Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 March 2007 at 21:34:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.90     3.04    63.63    95.01   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.31     3.44    43.30     4.99    98.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.39     3.69    35.69     0.00     1.00    99.39    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.71     3.55    31.08     0.00     0.09    97.28    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.31     3.60    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.72    43.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.78     3.60    14.79     0.00     0.00     1.52    68.67     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.75     3.74    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.27    29.27     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.90     3.76     8.03     0.00     0.00     0.81    45.34     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.18     3.70     4.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.13     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      51.01     3.60    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.03     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      46.93     3.70    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.01     3.54    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.69     3.72    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.81R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.66     3.36   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.76     3.57   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.21R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.50     3.67   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.96R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.53     3.50   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.11R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.17     3.48   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.89R    0.79  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.22     2.95   -39.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   36.40  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.31     3.17   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.68R   62.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.61     3.44    19.62    40.34    72.36    99.87    79.47P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.98     3.76    24.48    39.05    68.08    99.38    76.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.54     3.51    23.87    10.38    29.23    96.56    48.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.17     3.82    18.32     9.54    25.36    95.30    42.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      76.02     3.46     4.77     0.23     1.52    61.24    12.49P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.43     3.52    24.66     0.39     2.67    73.85    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.36     3.50    14.73     0.06     0.69    44.78    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.28     3.50    15.74     0.00     0.08    17.70     4.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.34     3.46    16.50     0.00     0.00     8.21     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.47     3.52    12.00     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.79     3.54     5.44     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.50     3.40    -3.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.13     3.87     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.60     3.37    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.08     3.77   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.07     3.60    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.03     3.62    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.11     3.99    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.93R    0.12  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.82     3.32   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.66R    1.35  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.69     3.30   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.90R    3.90  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.65     3.66   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.91R    2.53  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.66     3.34   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.35R    7.51  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.00     3.38   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.53R   34.16  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.26     3.19   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.39R   50.42  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Yeovil vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          38   75  +31      90.19     3.64    37.14    85.67    97.75   100.00    98.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        38   71  +19      84.26     3.84    22.40    10.71    61.83    99.73    71.35P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   38   67  +15      81.44     3.77    20.14     2.94    27.96    98.47    45.87P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              38   64  +14      76.26     3.71    16.07     0.21     3.20    82.28    21.75P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              38   63  +22      78.27     3.73    28.46     0.45     8.39    94.27    33.22P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           37   59  +13      73.06     4.16    15.65     0.02     0.65    53.48    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            38   59   +9      71.48     3.78    11.23     0.00     0.10    33.77     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             38   58  +15      70.97     3.86    17.93     0.00     0.10    33.95     8.52P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           38   54   +3      65.66     3.77     4.21     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            38   53   -7      62.18     3.68    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            38   52   -4      61.28     3.78    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale           38   50   +0      62.55     3.92     2.31     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               38   49   -5      59.11     3.80    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.55R    0.00  
Huddersfield        38   49   -9      57.96     3.67   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Northampton         38   48   -1      58.15     3.71    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.89R    0.00  
Brighton            38   48   -5      57.90     3.72    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.50R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       38   46  -10      55.14     3.78   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.56R    0.00  
Gillingham          38   46  -17      55.54     3.78   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.46R    0.01  
Bournemouth         38   43  -12      52.32     3.71   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.05R    0.12  
Bradford            38   41  -10      50.19     3.71   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.04R    0.33  
Cheltenham          38   40  -15      49.05     3.70   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.97R    1.37  
Chesterfield        38   39   -8      49.00     3.72    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.47R    0.94  
Brentford           38   33  -28      39.61     3.37   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   69.98  
Rotherham           37   31  -10      42.15     4.04   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.71R   27.24  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Lincoln_C vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       38   75  +21      88.81     3.74    25.23    48.02    95.14    99.98    96.47P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   72  +28      88.09     3.48    35.70    45.19    94.27   100.00    96.27P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    38   70  +14      81.66     3.79    15.34     2.98    37.38    98.08    48.94P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   67  +15      79.85     3.83    17.93     0.94    24.27    96.00    39.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     37   67  +15      80.66     4.02    17.06     2.35    29.95    96.95    46.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        37   63  +14      77.61     4.13    17.32     0.38    12.68    88.40    30.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   58  +11      71.96     4.05    13.50     0.00     0.75    38.72    10.67P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   57   +4      67.29     3.77     3.23     0.00     0.01     6.54     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   52  +19      74.86     4.60    29.32     0.14     5.55    72.47    28.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   52   +3      64.20     3.92     4.80     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   50  -15      58.22     3.63   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   49   +1      61.17     3.85     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   49   +0      62.43     4.23    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         38   49   -4      58.80     3.74    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     38   48   -2      59.48     3.76    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          38   47   -2      56.71     3.67    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   46   +9      60.29     4.32    10.05     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           37   45  -12      54.64     3.91   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bury             37   39  -14      47.63     3.77   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.04R    0.40  
Accrington       38   38  -13      46.60     3.53   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.37R    0.70  
Macclesfield     38   38  -17      47.55     3.81   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.94R    0.73  
Boston           38   38  -25      47.86     3.73   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.85R    0.95  
Wrexham          37   35  -26      43.18     3.62   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.62R   10.38  
Torquay          38   29  -24      36.06     3.37   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R   86.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          37   78  +40      96.44     3.87    50.11    98.55   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         38   69  +28      83.99     3.69    33.80     1.33    98.72    40.08P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   66  +18      78.74     3.80    20.65     0.04    81.45    18.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             36   61  +14      78.05     4.42    18.98     0.04    74.44    16.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             37   61   +1      72.99     3.99     0.88     0.01    23.00     3.53P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          36   59   +8      74.79     4.43    11.05     0.00    43.56     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          34   57  +13      75.18     4.98    15.37     0.04    49.16     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          36   57   +3      72.23     4.40     5.14     0.00    20.77     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           36   55   -4      67.53     4.30    -5.78     0.00     2.81     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51   -3      66.82     4.89    -3.67     0.00     3.83     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          35   50   +1      65.50     4.66     1.43     0.00     2.00     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      61.73     4.60     3.04     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.05     3.88    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.47R    0.01  
Crawley            37   43   +1      55.52     4.14     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Woking             37   42   -5      54.04     4.09    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.10  
Stafford_Rangers   37   42  -17      51.91     3.92   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.94R    0.59  
Halifax            35   41   -2      55.26     4.65    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.14  
Altrincham         37   41  -12      51.21     4.03   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.76R    0.83  
Tamworth           36   40  -10      52.29     4.34   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.27R    0.74  
Cambridge_U        39   40  -21      46.69     3.30   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.04R    7.18  
Northwich          31   39   -9      55.39     5.45   -15.66     0.00     0.03     0.00     6.25R    0.29  
Grays              35   38   +2      54.20     4.71     3.75     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.93R    0.17  
St_Albans          38   35  -22      43.51     3.73   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.74R   31.23  
Southport          38   33  -19      41.15     3.58   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.27R   58.70  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10