Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 16 March 2007 at 21:33:43 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2007, Manchester_C vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Manchester_U 29 72 +47 92.57 3.22 62.55 94.59 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 66 +32 84.67 3.63 41.89 5.41 96.12 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 55 +28 73.86 3.96 37.04 0.00 3.54 99.51 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 53 +24 70.47 3.85 31.73 0.00 0.34 97.50 99.95 0.00 0.00 Bolton 29 47 +0 57.72 3.72 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.79 46.33 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 43 +11 57.24 3.87 14.01 0.00 0.00 0.59 50.33 0.00 0.00 Reading 29 43 +5 57.91 4.06 9.07 0.00 0.00 1.33 54.59 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 42 -3 54.81 3.98 -2.75 0.00 0.00 0.17 22.20 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 29 41 +5 51.93 3.98 3.14 0.00 0.00 0.07 9.02 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 29 40 -4 53.67 3.83 -2.69 0.00 0.00 0.03 13.87 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 29 37 -3 48.60 4.01 -4.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.04R 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 36 -2 49.59 3.79 -0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.83 0.01R 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 33 -6 44.68 3.95 -6.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.45R 0.00 Fulham 29 33 -13 41.49 3.66 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.17R 0.00 Wigan 29 32 -14 44.37 4.00 -14.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.13R 0.00 Sheffield_U 29 31 -16 41.00 3.59 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.33R 0.03 Manchester_C 28 30 -14 38.99 3.74 -20.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.65R 0.02 Charlton 29 24 -23 33.31 3.77 -28.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.52R 1.50 Watford 29 20 -25 26.85 3.36 -33.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.91R 31.68 West_Ham 29 20 -29 25.25 3.07 -42.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.80R 66.78Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Birmingham 37 70 +20 84.93 4.05 23.83 47.73 72.03 98.53 79.02P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 70 +13 83.82 3.75 17.31 29.18 59.92 98.36 68.80P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 67 +19 80.58 3.73 22.94 10.35 28.59 91.05 45.31P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 65 +13 79.90 4.07 16.77 8.71 22.68 86.58 38.12P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 38 65 +4 76.04 3.72 4.30 0.74 3.40 52.87 12.59P 0.00 0.00 West_Bromwich 38 63 +20 77.13 3.80 25.04 2.19 8.23 72.50 26.25P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 63 +14 75.63 3.81 16.60 0.93 3.99 52.63 16.23P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 60 +14 73.21 3.79 17.65 0.16 1.02 30.44 8.48P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 38 58 +15 71.02 3.78 17.96 0.01 0.14 15.14 4.78P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 55 +6 66.06 3.81 6.27 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 38 53 +8 65.32 3.77 10.14 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Sheffield_W 38 52 -1 62.11 3.70 -2.64 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 49 +0 62.49 4.15 1.72 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 38 49 -9 58.27 3.61 -11.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 37 47 -9 57.08 4.07 -12.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.21R 0.00 Leicester 37 46 -5 57.30 3.94 -6.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.01 Ipswich 38 45 -5 56.25 3.92 -4.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47R 0.00 Burnley 36 41 -3 54.15 4.15 -3.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.24R 0.12 Hull 38 41 -15 49.55 3.57 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.91R 1.60 Barnsley 38 41 -21 48.90 3.59 -26.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.89R 2.83 Southend 38 38 -19 47.36 3.66 -21.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.41R 8.49 Queens_PR 37 37 -16 46.40 3.86 -20.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.69R 10.74 Luton 38 36 -18 44.74 3.75 -21.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67R 20.60 Leeds 38 35 -25 42.33 3.46 -30.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.30R 55.62League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Bristol_City vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 37 74 +31 91.24 3.90 38.10 90.81 98.17 100.00 98.78P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 68 +18 82.80 4.15 21.72 5.46 47.67 99.28 60.65P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 64 +15 77.93 4.01 17.52 0.73 9.60 91.45 29.27P 0.00 0.00 Nottingham_Forest 37 64 +14 80.77 3.99 20.64 1.84 26.99 98.10 44.23P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 37 62 +22 79.21 4.04 29.34 1.12 17.02 96.75 41.38P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 36 56 +12 71.03 4.40 14.08 0.02 0.39 41.29 9.86P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 37 56 +8 69.50 4.07 9.78 0.01 0.05 24.27 5.05P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 55 +13 69.61 4.11 16.33 0.00 0.10 29.54 7.