Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 March 2007 at 21:33:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.48     3.20    62.35    96.16   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.66     3.87    41.67     3.83    95.67   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.44     3.84    31.70     0.00     0.68    97.36    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.50     4.28    36.39     0.01     3.66    98.51    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.72     3.71    -3.40     0.00     0.00     1.20    46.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.02     3.89    13.72     0.00     0.00     0.95    47.78     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.86     4.05     8.96     0.00     0.00     1.63    54.17     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.89     3.98    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.25    22.85     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.10     3.98     3.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     9.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.83     3.85    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.04    15.04     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.68     4.00    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.53     3.77    -0.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.71     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.74     4.21    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.32R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.51     3.63   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.93R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.31     4.00   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.15R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      41.03     3.60   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.78R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.75     3.97   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.31R    0.01  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.23     3.77   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.64R    1.72  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.75     3.33   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.03R   34.26  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.41     3.07   -42.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   64.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2007, Wolverhampton vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       36   70  +21      86.89     4.29    25.75    53.38    77.03    99.11    82.69P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            37   69  +13      85.30     3.96    19.07    29.50    64.50    98.57    72.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   66  +19      81.15     4.01    23.26     8.10    24.67    89.17    42.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   65   +5      77.65     3.95     5.69     1.18     4.89    62.16    15.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    37   63  +21      79.32     4.03    27.32     3.86    13.71    82.22    34.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      75.78     4.05    16.26     0.49     3.00    46.76    13.76P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          36   62  +12      78.81     4.33    16.61     3.33    11.06    74.21    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   59  +14      73.92     4.05    18.16     0.15     1.00    32.20     9.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   57  +15      71.08     4.01    17.58     0.01     0.13    12.73     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   53  +10      67.08     4.12    12.77     0.00     0.01     2.04     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   52   +5      63.52     3.97     4.01     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      65.07     4.42     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      37   49   -3      60.33     3.95    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         37   46  -10      56.48     3.88   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   45   -4      57.11     4.14    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Leicester        36   45   -5      58.35     4.19    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Norwich          36   44  -10      54.83     4.23   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.01  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.68     4.44    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.04  
Hull             37   38  -16      47.39     3.81   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.07R    4.72  
Barnsley         37   38  -23      46.22     3.69   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.08R   10.13  
Queens_PR        36   36  -16      45.71     4.00   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.52R   11.51  
Luton            37   36  -17      46.60     4.02   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.89R    7.71  
Southend         37   35  -20      45.46     3.87   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.27R   14.57  
Leeds            37   34  -25      41.93     3.68   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.05R   51.29  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2007, Oldham vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          37   74  +31      91.21     3.86    38.11    84.64    97.68   100.00    98.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        36   68  +19      85.13     4.37    24.08    12.30    64.45    99.72    73.48P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              37   64  +15      77.99     3.98    17.64     0.59     7.08    92.06    26.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   37   64  +14      80.73     3.99    20.66     1.55    18.79    98.12    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              37   62  +22      79.24     4.00    29.38     0.91    11.74    97.03    38.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           36   56  +12      70.98     4.34    14.02     0.01     0.17    40.56     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            37   56   +8      69.53     4.07     9.82     0.00     0.03    23.79     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             37   55  +13      69.60     4.11    16.30     0.00     0.07    28.77     6.92P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           37   54   +5      67.84     4.02     7.33     0.00     0.00    12.48     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            37   52   -7      62.74     4.00    -9.16     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            36   51   -3      63.59     4.38    -4.55     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale           37   50   +1      64.19     4.19     3.74     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               36   48   -4      60.36     4.33    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.12P    0.29R    0.00  
Huddersfield        37   48   -9      58.07     3.91   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.81R    0.00  
