Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 March 2007 at 21:34:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.88     3.00    63.62    95.08   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.29     3.45    43.29     4.92    99.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.43     3.70    35.75     0.00     0.95    99.32   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.59     3.58    30.86     0.00     0.05    97.19    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.27     3.59    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.70    43.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.68     3.55    14.67     0.00     0.00     1.46    67.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.79     3.73    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.30    29.64     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.99     3.81     8.21     0.00     0.00     1.01    46.72     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.21     3.69     4.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.46     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.96     3.59    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.76     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.94     3.67    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.12R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.05     3.53    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.81     3.71    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.80R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.70     3.37   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.72R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.73     3.60   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.62R    0.01  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.37     3.69   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.06R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.51     3.48   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.30R    0.03  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.21     3.49   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.11R    0.83  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.24     2.96   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   36.55  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.38     3.19   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   62.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.56     3.43    19.52    40.33    72.00    99.84    78.81P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.95     3.74    24.38    38.99    67.14    99.51    76.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.62     3.50    24.01    10.41    30.55    96.89    49.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.16     3.80    18.27     9.46    25.36    95.45    42.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.99     3.46     4.73     0.30     1.56    61.62    12.31P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.42     3.54    24.61     0.41     2.66    73.65    22.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.28     3.58    14.56     0.10     0.68    44.50    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.22     3.50    15.66     0.01     0.06    17.70     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.36     3.45    16.52     0.00     0.00     8.18     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.42     3.48    11.90     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.73     3.51     5.33     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.63     3.45    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.12     3.86     2.72     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.64     3.38    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.26     3.82   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.01     3.58    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.08     3.68    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.00     4.00    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.00R    0.17  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.82     3.29   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.36R    1.42  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.81     3.32   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.42R    4.13  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.73     3.63   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.80R    2.39  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.58     3.33   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.76R    7.74  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.02     3.38   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.12R   33.58  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.31     3.18   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.20R   50.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2007, Chesterfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          38   75  +31      90.27     3.63    37.26    85.73    97.70   100.00    98.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        38   71  +19      84.31     3.82    22.48    10.67    61.78    99.77    71.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   38   67  +15      81.54     3.78    20.28     2.88    28.24    98.61    45.96P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              38   64  +14      76.36     3.74    16.22     0.23     3.35    83.42    22.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              38   63  +22      78.26     3.75    28.44     0.47     8.16    94.25    33.51P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           37   59  +13      72.99     4.13    15.54     0.01     0.56    53.63    12.60P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            38   59   +9      71.44     3.79    11.21     0.00     0.10    33.33     7.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             38   58  +15      70.93     3.88    17.84     0.00     0.10    34.18     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           39   55   +3      65.28     3.45     4.13     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            38   53   -7      62.12     3.65    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            38   52   -4      61.37     3.76    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale           38   50   +0      62.52     3.90     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               38   49   -5      59.05     3.81    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.45R    0.00  
Huddersfield        38   49   -9      58.00     3.73   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.02R    0.00  
Northampton         38   48   -1      58.08     3.70    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.64R    0.00  
Brighton            38   48   -5      57.94     3.74    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       38   46  -10      55.10     3.74   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.20R    0.01  
Gillingham          38   46  -17      55.51     3.81   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.34R    0.01  
Bournemouth         38   43  -12      52.30     3.73   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.00R    0.09  
Bradford            38   41  -10      50.10     3.71   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.87R    0.38  
Chesterfield        39   40   -8      48.70     3.44    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.98R    0.72  
Cheltenham          38   40  -15      49.09     3.66   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.17R    1.35  
Brentford           38   33  -28      39.60     3.35   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R   70.80  
Rotherham           37   31  -10      42.20     4.06   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.52R   26.64  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       38   75  +21      88.90     3.70    25.34    49.98    96.19   100.00    97.25P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   72  +28      87.90     3.53    35.43    43.44    94.14   100.00    96.12P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    38   70  +14      81.69     3.76    15.39     3.15    39.56    98.56    50.99P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   67  +15      79.86     3.83    18.01     1.04    25.77    96.58    40.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     37   67  +15      80.80     4.02    17.23     2.31    33.70    97.70    50.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        38   63  +13      76.17     3.86    16.18     0.06     6.50    84.00    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   58  +11      71.88     4.06    13.44     0.00     0.85    42.61    11.79P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   57   +4      67.22     3.82     3.15     0.00     0.02     7.58     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   53  +19      73.98     4.34    28.45     0.02     3.28    68.60    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   52   +3      64.21     3.93     4.83     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   52   +1      64.18     4.00     1.04     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   50  -15      58.25     3.71   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   49   +1      60.94     3.86     2.53     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         38   49   -4      58.90     3.74    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     38   48   -2      59.41     3.78    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          38   47   -2      56.63     3.64    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         36   46   +9      60.19     4.35     9.84     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           38   46  -12      54.86     3.70   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             37   39  -14      47.76     3.75   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.62R    0.41  
Accrington       38   38  -13      46.56     3.53   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.16R    0.82  
Macclesfield     38   38  -17      47.60     3.81   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.93R    0.66  
Boston           38   38  -25      47.86     3.71   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.72R    0.93  
Wrexham          37   35  -26      43.30     3.63   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.24R    9.55  
Torquay          38   29  -24      36.05     3.36   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.31R   87.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2007, Weymouth vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          38   81  +42      97.44     3.60    51.00    99.36   100.00    99.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         38   69  +28      83.92     3.72    33.70     0.61    98.89    39.45P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   66  +18      78.86     3.88    20.79     0.03    83.05    20.70P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          37   62   +9      76.37     4.17    11.99     0.00    60.67    11.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             37   61  +13      75.99     4.16    16.88     0.00    60.47    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             37   61   +1      72.83     4.01     0.66     0.00    24.18     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          35   57  +11      74.35     4.76    14.48     0.00    45.09     7.83P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          36   57   +3      72.16     4.40     5.06     0.00    21.84     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           37   55   -5      65.88     4.05    -7.32     0.00     1.15     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   52   -3      66.53     4.64    -3.57     0.00     3.21     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          36   50   +0      64.51     4.41     0.98     0.00     1.01     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      61.91     4.67     3.32     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking             38   45   -4      55.90     3.83    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.04     3.87    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.04  
Altrincham         38   44  -11      53.16     3.78   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.87R    0.10  
Crawley            37   43   +1      55.38     4.17     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.01  
Northwich          32   42   -8      57.69     5.20   -13.49     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.19R    0.06  
Stafford_Rangers   37   42  -17      51.95     3.98   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.09R    0.67  
Halifax            35   41   -2      55.28     4.59    -3.08     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.28R    0.09  
Tamworth           37   41  -10      51.82     4.05   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.57R    0.71  
Cambridge_U        39   40  -21      46.69     3.31   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.97R    7.12  
Grays              36   38   +1      52.38     4.39     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.47R    0.39  
St_Albans          38   35  -22      43.47     3.73   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.09R   31.93  
Southport          38   33  -19      41.14     3.63   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.83R   58.90  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10