Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 March 2007 at 21:33:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2007, Manchester_C vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.55     3.18    62.54    95.01    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   66  +32      84.57     3.63    41.72     4.99    95.80   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   55  +28      74.00     3.96    37.25     0.01     3.86    99.55   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.42     3.83    31.61     0.00     0.35    97.39    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.72     3.70    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.72    46.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.15     3.89    13.88     0.00     0.00     0.76    49.27     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.87     4.05     9.02     0.00     0.00     1.35    54.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.80     3.96    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.17    22.17     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.03     3.99     3.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.26     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.81     3.84    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.04    14.79     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.58     3.99    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.59     3.79    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -6      44.55     3.93    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.49R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.56     3.64   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.85R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.43     4.03   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.05R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      41.09     3.60   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.01R    0.02  
Manchester_C    28   30  -14      38.88     3.75   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.92R    0.02  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.23     3.78   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.92R    1.65  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.84     3.35   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.86R   32.59  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.28     3.08   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   65.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2007, West_Bromwich vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       37   70  +20      84.99     4.05    23.92    47.78    71.73    98.61    78.64P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            38   70  +13      83.95     3.73    17.50    29.96    61.12    98.43    69.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   67  +19      80.64     3.78    23.03    10.38    29.07    91.08    45.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          37   65  +13      79.82     4.04    16.70     7.87    21.56    86.61    36.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   65   +4      76.13     3.72     4.43     0.85     3.45    54.24    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    38   63  +20      77.11     3.83    25.08     2.02     7.90    72.11    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.60     3.83    16.56     0.97     4.05    52.42    16.15P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +14      73.18     3.79    17.58     0.14     1.00    30.32     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   58  +15      70.92     3.78    17.78     0.02     0.10    14.23     4.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   55   +6      65.95     3.80     6.12     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   53   +8      65.36     3.78    10.25     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   52   -1      62.19     3.69    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   49   +0      62.50     4.18     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   49   -9      58.27     3.62   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          37   47   -9      57.19     4.01   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Leicester        37   46   -5      57.29     3.94    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   45   -5      56.04     3.88    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.01  
Burnley          36   41   -3      54.13     4.24    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.48R    0.12  
Hull             38   41  -15      49.54     3.58   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.89R    1.44  
Barnsley         38   41  -21      48.88     3.58   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.65R    2.91  
Southend         38   38  -19      47.38     3.64   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.23R    8.13  
Queens_PR        37   37  -16      46.27     3.88   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.95R   11.74  
Luton            38   36  -18      44.86     3.76   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.72R   20.45  
Leeds            38   35  -25      42.39     3.48   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.09R   55.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Bristol_City vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          37   74  +31      91.14     3.87    37.97    90.61    98.05   100.00    98.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        37   68  +18      82.87     4.14    21.82     5.64    47.62    99.22    59.98P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              37   64  +15      77.97     4.03    17.62     0.71     9.86    91.80    29.23P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   37   64  +14      80.88     3.97    20.88     2.04    27.13    98.25    44.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              37   62  +22      79.24     4.01    29.41     1.00    16.82    96.80    41.57P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           36   56  +12      71.11     4.41    14.19     0.00     0.41    41.62     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            37   56   +8      69.63     4.09     9.96     0.00     0.05    25.06     5.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             37   55  +13      69.55     4.11    16.23     0.00     0.07    28.32     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           37   54   +5      67.92     4.04     7.40     0.00     0.01    12.70     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            37   52   -3      62.90     4.11    -5.05     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            37   52   -7      62.88     3.97    -8.96     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale           37   50   +1      64.11     4.18     3.62     0.00     0.00     2.92     0.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               37   49   -4      60.28     4.05    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.26R    0.00  
Huddersfield        37   48   -9      58.16     3.95   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.97R    0.00  
