Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 March 2007 at 21:33:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2007, Manchester_C vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.57     3.22    62.55    94.59    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   66  +32      84.67     3.63    41.89     5.41    96.12   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   55  +28      73.86     3.96    37.04     0.00     3.54    99.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.47     3.85    31.73     0.00     0.34    97.50    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.72     3.72    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.79    46.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.24     3.87    14.01     0.00     0.00     0.59    50.33     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.91     4.06     9.07     0.00     0.00     1.33    54.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.81     3.98    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.17    22.20     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      51.93     3.98     3.14     0.00     0.00     0.07     9.02     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.67     3.83    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.87     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.60     4.01    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.59     3.79    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -6      44.68     3.95    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.45R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.49     3.66   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.17R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.37     4.00   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.13R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      41.00     3.59   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.33R    0.03  
Manchester_C    28   30  -14      38.99     3.74   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.65R    0.02  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.31     3.77   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.52R    1.50  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.85     3.36   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.91R   31.68  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.25     3.07   -42.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   66.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       37   70  +20      84.93     4.05    23.83    47.73    72.03    98.53    79.02P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            38   70  +13      83.82     3.75    17.31    29.18    59.92    98.36    68.80P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   67  +19      80.58     3.73    22.94    10.35    28.59    91.05    45.31P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          37   65  +13      79.90     4.07    16.77     8.71    22.68    86.58    38.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   65   +4      76.04     3.72     4.30     0.74     3.40    52.87    12.59P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    38   63  +20      77.13     3.80    25.04     2.19     8.23    72.50    26.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.63     3.81    16.60     0.93     3.99    52.63    16.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +14      73.21     3.79    17.65     0.16     1.02    30.44     8.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   58  +15      71.02     3.78    17.96     0.01     0.14    15.14     4.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   55   +6      66.06     3.81     6.27     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   53   +8      65.32     3.77    10.14     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   52   -1      62.11     3.70    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   49   +0      62.49     4.15     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   49   -9      58.27     3.61   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          37   47   -9      57.08     4.07   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Leicester        37   46   -5      57.30     3.94    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.01  
Ipswich          38   45   -5      56.25     3.92    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Burnley          36   41   -3      54.15     4.15    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.24R    0.12  
Hull             38   41  -15      49.55     3.57   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.91R    1.60  
Barnsley         38   41  -21      48.90     3.59   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.89R    2.83  
Southend         38   38  -19      47.36     3.66   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.41R    8.49  
Queens_PR        37   37  -16      46.40     3.86   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.69R   10.74  
Luton            38   36  -18      44.74     3.75   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.67R   20.60  
Leeds            38   35  -25      42.33     3.46   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.30R   55.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Bristol_City vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          37   74  +31      91.24     3.90    38.10    90.81    98.17   100.00    98.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        37   68  +18      82.80     4.15    21.72     5.46    47.67    99.28    60.65P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              37   64  +15      77.93     4.01    17.52     0.73     9.60    91.45    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   37   64  +14      80.77     3.99    20.64     1.84    26.99    98.10    44.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              37   62  +22      79.21     4.04    29.34     1.12    17.02    96.75    41.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           36   56  +12      71.03     4.40    14.08     0.02     0.39    41.29     9.86P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            37   56   +8      69.50     4.07     9.78     0.01     0.05    24.27     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             37   55  +13      69.61     4.11    16.33     0.00     0.10    29.54     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           37   54   +5      68.05     4.04     7.55     0.00     0.03    13.52     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            37   52   -3      62.84     4.05    -5.11     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle            37   52   -7      62.78     3.99    -9.03     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale           37   50   +1      64.13     4.18     3.63     0.00     0.00     2.90     0.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               37   49   -4      60.26     4.03    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.23R    0.00  
Huddersfield        37   48   -9      58.26     3.98   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.93R    0.00  