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 37 54 +5 68.05 4.04 7.55 0.00 0.03 13.52 2.72P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 52 -3 62.84 4.05 -5.11 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.20P 0.03R 0.00 Carlisle 37 52 -7 62.78 3.99 -9.03 0.00 0.00 1.16 0.16P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 37 50 +1 64.13 4.18 3.63 0.00 0.00 2.90 0.60P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 37 49 -4 60.26 4.03 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06P 0.23R 0.00 Huddersfield 37 48 -9 58.26 3.98 -12.50 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.93R 0.00 Brighton 37 47 -5 57.70 3.98 -7.16 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 1.52R 0.00 Gillingham 37 46 -16 56.27 4.00 -19.41 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 4.67R 0.00 Northampton 37 45 -2 56.17 3.96 -3.18 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 3.34R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 37 45 -10 54.88 4.01 -13.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.71R 0.01 Bradford 37 41 -9 51.67 3.98 -11.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.12R 0.10 Bournemouth 37 40 -13 50.52 4.04 -15.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.32R 0.45 Chesterfield 37 39 -6 49.92 3.94 -7.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.40R 0.53 Cheltenham 37 37 -17 46.55 3.85 -21.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.70R 5.63 Brentford 37 33 -27 40.80 3.64 -33.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.58R 50.66 Rotherham 36 28 -11 40.80 4.29 -12.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.45R 42.62 Adjustments: Rotherham -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Hartlepool 37 74 +21 89.16 3.99 25.18 47.20 93.89 100.00 95.55P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 37 71 +28 88.34 3.77 35.63 43.28 93.06 100.00 95.59P 0.00 0.00 Swindon_Town 36 67 +16 82.69 4.34 18.96 5.74 46.94 98.61 60.18P 0.00 0.00 Milton_Keynes 37 67 +13 81.10 4.01 16.15 2.36 29.66 97.27 43.09P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_C 37 64 +14 78.99 4.07 18.29 0.63 17.64 93.70 33.52P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 36 62 +14 78.17 4.38 17.61 0.75 14.64 90.08 33.04P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 36 57 +11 72.37 4.31 13.63 0.01 0.98 46.16 13.21P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 37 54 +3 65.76 4.09 2.38 0.00 0.01 4.71 1.02P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 37 52 +4 64.97 4.17 4.83 0.00 0.01 3.98 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 33 49 +18 73.64 4.88 29.00 0.04 3.19 62.70 23.32P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 37 49 +2 63.62 4.13 5.58 0.00 0.00 1.43 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 37 49 -3 59.97 4.01 -4.83 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 37 48 +0 60.96 4.09 1.21 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Chester 37 47 -1 58.30 3.96 -2.11 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -16 56.11 3.94 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 46 -2 60.54 4.53 -2.33 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 36 45 -11 55.33 4.13 -16.38 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Rochdale 35 43 +8 58.19 4.55 8.38 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 0.01R 0.00 Bury 36 38 -14 48.17 4.07 -19.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.24R 0.59 Macclesfield 37 37 -17 47.69 4.06 -19.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.86R 1.18 Accrington 37 35 -14 45.59 3.86 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.00R 3.60 Wrexham 36 35 -25 43.76 3.82 -33.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.40R 10.65 Boston 37 35 -26 45.20 3.92 -29.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.78R 5.87 Torquay 37 29 -23 37.00 3.64 -29.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.70R 78.11Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Weymouth vs Crawley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 36 77 +40 98.06 4.09 52.24 99.47 100.00 99.66P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 37 66 +25 82.53 3.98 31.04 0.43 96.26 36.66P 0.00 0.00 York 37 65 +18 80.18 4.09 22.41 0.07 86.44 21.81P 0.00 0.00 Burton 36 60 +1 73.16 4.28 0.58 0.00 24.95 3.83P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 35 59 +9 76.07 4.72 11.98 0.00 53.44 10.70P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 58 +13 76.39 4.68 17.93 0.01 59.09 13.09P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 34 57 +13 75.22 4.95 15.38 0.03 48.16 9.28P 0.00 0.00 Gravesend 35 56 +3 72.67 4.70 5.27 0.00 24.18 3.85P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 35 52 -5 65.89 4.54 -6.87 0.00 1.65 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 34 51 -3 66.75 4.88 -3.80 0.00 3.60 0.53P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 35 50 +1 65.53 4.61 1.44 0.00 1.87 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D 35 46 +2 61.93 4.65 3.36 0.00 0.32 0.07P 0.02R 0.01 Forest_Green 37 43 -7 53.32 4.03 -10.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.38R 0.10 Crawley 36 42 +1 56.39 4.41 2.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17R 0.01 Halifax 34 41 -1 57.11 4.91 -1.43 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.48R 0.07 Woking 36 41 -5 54.87 4.39 -4.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.90R 0.11 Altrincham 36 41 -9 52.56 4.29 -12.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.70R 0.63 Stafford_Rangers 36 41 -17 51.84 4.18 -21.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.26R 1.01 Northwich 31 39 -9 55.47 5.42 -15.53 0.00 0.03 0.00 5.54R 0.38 Cambridge_U 38 39 -21 46.42 3.52 -26.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.74R 10.73 Grays 35 38 +2 54.08 4.66 3.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.71R 0.23 Tamworth 35 37 -11 50.22 4.57 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.51R 3.27 St_Albans 37 34 -22 43.12 3.95 -27.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.98R 40.02 Southport 37 33 -18 42.47 3.90 -22.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.61R 43.41 Adjustments: Crawley -10