Brighton            37   47   -5      57.91     3.91    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.99R    0.00  
Gillingham          37   46  -16      56.12     4.00   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    3.88R    0.01  
Northampton         37   45   -2      56.21     3.95    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.50R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       37   45  -10      54.93     3.98   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.75R    0.01  
Bournemouth         37   40  -13      50.58     3.99   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.26R    0.41  
Chesterfield        37   39   -6      50.12     3.94    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.15R    0.42  
Bradford            36   38  -10      48.95     4.12   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.98R    1.08  
Cheltenham          37   37  -17      46.55     3.85   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.14R    5.60  
Brentford           37   33  -27      40.74     3.62   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R   50.05  
Rotherham           36   28  -11      40.78     4.25   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.98R   42.42  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Walsall vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       37   74  +21      89.20     3.98    25.26    47.48    94.45    99.99    96.03P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   71  +28      88.34     3.79    35.61    43.23    93.61    99.99    95.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     36   67  +16      82.82     4.35    19.13     6.38    50.85    98.74    62.70P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   64  +14      78.99     4.12    18.28     0.69    18.93    93.94    34.80P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    36   64  +10      79.94     4.23    13.97     1.47    22.43    94.47    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        36   62  +14      78.15     4.32    17.59     0.71    14.74    90.72    33.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   57  +11      72.37     4.31    13.63     0.01     1.24    46.81    13.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   54   +3      65.83     4.04     2.47     0.00     0.01     4.50     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   52   +4      65.00     4.09     4.96     0.00     0.00     3.63     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       33   49  +18      73.74     4.87    29.17     0.04     3.75    64.61    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   49   +2      63.48     4.11     5.40     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         37   49   -3      60.02     4.02    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   48   +0      61.07     4.02     1.36     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          37   47   -1      58.29     3.96    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47  -16      55.93     3.91   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   46   -2      60.33     4.45    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           36   45  -11      55.45     4.14   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   43   +8      58.17     4.64     8.29     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             36   38  -14      48.22     4.04   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.08R    0.66  
Macclesfield     36   37  -14      48.68     4.29   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.17R    0.69  
Accrington       37   35  -14      45.57     3.91   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.18R    3.48  
Wrexham          36   35  -25      43.73     3.81   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.02R   10.62  
Boston           37   35  -26      45.22     3.93   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.02R    5.67  
Torquay          37   29  -23      36.92     3.63   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.47R   78.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 March 2007, Burton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          35   74  +39      97.29     4.28    52.91    97.57   100.00    98.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         36   66  +26      85.00     4.20    33.61     2.20    98.27    40.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   62  +13      78.29     4.39    16.99     0.07    70.36    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             36   60   +1      73.00     4.26     0.38     0.00    21.32     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          34   59  +10      78.65     4.91    14.74     0.12    70.42    15.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             35   58  +13      76.24     4.64    17.70     0.00    55.30    11.90P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          34   56   +5      75.14     4.85     8.99     0.01    41.37     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   54  +11      74.09     5.26    14.24     0.03    37.47     6.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          34   49   +1      66.16     4.93     1.80     0.00     2.90     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           34   49   -6      63.75     4.78    -8.55     0.00     0.65     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   -4      64.14     5.02    -6.15     0.00     1.27     0.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        34   45   +2      62.24     4.88     3.21     0.00     0.42     0.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       37   43   -7      53.41     4.05   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.33R    0.14  
Crawley            35   42   +2      58.07     4.69     3.51     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.68R    0.01  
Halifax            32   40   +1      59.57     5.47     1.61     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.78R    0.04  
Woking             35   40   -5      54.96     4.63    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.31R    0.21  
Cambridge_U        37   39  -16      48.00     3.88   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.66R    6.33  
Altrincham         35   38  -10      49.98     4.44   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.62R    3.90  
Stafford_Rangers   35   38  -19      49.48     4.37   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.34R    5.52  
Tamworth           34   37  -10      51.54     4.82   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.82R    2.52  
Northwich          30   36  -11      52.65     5.60   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.72R    2.70  
Grays              34   35   +1      52.93     4.91     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.77R    1.07  
St_Albans          36   34  -21      43.52     4.11   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.50R   41.75  
Southport          36   33  -16      43.58     4.17   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.39R   35.80  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10