Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 March 2007 at 20:37:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.91     3.04    63.59    95.41   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.27     3.41    43.20     4.59    99.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.44     3.69    35.76     0.00     0.95    99.20    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.58     3.57    30.94     0.00     0.04    97.17    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.28     3.61    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.81    43.69     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.68     3.60    14.67     0.00     0.00     1.44    67.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.70     3.75    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.42    29.02     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      57.01     3.76     8.22     0.00     0.00     0.90    46.69     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.25     3.71     4.27     0.00     0.00     0.06     8.22     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.94     3.59    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.85     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.94     3.69    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.09     3.51    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.65     3.68    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.79R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.70     3.38   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.58R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.77     3.61   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.66R    0.01  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.35     3.71   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.02R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.57     3.48   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.62R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.20     3.46   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.97R    0.73  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.29     3.01   -38.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   36.37  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.36     3.19   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   62.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.47     3.46    19.46    39.45    71.39    99.86    78.43P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.95     3.77    24.40    39.65    67.33    99.42    76.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.63     3.48    24.01    10.84    30.93    96.80    50.09P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.12     3.83    18.23     9.32    25.22    95.41    41.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.92     3.43     4.65     0.21     1.51    60.23    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.51     3.52    24.75     0.44     2.75    75.15    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.33     3.53    14.66     0.09     0.77    45.09    11.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.18     3.52    15.63     0.00     0.09    17.22     4.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.25     3.45    16.36     0.00     0.01     7.96     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.54     3.51    12.06     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.77     3.52     5.44     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.49     3.39    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.00     3.89     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.65     3.34    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.10     3.80   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.15     3.62    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.21     3.66    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.13     4.00    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.28  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.89     3.37   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.57R    1.44  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.70     3.31   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.88R    4.08  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.65     3.66   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.15R    2.62  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.67     3.37   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.80R    7.47  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.06     3.39   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.12R   33.52  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.30     3.20   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.25R   50.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Rotherham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          39   76  +31      89.18     3.35    36.24    73.52    95.28   100.00    96.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        39   74  +20      85.97     3.57    23.51    21.10    70.38    99.97    78.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   39   70  +18      82.65     3.48    22.53     4.92    29.34    99.73    48.59P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              39   67  +15      77.38     3.46    16.38     0.33     2.79    91.06    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              39   64  +22      77.18     3.49    27.40     0.13     2.07    92.83    28.24P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           39   62  +14      72.98     3.56    16.09     0.01     0.07    54.39    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             39   61  +16      71.98     3.60    18.09     0.00     0.07    44.58    10.39P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            39   59   +7      69.45     3.50     8.30     0.00     0.00    15.20     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            39   56   -2      64.01     3.42    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.96     3.20     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           39   53   +2      63.85     3.61     3.79     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               39   52   -4      60.41     3.44    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            39   52   -6      60.20     3.51    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield        39   50   -9      57.92     3.43   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Brighton            39   49   -5      57.42     3.44    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Northampton         39   48   -2      57.09     3.44    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       39   47  -10      55.48     3.51   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.17R    0.00  
Bournemouth         39   46  -10      54.41     3.47   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    0.01  
Gillingham          39   46  -22      53.98     3.47   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.72R    0.02  
Bradford            39   41  -12      48.82     3.40   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.91R    0.76  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.98     3.22    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.00R    1.19  
Cheltenham          39   40  -18      48.06     3.42   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.89R    2.53  
Rotherham           39   34  -10      42.87     3.42   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.46R   22.23  
Brentford           39   34  -28      40.15     3.19   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   73.26  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Wycombe vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       39   78  +24      90.58     3.45    28.40    69.08    98.93   100.00    99.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   73  +28      87.30     3.23    34.96    26.39    93.57   100.00    95.92P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    39   71  +14      81.78     3.48    16.05     1.36    38.15    99.69    50.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     38   70  +16      82.61     3.75    18.46     3.02    50.40    99.86    62.65P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   67  +14      78.31     3.58    16.70     0.12    11.54    97.05    29.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        39   63   +8      73.88     3.60     9.85     0.00     1.11    76.59    15.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   59  +23      76.01     3.85    30.51     0.03     6.28    91.55    38.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   59  +10      68.88     3.53    10.67     0.00     0.02    21.47     5.41P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   57   +1      65.91     3.52     0.15     0.00     0.00     5.53     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   55   +5      65.89     3.59     6.93     0.00     0.00     5.81     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   55   +1      64.25     3.50     0.71     0.00     0.01     1.55     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     39   51   -1      61.06     3.48    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          39   50   +0      58.32     3.40    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   50  -17      56.83     3.33   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         38   49  +11      61.63     3.87    13.57     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   49   +0      58.92     3.55     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         39   49   -6      57.29     3.41    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           39   46  -14      53.58     3.40   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Accrington       39   41  -11      48.12     3.24   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.25R    0.12  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.90     3.54   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.09  
Bury             38   39  -15      46.28     3.46   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.98R    0.91  
Boston           39   39  -25      48.12     3.52   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.36R    0.73  
Wrexham          38   38  -25      45.67     3.45   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.24R    2.55  
Torquay          39   29  -25      35.57     3.21   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.09R   95.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2007, Crawley vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          39   82  +42      97.17     3.30    51.09    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         40   71  +28      82.66     3.10    32.96     0.04    99.44    40.80P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   67  +17      76.70     3.22    19.17     0.00    78.10    18.70P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          39   65   +9      75.88     3.58    10.89     0.00    64.61    11.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             39   65   +2      74.61     3.48     2.27     0.00    46.72     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             39   62  +12      73.74     3.60    15.12     0.00    44.77     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          37   60  +11      74.46     4.21    14.12     0.00    51.80     9.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          38   58   +2      69.92     3.81     3.36     0.00    10.61     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           39   58   -4      66.24     3.46    -6.11     0.00     0.97     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          38   54   +1      65.54     3.85     1.67     0.00     1.15     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   54   -3      65.55     4.07    -3.92     0.00     1.78     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   39   48  -14      56.05     3.45   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D        37   47   +0      59.82     4.11     0.81     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Woking             40   47   -4      55.12     3.28    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Forest_Green       39   47   -6      56.10     3.61    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Altrincham         40   47  -11      53.73     3.17   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70R    0.03  
Crawley            39   45   +1      54.61     3.57     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.15R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   44  -11      52.45     3.47   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.03R    0.16  
Halifax            37   43   -2      54.87     4.16    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.04  
Cambridge_U        40   43  -17      49.02     3.10   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.01R    1.34  
Northwich          34   42  -13      54.38     4.65   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.57R    0.20  
Grays              38   41   +1      52.44     3.84     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.56R    0.18  
St_Albans          39   36  -22      43.32     3.45   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.97R   34.38  
Southport          40   35  -19      41.10     3.09   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.83R   63.67  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10