Brighton            37   47   -5      57.75     3.97    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.33R    0.00  
Gillingham          37   46  -16      56.18     4.04   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    5.27R    0.01  
Northampton         37   45   -2      56.22     3.94    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.29R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient       37   45  -10      54.90     3.98   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.26R    0.01  
Bradford            37   41   -9      51.60     3.95   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.52R    0.12  
Bournemouth         37   40  -13      50.50     4.00   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.22R    0.47  
Chesterfield        37   39   -6      49.98     3.91    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.66R    0.47  
Cheltenham          37   37  -17      46.42     3.84   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.94R    5.68  
Brentford           37   33  -27      40.87     3.67   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.54R   48.75  
Rotherham           36   28  -11      40.63     4.30   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.69R   44.48  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       37   74  +21      89.16     3.96    25.22    46.96    94.00    99.99    95.64P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   71  +28      88.38     3.78    35.62    43.73    92.89   100.00    95.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     36   67  +16      82.62     4.30    18.86     5.52    46.74    98.64    59.30P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    37   67  +13      81.09     3.95    16.14     2.31    29.80    97.13    42.84P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   64  +14      79.05     4.13    18.40     0.78    18.18    93.99    34.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        36   62  +14      78.07     4.38    17.47     0.61    14.03    89.85    32.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   57  +11      72.32     4.30    13.60     0.02     0.91    45.72    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   54   +3      65.68     4.05     2.29     0.00     0.00     4.29     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   52   +4      64.99     4.15     4.92     0.00     0.00     4.03     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       33   49  +18      73.72     4.88    29.10     0.07     3.44    63.88    24.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   49   +2      63.65     4.12     5.67     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         37   49   -3      60.07     3.95    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   48   +0      61.04     4.03     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          37   47   -1      58.21     3.95    -2.22     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47  -16      55.95     3.88   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   46   -2      60.45     4.51    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           36   45  -11      55.56     4.15   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   43   +8      58.22     4.57     8.41     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             36   38  -14      48.31     4.06   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.73R    0.47  
Macclesfield     37   37  -17      47.69     4.06   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.71R    1.17  
Accrington       37   35  -14      45.59     3.81   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.78R    3.36  
Wrexham          36   35  -25      43.71     3.82   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.95R   10.12  
Boston           37   35  -26      45.22     3.92   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.59R    5.58  
Torquay          37   29  -23      36.86     3.64   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.22R   79.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Weymouth vs Crawley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          36   77  +40      97.88     4.07    51.89    99.37   100.00    99.58P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         37   66  +25      82.51     4.01    30.96     0.48    96.12    36.49P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   65  +18      80.13     4.12    22.37     0.10    86.30    22.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             36   60   +1      73.06     4.28     0.50     0.00    24.16     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          35   59   +9      76.02     4.67    11.91     0.02    53.06    10.65P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             35   58  +13      76.41     4.71    17.93     0.01    59.09    13.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          34   57  +13      75.15     5.00    15.29     0.01    48.27     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          35   56   +3      72.77     4.64     5.40     0.00    24.93     3.92P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           35   52   -5      65.90     4.59    -6.84     0.00     1.78     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51   -3      66.89     4.90    -3.61     0.00     3.75     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          35   50   +1      65.56     4.70     1.46     0.00     2.18     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      61.90     4.67     3.30     0.00     0.28     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       37   43   -7      53.33     4.05   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.20  
Crawley            36   42   +1      56.38     4.40     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.04  
Halifax            34   41   -1      57.05     4.96    -1.55     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.75R    0.06  
Woking             36   41   -5      54.78     4.34    -4.76     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.87R    0.10  
Altrincham         36   41   -9      52.49     4.30   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.05R    0.65  
Stafford_Rangers   36   41  -17      51.83     4.19   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.33R    1.01  
Northwich          31   39   -9      55.66     5.47   -15.19     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.69R    0.45  
Cambridge_U        38   39  -21      46.51     3.56   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.83R   10.51  
Grays              35   38   +2      54.11     4.71     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.85R    0.29  
Tamworth           35   37  -11      50.22     4.58   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.87R    3.32  
St_Albans          37   34  -22      43.14     3.97   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.06R   40.51  
Southport          37   33  -18      42.56     3.96   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.94R   42.87  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10