Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 March 2007 at 21:33:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    30   75  +50      92.97     3.01    63.60    95.28   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   69  +35      85.35     3.43    43.36     4.71    97.50   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   55  +28      73.86     3.99    36.91     0.00     2.29    99.57   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.41     3.84    31.58     0.00     0.21    98.13    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   47   -3      57.28     3.58    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.58    47.12     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   45   -1      55.74     3.74    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.23    32.52     0.00     0.00  
Reading         30   44   +5      57.07     3.77     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.82    50.34     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.01     3.87    13.63     0.00     0.00     0.65    52.55     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   42   +5      52.22     3.72     4.16     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   40   -5      51.05     3.59    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.69     3.98    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.08     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -4      47.10     3.53    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08R    0.00  
Fulham          30   34  -13      41.62     3.38   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.79R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -6      44.62     3.96    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.55R    0.00  
Manchester_C    29   33  -12      41.67     3.55   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.05R    0.00  
Wigan           30   33  -14      43.43     3.68   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.62R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     30   31  -19      40.60     3.47   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.97R    0.02  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.21     3.80   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.77R    3.35  
West_Ham        30   23  -28      28.15     2.93   -39.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   34.46  
Watford         30   20  -27      26.20     3.16   -33.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R   62.16  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Leicester vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            39   73  +15      85.52     3.43    19.50    38.33    71.77    99.87    78.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       39   70  +21      81.53     3.49    23.91     9.71    29.23    96.66    48.41P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       37   70  +20      85.13     4.02    24.12    40.92    66.68    99.29    75.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   68  +15      81.16     3.80    18.30     9.38    24.75    95.50    41.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   66   +4      75.81     3.47     4.48     0.24     1.50    58.80    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    38   63  +20      76.95     3.81    24.89     1.32     5.32    76.77    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   63  +12      74.38     3.54    14.71     0.08     0.68    45.24    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   60  +13      71.18     3.47    15.63     0.02     0.07    16.98     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            39   58  +14      69.29     3.45    16.41     0.00     0.00     7.74     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   56   +9      67.52     3.51    12.05     0.00     0.00     2.47     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   55   +5      64.74     3.51     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   53   -1      61.55     3.42    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   52   +1      64.09     3.90     2.70     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -6      59.68     3.35    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -8      59.18     3.77   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   48   -3      58.03     3.61    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        38   46   -7      55.21     3.69    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.01  
Burnley          37   41   -5      53.09     4.02    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.24  
Hull             39   41  -17      48.92     3.37   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.95R    1.33  
Barnsley         39   41  -24      47.80     3.31   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.66R    3.90  
Queens_PR        38   40  -14      48.75     3.65   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.45R    2.31  
Southend         39   39  -19      46.59     3.34   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.69R    7.53  
Luton            39   36  -20      43.01     3.37   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.25R   33.97  
Leeds            39   36  -25      42.26     3.14   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.80R   50.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Yeovil vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          38   75  +31      90.16     3.66    37.14    85.70    97.55   100.00    98.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        38   71  +19      84.19     3.80    22.34    10.54    60.91    99.69    70.47P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   38   67  +15      81.40     3.78    20.10     2.92    27.82    98.58    44.93P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              38   64  +14      76.33     3.70    16.20     0.23     3.75    82.72    22.72P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              38   63  +22      78.31     3.74    28.50     0.58     9.07    94.05    34.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           37   59  +13      73.15     4.16    15.70     0.03     0.69    54.35    13.11P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            38   59   +9      71.48     3.80    11.24     0.00     0.11    33.41     7.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             38   58  +15      70.89     3.85    17.82     0.00     0.10    33.24     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           38   54   +3      65.70     3.75     4.24     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            38   53   -7      62.13     3.66    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall            38   52   -4      61.46     3.79    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Port_Vale           38   50   +0      62.57     3.92     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               38   49   -5      59.06     3.78    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.58R    0.00  
