Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 March 2007 at 21:33:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      93.01     3.03    63.70    95.15   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.16     3.47    43.07     4.85    98.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.49     3.69    35.81     0.00     1.02    99.33   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.66     3.56    31.05     0.00     0.09    97.41    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.22     3.59    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.69    43.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.68     3.61    14.66     0.00     0.00     1.40    67.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.67     3.72    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.25    29.33     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.98     3.75     8.18     0.00     0.00     0.91    46.81     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.19     3.68     4.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.20     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      51.04     3.63    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.94     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.92     3.67    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.14R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.07     3.51    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.75     3.70    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.88R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.67     3.37   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.96R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.69     3.59   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.88R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.37     3.66   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.85R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.51     3.48   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.46R    0.02  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.31     3.51   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.47R    0.65  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.32     2.96   -38.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.50R   35.92  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.35     3.18   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   63.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.51     3.43    19.47    39.25    71.58    99.90    78.27P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      85.01     3.73    24.45    39.65    68.05    99.53    76.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.56     3.52    23.91    10.31    29.50    96.60    48.76P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.21     3.81    18.36     9.88    25.85    95.70    42.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.96     3.48     4.71     0.40     1.74    60.56    11.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.45     3.54    24.65     0.42     2.58    74.33    22.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.38     3.52    14.75     0.07     0.65    45.29    11.53P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.24     3.47    15.65     0.01     0.06    17.59     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.22     3.46    16.34     0.00     0.00     7.47     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.49     3.52    12.04     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.73     3.53     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.44     3.43    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.15     3.86     2.77     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.72     3.36    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.25     3.79   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.11     3.60    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.05     3.65    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      52.93     3.95    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.97R    0.16  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.81     3.38   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.27R    1.62  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.81     3.33   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.37R    4.08  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.74     3.68   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.78R    2.23  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.57     3.32   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.66R    7.59  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.07     3.41   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.32R   33.53  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.29     3.17   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.25R   50.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2007, Swansea vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          39   76  +31      89.17     3.37    36.22    73.17    94.87   100.00    96.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        39   74  +20      85.94     3.56    23.46    20.92    68.67    99.96    76.36P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   39   70  +18      82.66     3.49    22.62     5.10    28.48    99.44    46.97P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              39   67  +15      77.47     3.43    16.53     0.34     2.62    88.94    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              38   63  +22      78.30     3.74    28.50     0.43     4.59    93.37    30.48P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           38   62  +15      74.73     3.87    17.62     0.04     0.73    66.50    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             39   61  +16      72.04     3.57    18.14     0.00     0.04    38.15     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            39   59   +7      69.54     3.51     8.44     0.00     0.00    12.34     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            39   56   -2      64.04     3.44    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           40   55   +2      63.97     3.20     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           39   53   +2      63.94     3.58     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               39   52   -4      60.33     3.45    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            39   52   -6      60.18     3.51    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield        39   50   -9      57.97     3.46   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Brighton            39   49   -5      57.46     3.42    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Northampton         39   48   -2      57.02     3.43    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       39   47  -10      55.43     3.53   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.24R    0.00  
Bournemouth         39   46  -10      54.24     3.46   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.18R    0.01  
Gillingham          39   46  -22      53.97     3.44   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.32R    0.01  
Bradford            39   41  -12      48.81     3.42   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.56R    0.45  
Chesterfield        40   40   -9      48.04     3.21    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.21R    0.64  
Cheltenham          39   40  -18      48.07     3.46   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.36R    1.72  
Brentford           38   33  -28      39.66     3.35   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   62.49  
Rotherham           38   31  -11      40.87     3.69   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R   34.69  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2007, Grimsby vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       38   75  +21      88.71     3.71    25.05    48.08    95.94   100.00    97.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   72  +28      87.94     3.54    35.41    44.91    94.74   100.00    96.69P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    38   70  +14      81.79     3.78    15.54     3.56    42.27    99.10    53.67P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   67  +15      79.83     3.84    17.95     1.00    27.36    97.48    42.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     37   67  +15      80.66     3.99    17.04     2.42    33.84    98.44    49.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        39   63   +8      73.88     3.61     9.82     0.01     1.62    70.61    15.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   59  +11      70.83     3.79    12.40     0.00     0.28    38.35    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   57   +4      67.31     3.81     3.27     0.00     0.01    10.97     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   56  +20      74.32     4.17    27.39     0.03     3.92    77.34    29.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   55   +5      65.76     3.63     6.73     0.00     0.00     4.70     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   52   +0      62.04     3.73    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     39   51   -1      61.14     3.48    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          39   50   +0      58.39     3.38    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   50  -17      56.78     3.32   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   49  +14      63.06     4.13    16.72     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   49   +0      58.85     3.56     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         39   49   -6      57.37     3.38    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           39   46  -14      53.62     3.39   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Accrington       39   41  -11      48.23     3.27   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.12  
Macclesfield     39   41  -16      49.81     3.56   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.33R    0.10  
Bury             38   39  -15      46.31     3.46   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.28R    0.98  
Boston           39   39  -25      48.20     3.55   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.75R    0.68  
Wrexham          38   38  -25      45.64     3.45   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.58R    2.96  
Torquay          39   29  -25      35.68     3.24   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   95.17  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2007, Weymouth vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          38   81  +42      97.45     3.60    50.92    99.65   100.00    99.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   70  +28      83.05     3.41    32.98     0.35    99.12    40.09P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   67  +18      78.51     3.56    20.83     0.00    86.00    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             38   64   +2      74.72     3.74     1.95     0.00    45.27     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             38   62  +13      75.65     3.85    16.94     0.00    63.40    13.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          38   62   +8      74.69     3.92    10.53     0.00    49.90     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          37   58   +3      71.54     4.13     4.67     0.00    20.45     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           38   58   -3      67.55     3.74    -5.21     0.00     3.06     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          36   57  +10      71.98     4.51    11.81     0.00    29.35     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   53   -3      65.88     4.32    -3.94     0.00     2.44     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          37   51   +0      64.16     4.11     1.01     0.00     0.64     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        36   47   +2      61.42     4.40     3.13     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Altrincham         39   47  -10      55.42     3.52   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.01  
Woking             39   46   -4      55.12     3.54    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   38   45  -15      54.02     3.72   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.04  
Crawley            38   44   +1      55.32     3.93     1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.30R    0.01  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.11     3.92    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.03  
Halifax            36   42   -2      55.71     4.42    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.05  
Northwich          32   42   -8      57.96     5.23   -12.96     0.00     0.14     0.01P    1.88R    0.02  
Tamworth           38   41  -12      50.42     3.78   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.46R    1.14  
Cambridge_U        39   40  -21      46.65     3.29   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.08R    6.80  
Grays              37   38   -1      50.46     4.16    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.94R    1.05  
St_Albans          39   36  -22      43.33     3.43   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.92R   31.51  
Southport          39   34  -19      41.15     3.33   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.08R   59.35  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10