Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 19 March 2007 at 21:34:16 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Manchester_U 30 75 +50 92.90 3.04 63.63 95.01 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 69 +35 85.31 3.44 43.30 4.99 98.92 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 55 +27 72.39 3.69 35.69 0.00 1.00 99.39 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 54 +24 69.71 3.55 31.08 0.00 0.09 97.28 99.94 0.00 0.00 Bolton 30 47 -3 57.31 3.60 -4.49 0.00 0.00 0.72 43.95 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 46 +12 58.78 3.60 14.79 0.00 0.00 1.52 68.67 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 45 -1 55.75 3.74 -1.90 0.00 0.00 0.27 29.27 0.00 0.00 Reading 30 44 +5 56.90 3.76 8.03 0.00 0.00 0.81 45.34 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 30 42 +5 52.18 3.70 4.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 8.13 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 30 40 -5 51.01 3.60 -5.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.03 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 30 37 -5 46.93 3.70 -6.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.07R 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 36 -4 47.01 3.54 -4.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.07R 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 34 -6 44.69 3.72 -6.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.81R 0.00 Fulham 30 34 -13 41.66 3.36 -18.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.67R 0.00 Manchester_C 29 33 -12 41.76 3.57 -17.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.21R 0.00 Wigan 30 33 -14 43.50 3.67 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.96R 0.00 Sheffield_U 30 31 -19 40.53 3.50 -22.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.11R 0.04 Charlton 30 27 -21 35.17 3.48 -25.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.89R 0.79 West_Ham 30 23 -28 28.22 2.95 -39.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.53R 36.40 Watford 30 20 -27 26.31 3.17 -33.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.68R 62.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 39 73 +15 85.61 3.44 19.62 40.34 72.36 99.87 79.47P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 71 +20 84.98 3.76 24.48 39.05 68.08 99.38 76.89P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 39 70 +21 81.54 3.51 23.87 10.38 29.23 96.56 48.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 68 +15 81.17 3.82 18.32 9.54 25.36 95.30 42.18P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 66 +4 76.02 3.46 4.77 0.23 1.52 61.24 12.49P 0.00 0.00 West_Bromwich 39 64 +20 76.43 3.52 24.66 0.39 2.67 73.85 22.20P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 63 +12 74.36 3.50 14.73 0.06 0.69 44.78 11.55P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 39 60 +13 71.28 3.50 15.74 0.00 0.08 17.70 4.27P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 39 58 +14 69.34 3.46 16.50 0.00 0.00 8.21 2.24P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 39 56 +9 67.47 3.52 12.00 0.00 0.00 2.29 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 39 55 +5 64.79 3.54 5.44 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Sheffield_W 39 53 -1 61.50 3.40 -3.05 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 38 52 +1 64.13 3.87 2.76 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 39 52 -6 59.60 3.37 -8.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 50 -8 59.08 3.77 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 39 48 -3 58.07 3.60 -2.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 38 46 -7 55.03 3.62 -9.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33R 0.00 Burnley 37 41 -5 53.11 3.99 -5.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.93R 0.12 Hull 39 41 -17 48.82 3.32 -19.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.66R 1.35 Barnsley 39 41 -24 47.69 3.30 -28.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.90R 3.90 Queens_PR 38 40 -14 48.65 3.66 -17.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.91R 2.53 Southend 39 39 -19 46.66 3.34 -22.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.35R 7.51 Luton 39 36 -20 43.00 3.38 -24.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.53R 34.16 Leeds 39 36 -25 42.26 3.19 -30.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.39R 50.42League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Yeovil vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 38 75 +31 90.19 3.64 37.14 85.67 97.75 100.00 98.35P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 38 71 +19 84.26 3.84 22.40 10.71 61.83 99.73 71.35P 0.00 0.00 Nottingham_Forest 38 67 +15 81.44 3.77 20.14 2.94 27.96 98.47 45.87P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 38 64 +14 76.26 3.71 16.07 0.21 3.20 82.28 21.75P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 38 63 +22 78.27 3.73 28.46 0.45 8.39 94.27 33.22P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 37 59 +13 73.06 4.16 15.65 0.02 0.65 53.48 12.85P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 59 +9 71.48 3.78 11.23 0.00 0.10 33.77 7.26P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 58 +15 70.97 3.86 17.93 0.00 0.10 33.95 8.52P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 38 54 +3 65.66 3.77 4.21 0.00 0.00 2.79 0.61P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 38 53 -7 62.18 3.68 -9.43 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.06P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 38 52 -4 61.28 3.78 -6.38 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.03P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 38 50 +0 62.55 3.92 2.31 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.11P 0.03R 0.00 Crewe 38 49 -5 59.11 3.80 -6.63 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.55R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 49 -9 57.96 3.67 -12.