3.18   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.14R   50.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Rotherham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          39   76  +31      89.16     3.40    36.24    73.64    95.19   100.00    96.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        39   74  +20      85.97     3.51    23.47    20.98    70.57    99.98    78.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   39   70  +18      82.56     3.47    22.45     4.96    29.07    99.64    47.98P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              39   67  +15      77.56     3.44    16.62     0.30     2.92    91.91    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              39   64  +22      77.13     3.49    27.35     0.12     2.06    92.55    27.57P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           39   62  +14      73.00     3.57    16.10     0.00     0.13    53.94    11.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             39   61  +16      71.98     3.58    18.05     0.00     0.06    44.24    10.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            39   59   +7      69.59     3.52     8.50     0.00     0.00    15.74     3.25P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            39   56   -2      64.03     3.43    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.91     3.18     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           39   53   +2      63.91     3.62     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               39   52   -4      60.37     3.42    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            39   52   -6      60.16     3.48    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield        39   50   -9      57.90     3.42   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Brighton            39   49   -5      57.40     3.43    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Northampton         39   48   -2      57.17     3.45    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       39   47  -10      55.46     3.53   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.19R    0.00  
Bournemouth         39   46  -10      54.29     3.44   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.17R    0.00  
Gillingham          39   46  -22      53.87     3.46   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.23R    0.01  
Bradford            39   41  -12      48.88     3.41   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.95R    0.80  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.93     3.21    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.30R    1.17  
Cheltenham          39   40  -18      48.05     3.43   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.92R    2.84  
Rotherham           39   34  -10      42.91     3.43   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.98R   22.23  
Brentford           39   34  -28      40.18     3.16   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   72.96  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Wycombe vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       39   78  +24      90.69     3.43    28.55    70.07    98.90   100.00    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   73  +28      87.23     3.22    34.88    25.27    93.22   100.00    95.61P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    39   71  +14      81.82     3.52    16.08     1.22    37.78    99.65    50.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     38   70  +16      82.82     3.73    18.76     3.32    51.95    99.91    64.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   67  +14      78.35     3.57    16.78     0.10    10.94    97.25    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        39   63   +8      73.88     3.58     9.84     0.01     1.15    76.89    15.38P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   59  +23      76.00     3.89    30.53     0.01     6.04    91.48    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   59  +10      68.88     3.53    10.65     0.00     0.01    21.11     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   57   +1      65.86     3.53     0.09     0.00     0.00     5.33     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   55   +5      65.91     3.57     7.00     0.00     0.00     5.84     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.11     3.48     0.50     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     39   51   -1      61.16     3.49    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          39   50   +0      58.23     3.40    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   50  -17      56.76     3.34   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         38   49  +11      61.58     3.86    13.50     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   49   +0      58.82     3.54     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         39   49   -6      57.27     3.36    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           39   46  -14      53.65     3.42   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Accrington       39   41  -11      48.07     3.23   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.79R    0.17  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.93     3.55   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.26R    0.10  
Bury             38   39  -15      46.26     3.43   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.86R    0.75  
Boston           39   39  -25      48.12     3.56   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.91R    0.83  
Wrexham          38   38  -25      45.69     3.44   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.97R    2.47  
Torquay          39   29  -25      35.55     3.19   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   95.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Crawley vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          39   82  +42      97.20     3.29    51.16    99.90   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         40   71  +28      82.66     3.12    33.02     0.10    99.28    40.70P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   67  +17      76.73     3.24    19.23     0.00    77.64    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          39   65   +9      75.95     3.61    10.98     0.00    64.97    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             39   65   +2      74.69     3.47     2.37     0.00    46.82     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             39   62  +12      73.67     3.58    15.04     0.00    43.99     8.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          37   60  +11      74.52     4.19    14.28     0.01    51.92     9.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          38   58   +2      70.08     3.80     3.55     0.00    11.33     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           39   58   -4      66.21     3.46    -6.18     0.00     1.02     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          38   54   +1      65.56     3.83     1.71     0.00     1.16     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   54   -3      65.65     4.09    -3.79     0.00     1.83     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   39   48  -14      56.03     3.43   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        37   47   +0      59.83     4.08     0.81     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Woking             40   47   -4      55.00     3.24    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Forest_Green       39   47   -6      56.04     3.61    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23R    0.00  
Altrincham         40   47  -11      53.72     3.18   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.10R    0.01  
Crawley            39   45   +1      54.74     3.62     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   44  -11      52.37     3.49   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.62R    0.23  
Halifax            37   43   -2      54.75     4.14    -2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.71R    0.03  
Cambridge_U        40   43  -17      49.04     3.07   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.05R    1.09  
Northwich          34   42  -13      54.13     4.65   -19.89     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.65R    0.24  
Grays              38   41   +1      52.51     3.89     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.02R    0.24  
St_Albans          39   36  -22      43.37     3.48   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.39R   33.27  
Southport          40   35  -19      41.01     3.06   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.83R   64.89  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10