Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 March 2007 at 22:04:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.93     3.02    63.67    95.42   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.20     3.44    43.07     4.58    98.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.42     3.71    35.72     0.00     1.01    99.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.71     3.53    31.10     0.00     0.08    97.38    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.28     3.60    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.70    43.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.71     3.60    14.71     0.00     0.00     1.50    68.09     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.74     3.74    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.25    29.18     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.90     3.80     8.07     0.00     0.00     0.88    45.70     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.32     3.70     4.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     9.02     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.99     3.64    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.93     3.70    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.06     3.48    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.72     3.68    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.76R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.67     3.39   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.72     3.60   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.83R    0.01  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.33     3.67   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.31R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.46     3.47   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.46R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.30     3.50   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.51R    0.72  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.28     2.96   -38.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.50R   35.63  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.36     3.16   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   63.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.55     3.46    19.52    40.07    72.08    99.86    79.23P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      85.01     3.77    24.43    39.59    67.85    99.50    76.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.54     3.47    23.93    10.07    29.89    96.67    48.87P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.13     3.81    18.27     9.51    25.09    95.56    41.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.89     3.49     4.62     0.23     1.52    59.66    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.49     3.52    24.74     0.46     2.85    74.70    23.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.39     3.55    14.71     0.08     0.62    45.30    11.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.31     3.47    15.82     0.01     0.09    18.09     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.29     3.46    16.45     0.00     0.00     7.76     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.61     3.48    12.15     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.69     3.51     5.29     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.48     3.41    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.06     3.87     2.64     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.69     3.37    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.12     3.82   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.12     3.61    -2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.10     3.64    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      52.94     4.00    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.23  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.82     3.37   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.61R    1.51  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.81     3.31   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.66R    4.07  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.71     3.67   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.73R    2.67  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.59     3.32   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.39R    7.68  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.05     3.40   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.37R   33.35  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.27     3.15   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.81R   50.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2007, Chesterfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          38   75  +31      90.23     3.68    37.20    85.58    97.56   100.00    98.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        38   71  +19      84.28     3.84    22.45    10.66    61.42    99.73    71.11P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   38   67  +15      81.47     3.79    20.21     3.02    28.22    98.56    45.70P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              38   64  +14      76.29     3.69    16.12     0.17     3.31    82.86    22.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              38   63  +22      78.32     3.74    28.56     0.55     8.70    94.43    34.81P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           37   59  +13      73.05     4.14    15.59     0.02     0.56    53.72    12.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            38   59   +9      71.43     3.78    11.20     0.01     0.09    33.74     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             38   58  +15      70.89     3.84    17.81     0.00     0.14    33.97     8.02P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           39   55   +3      65.32     3.47     4.18     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            38   53   -7      62.12     3.64    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            38   52   -4      61.42     3.85    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale           38   50   +0      62.53     3.92     2.27     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               38   49   -5      59.14     3.82    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.40R    0.00  
Huddersfield        38   49   -9      58.09     3.71   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.92R    0.00  
Northampton         38   48   -1      58.03     3.68    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Brighton            38   48   -5      57.93     3.76    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.41R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       38   46  -10      55.08     3.72   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.17R    0.00  
Gillingham          38   46  -17      55.61     3.79   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.01R    0.01  
Bournemouth         38   43  -12      52.17     3.71   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.86R    0.07  
Bradford            38   41  -10      50.19     3.74   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.11R    0.41  
Chesterfield        39   40   -8      48.74     3.44    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.03R    0.72  
Cheltenham          38   40  -15      49.05     3.64   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.30R    1.36  
Brentford           38   33  -28      39.52     3.33   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   71.00  
Rotherham           37   31  -10      42.12     4.00   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.41R   26.42  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       38   75  +21      88.81     3.73    25.26    49.00    95.84   100.00    96.92P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   72  +28      87.98     3.48    35.52    44.49    94.81   100.00    96.64P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    38   70  +14      81.64     3.76    15.29     2.95    39.02    98.47    50.26P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   67  +15      79.80     3.84    17.90     0.92    25.91    96.37    40.66P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     37   67  +15      80.81     4.02    17.28     2.52    33.84    97.62    50.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        38   63  +13      76.15     3.82    16.20     0.10     6.72    84.31    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   58  +11      71.97     4.07    13.51     0.01     0.72    42.66    11.97P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   57   +4      67.25     3.78     3.19     0.00     0.01     7.64     1.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   53  +19      73.93     4.32    28.40     0.01     3.12    68.28    26.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   52   +3      64.16     3.95     4.73     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   52   +1      64.29     3.98     1.23     0.00     0.01     2.02     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   50  -15      58.34     3.68   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   49   +1      61.14     3.86     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         38   49   -4      58.91     3.73    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     38   48   -2      59.49     3.79    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          38   47   -2      56.76     3.64    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   46   +9      60.15     4.37     9.80     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           38   46  -12      54.68     3.67   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             37   39  -14      47.61     3.74   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.42  
Accrington       38   38  -13      46.58     3.54   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.10R    0.67  
Macclesfield     38   38  -17      47.54     3.78   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.38R    0.68  
Boston           38   38  -25      47.87     3.73   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.55R    1.08  
Wrexham          37   35  -26      43.18     3.63   -33.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.90R    9.65  
Torquay          38   29  -24      36.00     3.36   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.11R   87.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2007, Halifax vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          38   81  +42      97.50     3.57    51.06    99.75   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   70  +28      82.99     3.39    32.89     0.23    98.80    39.02P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   66  +18      78.71     3.84    20.63     0.01    82.42    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          37   62   +9      76.32     4.13    11.94     0.01    60.02    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             37   61  +13      76.14     4.12    17.14     0.00    61.91    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             37   61   +1      73.01     4.01     0.88     0.00    25.23     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          35   57  +11      74.27     4.77    14.29     0.00    43.73     7.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          36   57   +3      72.25     4.37     5.19     0.00    22.37     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           37   55   -5      65.87     4.02    -7.32     0.00     1.04     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   52   -3      66.37     4.69    -3.76     0.00     3.15     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          36   50   +0      64.44     4.42     0.83     0.00     0.91     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      61.88     4.60     3.29     0.00     0.33     0.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             38   45   -4      55.91     3.85    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.01  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.08     3.85    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.03  
Altrincham         38   44  -11      53.07     3.73   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.03R    0.10  
Crawley            37   43   +1      55.47     4.17     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.02  
Halifax            36   42   -2      55.49     4.39    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.04  
Northwich          32   42   -8      57.90     5.23   -13.09     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.02R    0.04  
Stafford_Rangers   37   42  -17      51.85     3.97   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.73R    0.64  
Tamworth           37   41  -10      51.75     4.05   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.04R    0.67  
Cambridge_U        39   40  -21      46.66     3.30   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.88R    6.89  
Grays              36   38   +1      52.34     4.38     2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.73R    0.44  
St_Albans          38   35  -22      43.60     3.73   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.33R   30.03  
Southport          38   33  -19      41.03     3.59   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.26R   61.10  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10