Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 March 2007 at 21:34:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.91     3.02    63.56    95.06   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.23     3.46    43.15     4.95    98.88   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.41     3.75    35.71     0.00     1.02    99.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.58     3.57    30.90     0.00     0.10    97.23    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.35     3.61    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.77    43.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.67     3.56    14.66     0.00     0.00     1.44    67.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.74     3.76    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.21    29.48     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.95     3.79     8.12     0.00     0.00     0.93    46.08     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.26     3.69     4.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.78     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.98     3.57    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.92     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      47.05     3.70    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.02     3.50    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.74     3.69    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.76R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.74     3.40   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.77R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.63     3.58   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.39R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.30     3.68   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.12R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.44     3.47   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.94R    0.02  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.38     3.52   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.60R    0.67  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.28     2.96   -38.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   35.55  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.30     3.17   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   63.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.59     3.42    19.58    40.55    72.31    99.89    78.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.90     3.75    24.32    38.27    66.36    99.51    75.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.61     3.49    24.00    10.51    30.30    96.92    49.66P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.19     3.80    18.35     9.82    25.84    95.58    42.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.85     3.47     4.56     0.27     1.65    59.63    11.90P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.33     3.53    24.46     0.47     2.67    73.70    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.32     3.56    14.64     0.11     0.77    45.03    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.27     3.49    15.79     0.01     0.10    18.30     4.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.37     3.47    16.50     0.00     0.01     8.44     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.42     3.53    11.89     0.00     0.00     2.28     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.63     3.54     5.21     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.62     3.40    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.11     3.86     2.73     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.72     3.38    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.32     3.79   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.05     3.61    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.08     3.66    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      52.94     3.98    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.11R    0.20  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.85     3.37   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.67R    1.53  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.86     3.32   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.34R    3.78  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.73     3.65   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    2.28  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.62     3.34   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.31R    7.39  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.00     3.41   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.83R   34.36  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.28     3.17   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.72R   50.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2007, Chesterfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          38   75  +31      90.30     3.63    37.34    86.08    97.58   100.00    98.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        38   71  +19      84.29     3.81    22.45    10.33    61.08    99.70    70.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   38   67  +15      81.55     3.76    20.33     2.83    28.48    98.78    45.77P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              38   64  +14      76.22     3.75    16.02     0.24     3.23    82.21    21.45P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              38   63  +22      78.39     3.76    28.64     0.47     8.88    94.56    34.98P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           37   59  +13      73.01     4.13    15.54     0.03     0.58    53.22    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            38   59   +9      71.50     3.79    11.29     0.01     0.07    34.38     7.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             38   58  +15      70.94     3.84    17.91     0.00     0.11    34.31     8.71P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           39   55   +3      65.35     3.47     4.23     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            38   53   -7      62.04     3.67    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            38   52   -4      61.41     3.79    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale           38   50   +0      62.70     3.90     2.49     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               38   49   -5      59.05     3.79    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Huddersfield        38   49   -9      57.95     3.66   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Northampton         38   48   -1      58.02     3.67    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.70R    0.00  
Brighton            38   48   -5      57.96     3.75    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.19R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       38   46  -10      55.04     3.72   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.10R    0.00  
Gillingham          38   46  -17      55.54     3.78   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.08R    0.01  
Bournemouth         38   43  -12      52.19     3.73   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.45R    0.09  
Bradford            38   41  -10      50.11     3.70   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.62R    0.36  
Chesterfield        39   40   -8      48.79     3.46    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.36R    0.79  
Cheltenham          38   40  -15      49.04     3.67   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.57R    1.42  
Brentford           38   33  -28      39.53     3.33   -34.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   70.89  
Rotherham           37   31  -10      42.08     4.00   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.77R   26.43  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       38   75  +21      88.76     3.69    25.19    48.38    95.95   100.00    96.97P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   72  +28      87.98     3.52    35.54    45.09    94.78   100.00    96.58P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    38   70  +14      81.66     3.75    15.32     3.12    39.73    98.50    51.09P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   67  +15      79.83     3.83    17.95     0.96    26.21    96.50    40.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     37   67  +15      80.66     4.02    17.07     2.34    32.83    97.37    48.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        38   63  +13      76.17     3.82    16.22     0.07     6.41    83.86    24.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   58  +11      72.02     4.08    13.60     0.00     0.79    43.67    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   57   +4      67.32     3.80     3.27     0.00     0.01     7.73     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   53  +19      73.94     4.33    28.38     0.04     3.31    68.16    26.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   52   +3      64.11     3.89     4.70     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   52   +1      64.26     3.98     1.17     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   50  -15      58.34     3.66   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   49   +1      61.12     3.85     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         38   49   -4      58.91     3.70    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     38   48   -2      59.54     3.79    -0.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          38   47   -2      56.64     3.66    -3.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   46   +9      60.32     4.35    10.05     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           38   46  -12      54.65     3.66   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Bury             37   39  -14      47.52     3.73   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.20R    0.41  
Accrington       38   38  -13      46.59     3.53   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.73R    0.78  
Macclesfield     38   38  -17      47.51     3.79   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.65R    0.69  
Boston           38   38  -25      47.84     3.75   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.26R    1.19  
Wrexham          37   35  -26      43.28     3.64   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.00R    9.68  
Torquay          38   29  -24      36.06     3.39   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.12R   87.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2007, Halifax vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          38   81  +42      97.46     3.58    51.00    99.71   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   70  +28      83.05     3.43    33.00     0.29    98.81    39.03P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   66  +18      78.85     3.85    20.86     0.00    83.51    20.25P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          37   62   +9      76.25     4.18    11.83     0.00    59.74    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             37   61  +13      75.98     4.15    16.88     0.00    60.83    13.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             37   61   +1      72.91     4.00     0.78     0.00    24.23     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          35   57  +11      74.28     4.76    14.34     0.00    44.11     7.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          36   57   +3      72.31     4.39     5.33     0.00    23.34     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           37   55   -5      65.76     3.98    -7.46     0.00     1.08     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   52   -3      66.34     4.61    -3.87     0.00     2.94     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          36   50   +0      64.50     4.36     0.97     0.00     0.89     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      61.89     4.61     3.25     0.00     0.41     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             38   45   -4      55.93     3.84    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.01  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.04     3.84    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.04  
Altrincham         38   44  -11      53.20     3.79   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.79R    0.15  
Crawley            37   43   +1      55.52     4.17     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50R    0.02  
Halifax            36   42   -2      55.55     4.40    -2.18     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.50R    0.05  
Northwich          32   42   -8      57.77     5.22   -13.36     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.04R    0.04  
Stafford_Rangers   37   42  -17      51.86     3.96   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.47R    0.70  
Tamworth           37   41  -10      51.89     4.03   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.18R    0.57  
Cambridge_U        39   40  -21      46.62     3.27   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.59R    7.13  
Grays              36   38   +1      52.39     4.39     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.47R    0.38  
St_Albans          38   35  -22      43.42     3.70   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.47R   31.64  
Southport          38   33  -19      41.10     3.61   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.19R   59.27  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10