Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 March 2007 at 20:33:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.87     3.05    63.56    94.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.27     3.44    43.23     5.02    98.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.53     3.67    35.89     0.00     0.99    99.36    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.60     3.55    30.92     0.00     0.08    97.10    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.23     3.61    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.79    42.52     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.78     3.65    14.79     0.00     0.00     1.55    68.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.74     3.76    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.28    29.78     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.90     3.81     8.06     0.00     0.00     0.87    45.74     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.27     3.68     4.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     8.71     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.96     3.61    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.97     3.69    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.13     3.51    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.09R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.68     3.73    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.81R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.67     3.36   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.64R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.70     3.59   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.79R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.36     3.69   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.05R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.53     3.47   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.28R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.28     3.51   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.93R    0.65  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.22     2.96   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R   36.30  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.29     3.17   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   63.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.52     3.43    19.49    39.85    71.92    99.83    78.44P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.89     3.76    24.30    38.70    66.94    99.45    75.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.57     3.52    23.90    10.93    30.24    96.78    49.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.16     3.83    18.31     9.73    25.76    95.48    42.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.95     3.44     4.69     0.27     1.71    60.98    12.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.46     3.54    24.72     0.46     2.60    74.53    23.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.30     3.57    14.58     0.07     0.76    44.11    11.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.31     3.50    15.81     0.01     0.09    18.19     4.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.32     3.45    16.46     0.00     0.00     7.71     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.46     3.50    11.96     0.00     0.00     2.25     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.72     3.52     5.38     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.55     3.42    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.17     3.87     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.69     3.34    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.12     3.77   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.07     3.59    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.15     3.66    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      52.98     3.96    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.98R    0.17  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.88     3.37   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.41R    1.38  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.81     3.31   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.77R    3.87  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.74     3.66   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.39R    2.40  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.57     3.34   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.53R    7.85  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.00     3.37   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.15R   33.94  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.29     3.18   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.44R   50.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          39   76  +31      89.08     3.36    36.11    73.00    94.85   100.00    96.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        39   74  +20      85.90     3.55    23.40    21.29    69.38    99.96    76.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   39   70  +18      82.65     3.49    22.58     5.28    30.09    99.59    48.26P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              39   67  +15      77.66     3.46    16.77     0.29     2.99    90.28    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              39   64  +22      77.10     3.51    27.28     0.10     1.96    90.86    26.72P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           38   62  +15      74.68     3.88    17.61     0.06     0.68    66.95    15.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             39   61  +16      72.01     3.57    18.12     0.00     0.06    38.20     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            39   59   +7      69.50     3.52     8.37     0.00     0.00    12.77     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            39   56   -2      64.07     3.43    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.93     3.16     3.13     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           39   53   +2      63.93     3.63     3.94     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               39   52   -4      60.42     3.44    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            39   52   -6      60.20     3.53    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield        39   50   -9      57.90     3.42   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Brighton            39   49   -5      57.36     3.42    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Northampton         39   48   -2      57.19     3.44    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       39   47  -10      55.39     3.52   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.00  
Bournemouth         39   46  -10      54.31     3.46   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.70R    0.01  
Gillingham          39   46  -22      53.91     3.48   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.68R    0.01  
Bradford            39   41  -12      48.85     3.42   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.04R    0.58  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      47.86     3.17    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.50R    0.94  
Cheltenham          39   40  -18      48.19     3.45   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.95R    1.73  
Brentford           39   34  -28      40.16     3.18   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   58.58  
Rotherham           38   31  -11      40.88     3.69   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   38.16  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       39   78  +24      90.59     3.42    28.44    69.61    98.84   100.00    99.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   73  +28      87.29     3.18    34.92    25.70    93.86   100.00    96.12P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    39   71  +14      81.75     3.53    15.99     1.32    38.37    99.38    50.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     38   70  +16      82.69     3.74    18.61     3.21    52.16    99.73    64.58P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   67  +14      78.32     3.57    16.68     0.15    11.69    96.18    30.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        39   63   +8      73.96     3.61     9.96     0.00     1.39    72.87    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   59  +11      70.90     3.77    12.52     0.00     0.23    40.34    11.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   57   +1      65.96     3.52     0.22     0.00     0.00     5.41     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   56  +20      74.34     4.20    27.42     0.01     3.46    77.94    29.77P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   55   +5      65.70     3.61     6.67     0.00     0.00     4.99     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   52   +0      62.00     3.74    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     39   51   -1      60.99     3.51    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          39   50   +0      58.27     3.39    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   50  -17      56.80     3.32   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   49  +14      63.02     4.11    16.64     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   49   +0      58.85     3.54     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         39   49   -6      57.41     3.41    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           39   46  -14      53.48     3.36   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Accrington       39   41  -11      48.22     3.28   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.88R    0.12  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.87     3.57   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.45R    0.11  
Bury             38   39  -15      46.22     3.47   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.18R    0.88  
Boston           39   39  -25      48.10     3.53   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.02R    0.68  
Wrexham          38   38  -25      45.78     3.49   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.37R    2.69  
Torquay          39   29  -25      35.61     3.22   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   95.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2007, Northwich vs Cambridge_U; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          38   81  +42      97.52     3.56    51.04    99.72   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   70  +28      83.06     3.42    33.01     0.28    98.94    39.40P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   67  +18      78.44     3.56    20.76     0.00    85.57    21.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             38   64   +2      75.00     3.77     2.32     0.00    47.77     7.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             38   62  +13      75.56     3.87    16.83     0.00    61.11    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          38   62   +8      74.89     3.93    10.83     0.00    50.64     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          37   58   +3      71.56     4.11     4.74     0.00    20.27     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           38   58   -3      67.54     3.74    -5.24     0.00     2.89     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          36   57  +10      72.18     4.46    12.14     0.00    29.49     5.27P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   53   -3      65.92     4.34    -3.88     0.00     2.55     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          37   51   +0      64.05     4.15     0.86     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        36   47   +2      61.49     4.36     3.23     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Altrincham         39   47  -10      55.45     3.50   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45R    0.01  
Woking             39   46   -4      55.23     3.56    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   38   45  -15      54.12     3.69   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.86R    0.06  
Crawley            38   44   +1      55.36     3.94     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.01  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.15     3.90    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06R    0.04  
Cambridge_U        40   43  -17      48.92     3.08   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.43R    1.35  
Halifax            36   42   -2      55.55     4.41    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.05  
Northwich          33   42  -12      55.26     4.88   -19.18     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.65R    0.14  
Tamworth           38   41  -12      50.41     3.76   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.98R    1.25  
Grays              37   38   -1      50.54     4.12    -0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.52R    0.97  
St_Albans          39   36  -22      43.25     3.44   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.26R   34.50  
Southport          39   34  -19      41.13     3.33   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.09R   61.62  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10