Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 March 2007 at 20:42:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.95     3.03    63.70    95.42   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.20     3.46    43.15     4.58    98.83   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.43     3.73    35.78     0.00     1.08    99.30    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.60     3.55    30.92     0.00     0.09    97.31    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.32     3.54    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.68    42.94     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.80     3.58    14.84     0.00     0.00     1.52    68.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.71     3.77    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.30    29.44     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.93     3.76     8.10     0.00     0.00     0.83    45.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.23     3.71     4.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.73     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.96     3.60    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.90     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      47.00     3.68    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.14R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.15     3.51    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.64     3.70    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.80R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.57     3.35   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.79     3.60   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.51R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.41     3.69   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.17R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.45     3.44   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.24R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.26     3.53   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.84R    0.62  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.19     2.96   -39.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   37.49  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.41     3.19   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.70R   61.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.59     3.44    19.57    40.95    73.05    99.82    79.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.85     3.75    24.28    38.50    66.31    99.45    75.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.51     3.48    23.86    10.06    29.64    96.85    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.11     3.85    18.22     9.64    25.70    95.19    42.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.96     3.46     4.67     0.26     1.70    60.06    11.85P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.44     3.51    24.63     0.48     2.78    74.28    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.41     3.54    14.75     0.10     0.72    45.81    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.28     3.49    15.76     0.01     0.10    17.70     4.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.28     3.47    16.43     0.00     0.00     7.74     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.54     3.54    12.06     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.79     3.54     5.42     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.51     3.39    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.05     3.87     2.63     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.67     3.33    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.17     3.81   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.03     3.63    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.13     3.64    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.13     4.01    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.21  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.90     3.37   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.16R    1.41  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.76     3.30   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.67R    4.02  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.63     3.66   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.20R    2.60  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.55     3.32   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.00R    7.54  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.08     3.40   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.08R   33.26  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.26     3.20   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.57R   50.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          39   76  +31      89.09     3.37    36.09    72.91    95.00   100.00    96.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        39   74  +20      85.94     3.58    23.48    21.32    69.42    99.93    77.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   39   70  +18      82.62     3.49    22.53     5.24    29.92    99.48    48.47P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              39   67  +15      77.58     3.43    16.68     0.41     3.01    90.14    23.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              39   64  +22      77.08     3.49    27.27     0.11     1.89    90.69    26.39P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           38   62  +15      74.75     3.87    17.70     0.03     0.65    68.02    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             39   61  +16      71.94     3.60    18.02     0.00     0.11    37.73     9.31P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            39   59   +7      69.48     3.53     8.38     0.00     0.00    12.54     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            39   56   -2      64.08     3.42    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.94     3.18     3.13     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           39   53   +2      63.87     3.63     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               39   52   -4      60.40     3.45    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            39   52   -6      60.18     3.51    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield        39   50   -9      57.99     3.41   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Brighton            39   49   -5      57.45     3.44    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Northampton         39   48   -2      57.07     3.43    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       39   47  -10      55.36     3.56   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.43R    0.00  
Bournemouth         39   46  -10      54.43     3.48   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.67R    0.00  
Gillingham          39   46  -22      53.87     3.47   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.21R    0.01  
Bradford            39   41  -12      48.89     3.41   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.26R    0.53  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.95     3.18    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.16R    0.93  
Cheltenham          39   40  -18      48.06     3.45   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.18R    1.96  
Brentford           39   34  -28      40.23     3.18   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   57.66  
Rotherham           38   31  -11      40.89     3.68   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   38.93  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       39   78  +24      90.55     3.43    28.34    69.07    98.77   100.00    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   73  +28      87.26     3.21    34.92    26.09    93.58   100.00    95.98P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    39   71  +14      81.94     3.49    16.31     1.51    39.83    99.50    52.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     38   70  +16      82.66     3.71    18.57     3.18    51.05    99.78    63.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   67  +14      78.39     3.56    16.79     0.12    11.95    96.34    29.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        39   63   +8      73.88     3.61     9.82     0.01     1.14    72.81    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   59  +11      70.87     3.81    12.46     0.00     0.23    40.13    11.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   57   +1      65.78     3.51    -0.05     0.00     0.00     4.53     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   56  +20      74.31     4.18    27.35     0.01     3.47    78.44    29.91P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   55   +5      65.78     3.59     6.79     0.00     0.00     5.21     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   52   +0      62.00     3.69    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     39   51   -1      61.05     3.50    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          39   50   +0      58.31     3.41    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   50  -17      56.80     3.36   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   49  +14      63.02     4.17    16.62     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   49   +0      58.83     3.54     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         39   49   -6      57.31     3.37    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           39   46  -14      53.56     3.39   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Accrington       39   41  -11      48.21     3.24   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.19  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.83     3.53   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.41R    0.10  
Bury             38   39  -15      46.23     3.46   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.50R    0.89  
Boston           39   39  -25      48.11     3.53   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.27R    0.91  
Wrexham          38   38  -25      45.70     3.43   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.85R    2.58  
Torquay          39   29  -25      35.73     3.21   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.92R   95.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Northwich vs Cambridge_U; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          38   81  +42      97.46     3.59    50.91    99.75   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   70  +28      83.00     3.45    32.95     0.25    98.86    39.48P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   67  +18      78.50     3.57    20.83     0.00    85.91    21.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             38   64   +2      74.87     3.76     2.12     0.00    46.55     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             38   62  +13      75.51     3.87    16.71     0.00    61.52    12.95P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          38   62   +8      74.82     3.92    10.71     0.00    50.61     9.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          37   58   +3      71.61     4.06     4.83     0.00    20.07     3.22P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           38   58   -3      67.49     3.73    -5.31     0.00     2.87     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          36   57  +10      72.17     4.45    12.12     0.00    30.00     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   53   -3      65.97     4.37    -3.79     0.00     2.68     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          37   51   +0      64.09     4.11     0.92     0.00     0.68     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        36   47   +2      61.48     4.38     3.22     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Altrincham         39   47  -10      55.40     3.49   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.01  
Woking             39   46   -4      55.18     3.52    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.53R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   38   45  -15      54.10     3.73   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.89R    0.07  
Crawley            38   44   +1      55.28     3.91     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.01  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.13     3.90    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.36R    0.04  
Cambridge_U        40   43  -17      48.99     3.07   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.05R    1.29  
Halifax            36   42   -2      55.54     4.43    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.49R    0.08  
Northwich          33   42  -12      55.45     4.89   -18.94     0.00     0.03     0.00     6.32R    0.10  
Tamworth           38   41  -12      50.41     3.78   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.32R    1.32  
Grays              37   38   -1      50.63     4.12    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.12R    1.09  
St_Albans          39   36  -22      43.35     3.46   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.01R   34.13  
Southport          39   34  -19      41.14     3.35   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.06R   61.84  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10