Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 March 2007 at 21:33:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.56     3.21    62.49    96.20   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.62     3.86    41.67     3.79    95.17   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.46     3.85    31.71     0.00     0.85    97.50    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.56     4.26    36.55     0.01     3.98    98.70    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.80     3.71    -3.34     0.00     0.00     1.10    47.23     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.09     3.91    13.81     0.00     0.00     0.83    48.26     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.86     4.03     9.04     0.00     0.00     1.48    54.05     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.91     3.98    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.24    22.96     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      51.96     3.97     3.14     0.00     0.00     0.09     8.79     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.69     3.83    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.04    14.54     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.77     4.00    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.61     3.77    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.80     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.82     4.25    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.30R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.58     3.64   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.15R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.26     3.96   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.19R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.99     3.58   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.47R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.63     3.94   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.33R    0.01  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.22     3.76   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.50R    1.46  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.75     3.34   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.19R   32.89  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.28     3.03   -42.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   65.64  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Derby vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       37   70  +20      85.01     3.99    23.94    46.16    69.06    98.58    77.01P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            38   70  +13      84.00     3.73    17.60    28.32    58.16    98.27    67.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   67  +19      80.58     3.71    22.94     8.96    25.42    90.07    43.10P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          37   65  +13      79.95     4.09    16.88     7.92    20.64    85.90    35.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   65   +4      76.04     3.76     4.31     0.66     2.83    49.80    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    37   63  +21      79.30     4.06    27.28     7.07    19.52    84.39    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.70     3.81    16.70     0.79     3.40    50.62    15.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +14      73.22     3.75    17.67     0.14     0.84    28.41     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   58  +15      70.91     3.72    17.80     0.01     0.12    12.29     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   53   +8      65.42     3.79    10.25     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   52   +5      63.71     4.01     4.23     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   52   -1      62.23     3.67    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      65.06     4.39     5.55     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   49   -9      58.23     3.57   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          37   47   -9      57.05     4.03   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Leicester        37   46   -5      57.30     3.95    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   45   -5      56.08     3.90    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          36   41   -3      54.01     4.25    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.09R    0.11  
Hull             38   41  -15      49.59     3.56   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.51R    0.90  
Southend         38   38  -19      47.31     3.65   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.34R    7.55  
Barnsley         37   38  -23      46.19     3.76   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.01R   12.31  
Queens_PR        37   37  -16      46.23     3.86   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.41R   10.03  
Luton            38   36  -18      44.84     3.74   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.98R   17.48  
Leeds            38   35  -25      42.22     3.46   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.08R   51.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Bristol_City vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          37   74  +31      91.17     3.93    38.01    90.75    98.08   100.00    98.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        37   68  +18      82.70     4.17    21.58     5.27    47.48    99.28    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              37   64  +15      77.96     4.03    17.62     0.72    10.20    91.60    29.45P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   37   64  +14      80.69     4.03    20.59     2.06    26.50    97.81    44.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              37   62  +22      79.17     4.01    29.28     1.18    17.19    96.78    41.62P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           36   56  +12      71.03     4.38    14.13     0.01     0.36    41.46     9.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            37   56   +8      69.59     4.08     9.87     0.00     0.07    24.65     5.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             37   55  +13      69.62     4.11    16.29     0.00     0.10    29.19     7.18P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           37   54   +5      68.00     4.02     7.49     0.00     0.02    13.19     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            37   52   -3      62.85     4.12    -5.15     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            37   52   -7      62.73     4.00    -9.12     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale           37   50   +1      64.02     4.19     3.48     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               37   49   -4      60.32     4.09    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.04P    0.28R    0.00  
Huddersfield        37   48   -9      58.24     3.98   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.99R    0.00  
