Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 29 March 2007 at 20:33:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.98     3.01    63.73    95.22   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.24     3.46    43.20     4.79    98.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.49     3.69    35.86     0.00     1.00    99.42   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.53     3.58    30.80     0.00     0.11    97.11    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.32     3.55    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.77    43.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.69     3.61    14.67     0.00     0.00     1.41    67.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.74     3.73    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.28    29.41     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      57.04     3.77     8.27     0.00     0.00     0.98    46.55     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.22     3.72     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.51     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.89     3.62    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.93     3.70    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.12R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.08     3.47    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.08R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.70     3.69    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.81R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.72     3.37   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.78R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.73     3.59   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.46R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.41     3.68   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.01R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.52     3.46   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.96R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.24     3.50   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.47R    0.69  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.16     2.95   -39.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   37.59  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.44     3.19   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   61.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.53     3.44    19.50    40.34    71.89    99.86    78.78P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.90     3.74    24.31    38.48    66.83    99.50    76.13P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.54     3.52    23.88    10.58    29.66    96.44    48.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.27     3.84    18.43     9.79    26.61    95.62    43.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.90     3.48     4.65     0.26     1.63    59.74    11.81P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.45     3.51    24.67     0.50     2.60    74.48    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.36     3.51    14.70     0.06     0.69    45.62    11.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.33     3.50    15.81     0.00     0.07    18.25     4.33P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.27     3.43    16.39     0.00     0.01     7.33     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.57     3.49    12.13     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.71     3.51     5.34     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.56     3.40    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.00     3.87     2.61     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.78     3.39    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.22     3.78   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.02     3.61    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.10     3.64    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      52.91     4.02    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.33R    0.24  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.79     3.36   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.93R    1.50  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.78     3.31   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.99R    4.08  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.63     3.65   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.55R    2.60  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.62     3.32   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.83R    7.75  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.07     3.43   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.06R   33.77  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.35     3.21   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.95R   50.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Rotherham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          39   76  +31      89.14     3.38    36.16    73.58    95.65   100.00    97.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        39   74  +20      85.96     3.55    23.52    20.84    70.61    99.97    78.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   39   70  +18      82.54     3.49    22.38     5.12    28.50    99.67    47.21P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              39   67  +15      77.57     3.43    16.66     0.37     3.08    91.85    23.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              39   64  +22      77.14     3.49    27.35     0.10     2.03    92.72    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           39   62  +14      73.09     3.55    16.25     0.00     0.07    55.55    12.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             39   61  +16      71.88     3.60    17.91     0.00     0.06    43.01    10.15P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            39   59   +7      69.45     3.51     8.33     0.00     0.00    15.09     3.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            39   56   -2      63.97     3.42    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.90     3.18     3.09     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           39   53   +2      63.92     3.65     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               39   52   -4      60.39     3.46    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            39   52   -6      60.29     3.53    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield        39   50   -9      57.94     3.40   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Brighton            39   49   -5      57.46     3.43    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Northampton         39   48   -2      57.14     3.43    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       39   47  -10      55.36     3.53   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31R    0.00  
Bournemouth         39   46  -10      54.36     3.43   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.64R    0.00  
Gillingham          39   46  -22      53.84     3.44   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.51R    0.04  
Bradford            39   41  -12      48.80     3.41   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.43R    0.84  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      48.00     3.21    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.37R    1.27  
Cheltenham          39   40  -18      48.09     3.42   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.28R    2.88  
Rotherham           39   34  -10      42.86     3.39   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.46R   22.55  
Brentford           39   34  -28      40.19     3.20   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   72.42  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Wycombe vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       39   78  +24      90.59     3.44    28.41    69.37    98.74   100.00    99.12P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   73  +28      87.27     3.22    34.92    26.25    93.54   100.00    95.93P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    39   71  +14      81.82     3.53    16.09     1.35    38.38    99.56    51.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     38   70  +16      82.62     3.75    18.51     2.86    50.68    99.91    63.30P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   67  +14      78.29     3.57    16.67     0.12    11.15    96.94    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        39   63   +8      73.98     3.59     9.96     0.01     1.21    77.68    16.28P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   59  +23      76.03     3.85    30.52     0.04     6.30    91.61    37.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   59  +10      68.88     3.56    10.63     0.00     0.01    21.00     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   57   +1      65.84     3.50     0.07     0.00     0.00     5.02     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   55   +5      65.92     3.64     6.99     0.00     0.00     5.88     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.23     3.47     0.65     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     39   51   -1      61.12     3.48    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          39   50   +0      58.23     3.41    -1.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   50  -17      56.78     3.31   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         38   49  +11      61.63     3.90    13.58     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   49   +0      58.82     3.55     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         39   49   -6      57.31     3.37    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           39   46  -14      53.68     3.38   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Accrington       39   41  -11      48.15     3.24   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.09R    0.10  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.85     3.55   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.49R    0.10  
Bury             38   39  -15      46.22     3.42   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.68R    0.92  
Boston           39   39  -25      48.14     3.53   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.69R    0.74  
Wrexham          38   38  -25      45.72     3.43   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.85R    2.62  
Torquay          39   29  -25      35.59     3.22   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   95.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Crawley vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          39   82  +42      97.19     3.30    51.11    99.94   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         40   71  +28      82.70     3.10    33.05     0.06    99.38    40.99P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   67  +17      76.68     3.25    19.17     0.00    77.47    18.48P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          39   65   +9      75.92     3.64    10.95     0.00    64.84    12.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             39   65   +2      74.59     3.49     2.21     0.00    46.93     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             39   62  +12      73.64     3.60    15.05     0.00    44.10     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          37   60  +11      74.41     4.22    14.10     0.00    51.74     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          38   58   +2      70.02     3.82     3.46     0.00    11.46     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           39   58   -4      66.32     3.47    -5.99     0.00     1.11     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          38   54   +1      65.53     3.85     1.64     0.00     1.30     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   54   -3      65.45     4.08    -4.04     0.00     1.64     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   39   48  -14      56.02     3.45   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        37   47   +0      59.98     4.08     1.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Woking             40   47   -4      55.09     3.27    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.81R    0.00  
Forest_Green       39   47   -6      56.06     3.61    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Altrincham         40   47  -11      53.80     3.17   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.86R    0.02  
Crawley            39   45   +1      54.68     3.58     1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.03R    0.01  
Tamworth           39   44  -11      52.38     3.48   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.10R    0.21  
Halifax            37   43   -2      54.79     4.15    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.58R    0.07  
Cambridge_U        40   43  -17      49.02     3.11   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.97R    1.31  
Northwich          34   42  -13      54.24     4.63   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.88R    0.13  
Grays              38   41   +1      52.51     3.85     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.88R    0.15  
St_Albans          39   36  -22      43.30     3.45   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.06R   34.69  
Southport          40   35  -19      41.05     3.03   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.89R   63.40  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10