Huddersfield        38   49   -9      57.99     3.68   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Northampton         38   48   -1      57.99     3.67    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
Brighton            38   48   -5      57.94     3.73    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.26R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       38   46  -10      55.15     3.76   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.22R    0.00  
Gillingham          38   46  -17      55.57     3.79   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.50R    0.01  
Bournemouth         38   43  -12      52.23     3.71   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.67R    0.09  
Bradford            38   41  -10      50.12     3.65   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.12R    0.32  
Cheltenham          38   40  -15      49.13     3.67   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.99R    1.43  
Chesterfield        38   39   -8      48.96     3.72    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.24R    0.90  
Brentford           38   33  -28      39.57     3.34   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   71.08  
Rotherham           37   31  -10      42.15     3.99   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.83R   26.18  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Lincoln_C vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       38   75  +21      88.89     3.73    25.36    49.73    95.50   100.00    96.75P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   72  +28      87.94     3.51    35.46    43.37    93.92   100.00    96.06P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    38   70  +14      81.70     3.79    15.40     3.15    38.03    98.19    49.99P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   67  +15      79.85     3.81    17.98     0.91    24.14    96.20    39.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     37   67  +15      80.66     4.01    17.04     2.35    29.99    97.08    46.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        37   63  +14      77.65     4.11    17.37     0.39    12.48    88.94    30.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   58  +11      71.94     4.05    13.50     0.00     0.72    38.81    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   57   +4      67.28     3.78     3.23     0.00     0.01     6.52     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   52  +19      74.72     4.61    29.11     0.10     5.21    71.16    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   52   +3      64.04     3.94     4.60     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   50  -15      58.32     3.66   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   49   +1      61.21     3.83     2.92     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   49   +0      62.40     4.21    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         38   49   -4      58.91     3.73    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     38   48   -2      59.44     3.79    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          38   47   -2      56.62     3.66    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         36   46   +9      60.23     4.35     9.88     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           37   45  -12      54.65     3.95   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bury             37   39  -14      47.63     3.75   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.34  
Accrington       38   38  -13      46.57     3.56   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.40R    0.82  
Macclesfield     38   38  -17      47.58     3.77   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.61R    0.66  
Boston           38   38  -25      47.83     3.71   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.86R    1.21  
Wrexham          37   35  -26      43.25     3.60   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.51R   10.54  
Torquay          38   29  -24      36.22     3.42   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.64R   86.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          37   78  +40      96.50     3.85    50.19    98.66   100.00    99.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         38   69  +28      83.94     3.69    33.70     1.29    98.69    40.01P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   66  +18      78.75     3.82    20.65     0.01    81.12    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             36   61  +14      78.06     4.40    18.98     0.01    74.44    16.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             37   61   +1      72.94     4.03     0.79     0.00    22.65     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          36   59   +8      74.73     4.43    11.03     0.00    42.95     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          34   57  +13      75.33     5.01    15.64     0.03    50.41     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          36   57   +3      72.26     4.41     5.22     0.00    20.70     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           36   55   -4      67.58     4.31    -5.73     0.00     3.04     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51   -3      66.71     4.90    -3.85     0.00     3.67     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          35   50   +1      65.59     4.63     1.56     0.00     2.02     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      61.73     4.66     3.08     0.00     0.27     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       38   44   -7      54.06     3.82    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.03  
Crawley            37   43   +1      55.42     4.15     1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.01  
Woking             37   42   -5      54.02     4.11    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.37R    0.11  
Stafford_Rangers   37   42  -17      51.85     3.99   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.32R    0.65  
Halifax            35   41   -2      55.27     4.57    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.07  
Altrincham         37   41  -12      51.11     4.02   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.95R    1.02  
Tamworth           36   40  -10      52.23     4.29   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.99R    0.58  
Cambridge_U        39   40  -21      46.60     3.32   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.01R    7.32  
Northwich          31   39   -9      55.61     5.49   -15.28     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.87R    0.35  
Grays              35   38   +2      54.24     4.63     3.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.47R    0.15  
St_Albans          38   35  -22      43.53     3.75   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.10R   31.23  
Southport          38   33  -19      41.19     3.59   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.32R   58.47  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10