Brighton            37   47   -5      57.70     3.98    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.52R    0.00  
Gillingham          37   46  -16      56.27     4.00   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    4.67R    0.00  
Northampton         37   45   -2      56.17     3.96    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.34R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       37   45  -10      54.88     4.01   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.71R    0.01  
Bradford            37   41   -9      51.67     3.98   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.12R    0.10  
Bournemouth         37   40  -13      50.52     4.04   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.32R    0.45  
Chesterfield        37   39   -6      49.92     3.94    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.40R    0.53  
Cheltenham          37   37  -17      46.55     3.85   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R    5.63  
Brentford           37   33  -27      40.80     3.64   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   50.66  
Rotherham           36   28  -11      40.80     4.29   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.45R   42.62  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       37   74  +21      89.16     3.99    25.18    47.20    93.89   100.00    95.55P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   71  +28      88.34     3.77    35.63    43.28    93.06   100.00    95.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     36   67  +16      82.69     4.34    18.96     5.74    46.94    98.61    60.18P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    37   67  +13      81.10     4.01    16.15     2.36    29.66    97.27    43.09P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   64  +14      78.99     4.07    18.29     0.63    17.64    93.70    33.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        36   62  +14      78.17     4.38    17.61     0.75    14.64    90.08    33.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   57  +11      72.37     4.31    13.63     0.01     0.98    46.16    13.21P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   54   +3      65.76     4.09     2.38     0.00     0.01     4.71     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   52   +4      64.97     4.17     4.83     0.00     0.01     3.98     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       33   49  +18      73.64     4.88    29.00     0.04     3.19    62.70    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   49   +2      63.62     4.13     5.58     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         37   49   -3      59.97     4.01    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   48   +0      60.96     4.09     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          37   47   -1      58.30     3.96    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47  -16      56.11     3.94   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   46   -2      60.54     4.53    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           36   45  -11      55.33     4.13   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   43   +8      58.19     4.55     8.38     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             36   38  -14      48.17     4.07   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.24R    0.59  
Macclesfield     37   37  -17      47.69     4.06   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.86R    1.18  
Accrington       37   35  -14      45.59     3.86   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.00R    3.60  
Wrexham          36   35  -25      43.76     3.82   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.40R   10.65  
Boston           37   35  -26      45.20     3.92   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.78R    5.87  
Torquay          37   29  -23      37.00     3.64   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.70R   78.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Weymouth vs Crawley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          36   77  +40      98.06     4.09    52.24    99.47   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         37   66  +25      82.53     3.98    31.04     0.43    96.26    36.66P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   65  +18      80.18     4.09    22.41     0.07    86.44    21.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             36   60   +1      73.16     4.28     0.58     0.00    24.95     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          35   59   +9      76.07     4.72    11.98     0.00    53.44    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             35   58  +13      76.39     4.68    17.93     0.01    59.09    13.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          34   57  +13      75.22     4.95    15.38     0.03    48.16     9.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          35   56   +3      72.67     4.70     5.27     0.00    24.18     3.85P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           35   52   -5      65.89     4.54    -6.87     0.00     1.65     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51   -3      66.75     4.88    -3.80     0.00     3.60     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          35   50   +1      65.53     4.61     1.44     0.00     1.87     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      61.93     4.65     3.36     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.02R    0.01  
Forest_Green       37   43   -7      53.32     4.03   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.38R    0.10  
Crawley            36   42   +1      56.39     4.41     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.01  
Halifax            34   41   -1      57.11     4.91    -1.43     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.48R    0.07  
Woking             36   41   -5      54.87     4.39    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.11  
Altrincham         36   41   -9      52.56     4.29   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.70R    0.63  
Stafford_Rangers   36   41  -17      51.84     4.18   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.26R    1.01  
Northwich          31   39   -9      55.47     5.42   -15.53     0.00     0.03     0.00     5.54R    0.38  
Cambridge_U        38   39  -21      46.42     3.52   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.74R   10.73  
Grays              35   38   +2      54.08     4.66     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.23  
Tamworth           35   37  -11      50.22     4.57   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.51R    3.27  
St_Albans          37   34  -22      43.12     3.95   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.98R   40.02  
Southport          37   33  -18      42.47     3.90   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.61R   43.41  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10