Brighton            37   47   -5      57.75     3.97    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    1.52R    0.00  
Gillingham          37   46  -16      56.30     4.00   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    4.83R    0.00  
Northampton         37   45   -2      56.19     3.97    -3.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    3.49R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       37   45  -10      54.89     3.99   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.00R    0.00  
Bradford            37   41   -9      51.69     3.97   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.36R    0.14  
Bournemouth         37   40  -13      50.55     4.05   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.19R    0.55  
Chesterfield        37   39   -6      50.03     3.93    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.35R    0.54  
Cheltenham          37   37  -17      46.48     3.87   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R    5.84  
Brentford           37   33  -27      40.96     3.68   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   48.65  
Rotherham           36   28  -11      40.72     4.28   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.75R   44.29  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       37   74  +21      89.18     3.98    25.23    46.73    93.94   100.00    95.58P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   71  +28      88.40     3.80    35.70    43.53    93.26    99.99    95.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     36   67  +16      82.68     4.36    18.96     6.06    47.07    98.38    59.92P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    37   67  +13      81.13     3.94    16.25     2.32    29.84    97.36    43.50P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   64  +14      78.91     4.06    18.17     0.65    16.64    94.00    32.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        36   62  +14      78.14     4.35    17.57     0.67    14.45    89.76    32.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   57  +11      72.31     4.29    13.59     0.01     0.97    45.48    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   54   +3      65.60     4.04     2.18     0.00     0.01     4.07     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   52   +4      64.92     4.12     4.77     0.00     0.00     3.73     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       33   49  +18      73.81     4.88    29.30     0.04     3.83    64.81    25.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   49   +2      63.51     4.11     5.49     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         37   49   -3      60.00     4.01    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   48   +0      61.02     4.00     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          37   47   -1      58.39     3.96    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47  -16      55.99     3.89   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   46   -2      60.57     4.50    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           36   45  -11      55.49     4.19   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   43   +8      58.17     4.53     8.35     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             36   38  -14      48.27     4.01   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.70R    0.53  
Macclesfield     37   37  -17      47.68     4.04   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.26R    1.11  
Accrington       37   35  -14      45.58     3.87   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.25R    3.61  
Wrexham          36   35  -25      43.75     3.80   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.45R   10.55  
Boston           37   35  -26      45.17     3.94   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.27R    5.84  
Torquay          37   29  -23      36.98     3.65   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.05R   78.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2007, Weymouth vs Crawley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          36   77  +40      97.89     4.07    51.97    99.42   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         37   66  +25      82.58     3.98    31.07     0.45    96.39    37.13P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   65  +18      80.02     4.09    22.21     0.07    85.86    21.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             36   60   +1      73.06     4.25     0.48     0.00    24.32     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          35   59   +9      76.06     4.69    11.94     0.02    53.03    10.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             35   58  +13      76.40     4.69    17.92     0.01    58.72    13.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          34   57  +13      75.16     4.91    15.36     0.03    47.41     8.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          35   56   +3      72.98     4.72     5.72     0.00    26.80     4.62P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           35   52   -5      65.99     4.57    -6.70     0.00     1.78     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51   -3      66.66     4.85    -3.90     0.00     3.32     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          35   50   +1      65.61     4.61     1.59     0.00     1.98     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        35   46   +2      62.02     4.62     3.42     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       37   43   -7      53.35     4.01   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.26R    0.14  
Crawley            36   42   +1      56.35     4.40     2.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.03  
Halifax            34   41   -1      56.94     4.87    -1.68     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.64R    0.11  
Woking             36   41   -5      54.91     4.34    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.09  
Altrincham         36   41   -9      52.38     4.31   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.45R    0.72  
Stafford_Rangers   36   41  -17      51.91     4.24   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.76R    1.12  
Northwich          31   39   -9      55.41     5.44   -15.61     0.00     0.04     0.02P    5.99R    0.34  
Cambridge_U        38   39  -21      46.36     3.51   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.38R   10.97  
Grays              35   38   +2      54.21     4.63     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.32R    0.21  
Tamworth           35   37  -11      50.40     4.54   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.21R    2.64  
St_Albans          37   34  -22      43.05     3.89   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.73R   40.50  
Southport          37   33  -18      42.47     3.88   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.44R   43.12  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10