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15R 0.00 Northampton 38 48 -1 58.15 3.71 -1.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.89R 0.00 Brighton 38 48 -5 57.90 3.72 -6.37 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 1.50R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 38 46 -10 55.14 3.78 -12.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.56R 0.00 Gillingham 38 46 -17 55.54 3.78 -19.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.46R 0.01 Bournemouth 38 43 -12 52.32 3.71 -14.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.05R 0.12 Bradford 38 41 -10 50.19 3.71 -12.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.04R 0.33 Cheltenham 38 40 -15 49.05 3.70 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.97R 1.37 Chesterfield 38 39 -8 49.00 3.72 -9.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.47R 0.94 Brentford 38 33 -28 39.61 3.37 -34.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.61R 69.98 Rotherham 37 31 -10 42.15 4.04 -12.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.71R 27.24 Adjustments: Rotherham -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Lincoln_C vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Hartlepool 38 75 +21 88.81 3.74 25.23 48.02 95.14 99.98 96.47P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 38 72 +28 88.09 3.48 35.70 45.19 94.27 100.00 96.27P 0.00 0.00 Milton_Keynes 38 70 +14 81.66 3.79 15.34 2.98 37.38 98.08 48.94P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_C 38 67 +15 79.85 3.83 17.93 0.94 24.27 96.00 39.24P 0.00 0.00 Swindon_Town 37 67 +15 80.66 4.02 17.06 2.35 29.95 96.95 46.87P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 37 63 +14 77.61 4.13 17.32 0.38 12.68 88.40 30.82P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 37 58 +11 71.96 4.05 13.50 0.00 0.75 38.72 10.67P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 38 57 +4 67.29 3.77 3.23 0.00 0.01 6.54 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 52 +19 74.86 4.60 29.32 0.14 5.55 72.47 28.66P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 52 +3 64.20 3.92 4.80 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 50 -15 58.22 3.63 -19.88 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 38 49 +1 61.17 3.85 2.83 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 49 +0 62.43 4.23 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 38 49 -4 58.80 3.74 -5.53 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 48 -2 59.48 3.76 -1.04 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 38 47 -2 56.71 3.67 -3.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 36 46 +9 60.29 4.32 10.05 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 37 45 -12 54.64 3.91 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Bury 37 39 -14 47.63 3.77 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.04R 0.40 Accrington 38 38 -13 46.60 3.53 -17.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.37R 0.70 Macclesfield 38 38 -17 47.55 3.81 -19.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.94R 0.73 Boston 38 38 -25 47.86 3.73 -26.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.85R 0.95 Wrexham 37 35 -26 43.18 3.62 -33.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.62R 10.38 Torquay 38 29 -24 36.06 3.37 -29.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.14R 86.84Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 37 78 +40 96.44 3.87 50.11 98.55 100.00 99.09P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 38 69 +28 83.99 3.69 33.80 1.33 98.72 40.08P 0.00 0.00 York 38 66 +18 78.74 3.80 20.65 0.04 81.45 18.75P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 36 61 +14 78.05 4.42 18.98 0.04 74.44 16.80P 0.00 0.00 Burton 37 61 +1 72.99 3.99 0.88 0.01 23.00 3.53P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 36 59 +8 74.79 4.43 11.05 0.00 43.56 8.43P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 34 57 +13 75.18 4.98 15.37 0.04 49.16 8.77P 0.00 0.00 Gravesend 36 57 +3 72.23 4.40 5.14 0.00 20.77 3.31P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 36 55 -4 67.53 4.30 -5.78 0.00 2.81 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 34 51 -3 66.82 4.89 -3.67 0.00 3.83 0.59P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 35 50 +1 65.50 4.66 1.43 0.00 2.00 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D 35 46 +2 61.73 4.60 3.04 0.00 0.25 0.03P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 38 44 -7 54.05 3.88 -8.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.47R 0.01 Crawley 37 43 +1 55.52 4.14 1.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20R 0.00 Woking 37 42 -5 54.04 4.09 -5.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.19R 0.10 Stafford_Rangers 37 42 -17 51.91 3.92 -20.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.94R 0.59 Halifax 35 41 -2 55.26 4.65 -3.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.92R 0.14 Altrincham 37 41 -12 51.21 4.03 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.76R 0.83 Tamworth 36 40 -10 52.29 4.34 -12.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.27R 0.74 Cambridge_U 39 40 -21 46.69 3.30 -25.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.04R 7.18 Northwich 31 39 -9 55.39 5.45 -15.66 0.00 0.03 0.00 6.25R 0.29 Grays 35 38 +2 54.20 4.71 3.75 0.00 0.01 0.00 4.93R 0.17 St_Albans 38 35 -22 43.51 3.73 -26.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.74R 31.23 Southport 38 33 -19 41.15 3.58 -23.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.27R 58.70 Adjustments: Crawley -10