Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 March 2007 at 21:34:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.88     3.03    63.49    94.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.33     3.45    43.31     5.04    99.05   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +27      72.37     3.70    35.68     0.00     0.90    99.23    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   54  +24      69.57     3.54    30.85     0.00     0.05    97.44    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.27     3.58    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.77    42.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   46  +12      58.70     3.61    14.68     0.00     0.00     1.43    67.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.72     3.75    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.32    29.48     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      56.99     3.75     8.18     0.00     0.00     0.77    46.55     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.37     3.68     4.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.95     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      50.95     3.63    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   37   -5      47.06     3.69    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.01     3.54    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -6      44.61     3.70    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.88R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.78     3.39   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.60     3.57   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.42R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.43     3.67   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.12R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.53     3.48   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.20R    0.04  
Charlton        30   27  -21      35.30     3.51   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.59R    0.73  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.23     2.98   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   36.41  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.32     3.13   -33.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   62.83  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.46     3.45    19.41    39.30    71.44    99.84    78.03P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   71  +20      84.95     3.77    24.43    39.48    67.67    99.50    76.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.53     3.51    23.89    10.40    29.67    96.75    48.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.19     3.81    18.35    10.04    25.76    95.75    42.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.94     3.46     4.69     0.28     1.76    60.37    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    39   64  +20      76.38     3.56    24.53     0.42     2.81    73.73    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.30     3.58    14.62     0.08     0.85    44.91    11.66P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.26     3.49    15.70     0.00     0.05    17.93     4.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.27     3.47    16.40     0.00     0.00     8.11     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.54     3.52    12.05     0.00     0.00     2.34     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.75     3.53     5.38     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.55     3.39    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.04     3.90     2.61     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.60     3.38    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.25     3.82   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.05     3.59    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.27     3.66    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.01     4.03    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.21  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.85     3.34   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.98R    1.51  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.79     3.30   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.88R    4.04  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.73     3.65   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    2.07  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.63     3.35   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.38R    7.72  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.03     3.43   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.69R   34.12  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.31     3.18   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.20R   50.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Yeovil vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          38   75  +31      90.17     3.65    37.17    85.10    97.45   100.00    98.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        38   71  +19      84.31     3.83    22.49    11.12    61.01    99.68    70.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   38   67  +15      81.57     3.75    20.31     2.99    28.91    98.56    46.27P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              38   64  +14      76.31     3.74    16.16     0.20     3.34    82.75    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              38   63  +22      78.26     3.72    28.49     0.58     8.32    94.19    33.78P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           37   59  +13      73.10     4.17    15.67     0.01     0.76    54.16    13.18P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            38   59   +9      71.46     3.77    11.23     0.00     0.10    33.73     7.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             38   58  +15      70.86     3.84    17.78     0.00     0.11    33.25     8.22P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           38   54   +3      65.60     3.76     4.13     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            38   53   -7      62.11     3.68    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall            38   52   -4      61.30     3.76    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Port_Vale           38   50   +0      62.56     3.89     2.33     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe               38   49   -5      59.14     3.80    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.57R    0.00  
Huddersfield        38   49   -9      58.13     3.74   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Northampton         38   48   -1      58.13     3.74    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Brighton            38   48   -5      57.97     3.73    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       38   46  -10      55.10     3.75   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.51R    0.00  
Gillingham          38   46  -17      55.51     3.78   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.46R    0.01  
Bournemouth         38   43  -12      52.33     3.73   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.93R    0.09  
Bradford            38   41  -10      50.04     3.67   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.19R    0.33  
Cheltenham          38   40  -15      48.97     3.67   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.62R    1.39  
Chesterfield        38   39   -8      49.07     3.74    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.14R    0.88  
Brentford           38   33  -28      39.60     3.31   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R   70.46  
Rotherham           37   31  -10      42.12     4.01   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.78R   26.86  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Lincoln_C vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       38   75  +21      88.84     3.69    25.28    49.02    95.55   100.00    96.83P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   72  +28      87.94     3.51    35.46    44.26    93.94   100.00    96.06P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    38   70  +14      81.64     3.74    15.29     2.87    36.97    98.00    48.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   67  +15      79.81     3.81    17.91     1.04    23.85    96.02    38.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     37   67  +15      80.72     4.04    17.09     2.38    31.07    96.89    47.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        37   63  +14      77.61     4.10    17.30     0.31    12.40    88.34    30.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   58  +11      72.03     4.06    13.59     0.01     0.65    39.26    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   57   +4      67.29     3.80     3.21     0.00     0.03     6.34     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   52  +19      74.90     4.63    29.39     0.12     5.55    72.21    28.83P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   52   +3      64.22     3.89     4.85     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   50  -15      58.24     3.68   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   49   +1      61.05     3.85     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   49   +0      62.38     4.25    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         38   49   -4      58.86     3.70    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     38   48   -2      59.54     3.79    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          38   47   -2      56.60     3.67    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         36   46   +9      60.38     4.34    10.10     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           37   45  -12      54.59     3.95   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Bury             37   39  -14      47.62     3.76   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.14R    0.36  
Accrington       38   38  -13      46.58     3.53   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.02R    0.68  
Macclesfield     38   38  -17      47.56     3.80   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.88R    0.74  
Boston           38   38  -25      47.87     3.75   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.98R    0.94  
Wrexham          37   35  -26      43.26     3.64   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.90R   10.06  
Torquay          38   29  -24      36.03     3.39   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.03R   87.22  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          37   78  +40      96.43     3.85    50.12    98.43   100.00    98.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         38   69  +28      84.03     3.69    33.86     1.45    98.81    41.03P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   66  +18      78.87     3.85    20.80     0.04    82.19    20.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             36   61  +14      78.00     4.42    18.89     0.04    74.17    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             37   61   +1      72.86     3.98     0.75     0.00    22.45     3.48P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          36   59   +8      74.81     4.43    11.16     0.01    44.33     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          34   57  +13      75.02     4.98    15.13     0.04    48.55     8.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          36   57   +3      72.17     4.38     5.07     0.00    20.07     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           36   55   -4      67.54     4.27    -5.82     0.00     3.08     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51   -3      66.76     4.86    -3.77     0.00     3.73     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          35   50   +1      65.62     4.65     1.56     0.00     2.21     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      62.09     4.67     3.55     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.08     3.89    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.04  
Crawley            37   43   +1      55.34     4.15     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.03  
Woking             37   42   -5      53.93     4.09    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.40R    0.11  
Stafford_Rangers   37   42  -17      51.92     3.94   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.57R    0.62  
Halifax            35   41   -2      55.36     4.63    -2.98     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.88R    0.09  
Altrincham         37   41  -12      51.17     4.01   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.68R    0.89  
Tamworth           36   40  -10      52.12     4.28   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.51R    0.80  
Cambridge_U        39   40  -21      46.62     3.29   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.97R    7.48  
Northwich          31   39   -9      55.48     5.48   -15.55     0.00     0.07     0.02P    6.04R    0.34  
Grays              35   38   +2      54.29     4.67     3.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70R    0.26  
St_Albans          38   35  -22      43.57     3.72   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.23R   30.77  
Southport          38   33  -19      41.20     3.60   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   58.57  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10