Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 March 2007 at 20:33:51 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.91     3.00    63.69    95.16   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.29     3.45    43.23     4.84    98.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.40     3.71    35.76     0.00     0.99    99.28   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.65     3.56    31.00     0.00     0.04    97.33    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.23     3.60    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.74    42.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.74     3.60    14.75     0.00     0.00     1.51    68.17     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.70     3.78    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.31    29.41     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.99     3.76     8.22     0.00     0.00     0.77    46.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.30     3.69     4.30     0.00     0.00     0.06     8.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      51.03     3.59    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.94     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.95     3.67    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.09     3.49    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.64     3.72    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.71R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.68     3.39   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.89R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.67     3.60   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.87R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.45     3.68   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.53     3.47   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.94R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.22     3.52   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.28R    0.79  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.23     2.96   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   35.65  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.31     3.18   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   63.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.56     3.44    19.58    40.22    72.50    99.87    79.28P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.92     3.77    24.35    38.71    67.11    99.49    76.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.58     3.52    23.96    10.63    30.32    96.88    49.62P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.13     3.80    18.25     9.69    24.87    95.47    41.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      76.00     3.46     4.76     0.23     1.60    61.05    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.49     3.51    24.74     0.42     2.88    74.88    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.24     3.58    14.54     0.09     0.63    43.78    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.20     3.47    15.60     0.01     0.07    17.38     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.33     3.46    16.46     0.00     0.01     7.96     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.54     3.53    12.09     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.69     3.53     5.31     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.51     3.40    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.08     3.87     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.64     3.36    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.24     3.77   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.09     3.62    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.12     3.67    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.14     4.00    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.18  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.84     3.36   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.41R    1.42  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.78     3.29   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.82R    4.02  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.66     3.68   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.39R    2.58  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.59     3.30   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.31R    7.42  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.03     3.40   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.85R   33.77  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.26     3.20   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.25R   50.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          39   76  +31      89.03     3.36    36.06    71.59    94.89   100.00    96.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        39   74  +20      86.04     3.57    23.63    22.70    70.87    99.97    78.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   39   70  +18      82.59     3.51    22.49     5.23    28.61    99.47    47.34P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              39   67  +15      77.61     3.41    16.71     0.29     2.83    90.11    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              39   64  +22      77.14     3.49    27.37     0.11     1.94    91.02    27.36P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           38   62  +15      74.93     3.87    17.91     0.07     0.80    68.81    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             39   61  +16      71.97     3.57    18.08     0.00     0.08    36.95     8.78P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            39   59   +7      69.54     3.49     8.41     0.00     0.00    12.35     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            39   56   -2      63.98     3.41    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.91     3.22     3.09     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           39   53   +2      63.88     3.62     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               39   52   -4      60.36     3.47    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            39   52   -6      60.10     3.49    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield        39   50   -9      57.93     3.39   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Brighton            39   49   -5      57.44     3.40    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Northampton         39   48   -2      57.02     3.44    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       39   47  -10      55.46     3.55   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth         39   46  -10      54.43     3.48   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.34R    0.01  
Gillingham          39   46  -22      53.86     3.47   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.15R    0.01  
Bradford            39   41  -12      48.84     3.42   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.07R    0.52  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.93     3.22    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.22R    0.90  
Cheltenham          39   40  -18      48.07     3.45   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.06R    2.04  
Brentford           39   34  -28      40.24     3.21   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R   57.51  
Rotherham           38   31  -11      40.88     3.69   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   39.03  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       39   78  +24      90.61     3.42    28.41    69.44    99.00   100.00    99.33P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   73  +28      87.32     3.20    35.00    26.14    94.07   100.00    96.22P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    39   71  +14      81.76     3.50    15.99     1.13    38.56    99.50    50.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     38   70  +16      82.68     3.74    18.57     3.12    51.91    99.78    64.08P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   67  +14      78.26     3.58    16.65     0.14    11.36    96.16    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        39   63   +8      73.97     3.61     9.93     0.00     1.33    73.30    15.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   59  +11      70.87     3.77    12.45     0.01     0.24    39.98    11.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   57   +1      65.89     3.53     0.12     0.00     0.00     4.85     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   56  +20      74.40     4.15    27.47     0.02     3.53    78.55    30.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   55   +5      65.71     3.60     6.67     0.00     0.00     4.92     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   52   +0      62.04     3.72    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     39   51   -1      61.02     3.49    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          39   50   +0      58.26     3.40    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   50  -17      56.91     3.36   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   49  +14      63.08     4.09    16.70     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   49   +0      58.88     3.57     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         39   49   -6      57.39     3.42    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           39   46  -14      53.43     3.39   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Accrington       39   41  -11      48.22     3.23   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.56R    0.14  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.84     3.56   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.30R    0.10  
Bury             38   39  -15      46.21     3.47   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.98R    0.92  
Boston           39   39  -25      48.17     3.55   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.34R    0.72  
Wrexham          38   38  -25      45.62     3.44   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.71R    2.81  
Torquay          39   29  -25      35.61     3.22   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   95.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 March 2007, Oxford_Utd vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          39   82  +42      97.06     3.33    50.92    99.91   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         40   71  +28      82.59     3.11    32.87     0.09    99.18    39.68P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   67  +18      78.46     3.56    20.82     0.01    85.48    21.27P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             38   64   +2      74.97     3.77     2.28     0.00    47.61     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             38   62  +13      75.56     3.89    16.77     0.00    61.22    12.88P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          38   62   +8      74.76     3.92    10.64     0.00    50.06     9.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          37   58   +3      71.61     4.07     4.81     0.00    20.34     3.55P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           38   58   -3      67.62     3.78    -5.11     0.00     2.98     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          36   57  +10      72.11     4.48    12.04     0.00    29.78     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   53   -3      66.03     4.36    -3.75     0.00     2.51     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          37   51   +0      63.99     4.18     0.80     0.00     0.57     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        36   47   +2      61.35     4.40     3.05     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Altrincham         39   47  -10      55.43     3.50   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.01  
Woking             39   46   -4      55.26     3.56    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   38   45  -15      54.12     3.73   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.00R    0.06  
Crawley            38   44   +1      55.39     3.89     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.01  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.11     3.88    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.04  
Cambridge_U        40   43  -17      48.99     3.07   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.55R    1.21  
Halifax            36   42   -2      55.55     4.43    -2.21     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.47R    0.09  
Northwich          33   42  -12      55.35     4.86   -19.11     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.68R    0.13  
Tamworth           38   41  -12      50.49     3.79   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.55R    1.24  
Grays              37   38   -1      50.63     4.15    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.36R    1.00  
St_Albans          39   36  -22      43.28     3.45   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.57R   34.14  
Southport          39   34  -19      41.09     3.32   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.28R   62.08  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10