Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 March 2007 at 21:33:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.63     3.21    62.67    96.19   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.54     3.92    41.57     3.81    95.13   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.47     3.87    31.72     0.00     0.80    97.17    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.62     4.25    36.63     0.00     4.08    98.78    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.72     3.72    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.95    46.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.05     3.88    13.76     0.00     0.00     0.86    48.09     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.87     4.08     9.02     0.00     0.00     1.93    54.05     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      55.02     3.95    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.20    24.03     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      51.97     3.99     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.08     8.80     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.68     3.82    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.03    14.05     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.72     4.04    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.51     3.78    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.78     4.29    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.35R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.53     3.61   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.23R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.28     3.98   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.08R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.98     3.59   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.58R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.59     3.98   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.22R    0.02  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.29     3.84   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.56R    1.76  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.80     3.31   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.09R   33.63  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.41     3.10   -42.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   64.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2007, Wolverhampton vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       36   70  +21      86.89     4.27    25.74    53.75    77.03    99.19    82.83P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            37   69  +13      85.22     3.96    18.89    28.81    63.57    98.48    71.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   66  +19      81.30     4.00    23.45     8.14    25.32    89.99    43.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   65   +5      77.60     3.99     5.67     1.15     4.87    61.60    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    37   63  +21      79.31     4.03    27.34     3.96    14.22    82.96    33.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      75.69     4.02    16.19     0.47     2.65    46.14    13.64P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          36   62  +12      78.86     4.32    16.69     3.46    11.08    74.77    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   59  +14      73.77     4.06    17.90     0.21     1.07    31.74     8.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   57  +15      71.07     3.96    17.57     0.03     0.17    12.38     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   53  +10      67.01     4.04    12.65     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   52   +5      63.58     3.95     4.11     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      65.06     4.38     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      37   49   -3      60.36     3.96    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   46  -10      56.44     3.88   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   45   -4      57.04     4.13    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Leicester        36   45   -5      58.43     4.24    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Norwich          36   44  -10      54.90     4.27   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.01  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.63     4.47    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.76R    0.03  
Hull             37   38  -16      47.38     3.80   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.77R    4.64  
Barnsley         37   38  -23      46.20     3.74   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.64R   10.19  
Queens_PR        36   36  -16      45.73     4.00   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.26R   11.39  
Luton            37   36  -17      46.54     4.05   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.45R    8.48  
Southend         37   35  -20      45.60     3.94   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.77R   14.41  
Leeds            37   34  -25      41.98     3.67   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.97R   50.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2007, Oldham vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          37   74  +31      91.12     3.91    37.95    83.82    97.34   100.00    98.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        36   68  +19      85.02     4.39    23.88    13.03    62.60    99.80    71.81P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              37   64  +15      77.96     3.99    17.63     0.56     7.17    91.97    27.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   37   64  +14      80.77     4.01    20.76     1.68    20.30    98.01    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              37   62  +22      79.26     4.00    29.39     0.91    12.25    96.69    38.55P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           36   56  +12      71.07     4.40    14.14     0.01     0.26    41.80     9.30P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            37   56   +8      69.54     4.09     9.83     0.00     0.01    24.50     4.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             37   55  +13      69.56     4.11    16.23     0.00     0.06    28.63     6.66P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           37   54   +5      67.76     4.00     7.19     0.00     0.01    11.56     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            37   52   -7      62.77     3.96    -9.11     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            36   51   -3      63.54     4.38    -4.57     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale           37   50   +1      64.02     4.17     3.50     0.00     0.00     2.76     0.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               36   48   -4      60.34     4.34    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.07P    0.28R    0.00  
Huddersfield        37   48   -9      58.21     4.00   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.68R    0.00  
Brighton            37   47   -5      57.88     3.95    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Gillingham          37   46  -16      56.11     3.97   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    3.73R    0.01  
Northampton         37   45   -2      56.28     3.93    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.53R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       37   45  -10      54.98     4.00   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.62R    0.01  
Bournemouth         37   40  -13      50.56     3.98   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.45R    0.40  
Chesterfield        37   39   -6      50.16     3.96    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.08R    0.42  
Bradford            36   38  -10      48.96     4.12   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.16R    1.00  
Cheltenham          37   37  -17      46.39     3.88   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.89R    6.58  
Brentford           37   33  -27      41.04     3.71   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.83R   47.73  
Rotherham           36   28  -11      40.77     4.27   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.78R   43.85  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Walsall vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       37   74  +21      89.22     3.99    25.28    48.12    94.51   100.00    95.98P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   71  +28      88.30     3.80    35.55    43.08    93.53    99.99    95.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     36   67  +16      82.69     4.30    18.97     5.76    49.84    98.71    62.22P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   64  +14      78.88     4.12    18.12     0.73    18.73    93.93    34.57P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    36   64  +10      79.92     4.28    13.93     1.59    23.11    94.11    36.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        36   62  +14      78.20     4.31    17.67     0.61    15.15    90.84    34.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   57  +11      72.30     4.34    13.53     0.03     1.18    46.94    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   54   +3      65.74     4.11     2.37     0.00     0.01     4.97     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   52   +4      64.85     4.14     4.74     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       33   49  +18      73.71     4.90    29.08     0.08     3.96    64.06    24.61P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   49   +2      63.56     4.11     5.50     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         37   49   -3      60.16     4.00    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   48   +0      60.90     4.02     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          37   47   -1      58.31     3.93    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47  -16      56.18     3.93   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   46   -2      60.42     4.46    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           36   45  -11      55.44     4.20   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   43   +8      58.24     4.61     8.42     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             36   38  -14      48.15     4.02   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.50R    0.76  
Macclesfield     36   37  -14      48.74     4.34   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.00R    0.81  
Accrington       37   35  -14      45.63     3.85   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.22R    3.25  
Wrexham          36   35  -25      43.71     3.79   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.59R   10.55  
Boston           37   35  -26      45.21     3.95   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.32R    5.86  
Torquay          37   29  -23      36.96     3.65   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.34R   78.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Weymouth vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          35   74  +39      97.30     4.26    52.98    97.34   100.00    98.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         36   66  +26      85.12     4.16    33.75     2.41    98.67    41.69P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   62  +13      78.13     4.39    16.79     0.07    70.61    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          34   59  +10      78.72     4.93    14.87     0.13    72.07    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             35   58  +13      76.31     4.69    17.77     0.03    57.01    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             35   57   +0      71.52     4.57    -0.41     0.00    15.21     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          34   56   +5      75.05     4.90     8.86     0.02    41.90     7.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   54  +11      74.16     5.16    14.31     0.01    38.88     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          34   49   +1      66.10     4.92     1.66     0.00     2.87     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           34   49   -6      63.91     4.83    -8.32     0.00     0.69     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   -4      64.00     5.10    -6.40     0.00     1.31     0.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        34   45   +2      62.38     4.93     3.42     0.00     0.45     0.05P    0.04R    0.01  
Forest_Green       36   43   -6      54.56     4.26    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65R    0.12  
Crawley            35   42   +2      57.95     4.69     3.37     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.81R    0.04  
Halifax            32   40   +1      59.54     5.39     1.55     0.00     0.30     0.08P    0.70R    0.01  
Woking             35   40   -5      54.83     4.58    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.37R    0.20  
Cambridge_U        37   39  -16      47.97     3.88   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.27R    6.38  
Altrincham         35   38  -10      49.91     4.48   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.12R    3.98  
Stafford_Rangers   35   38  -19      49.68     4.43   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.02R    5.17  
Tamworth           34   37  -10      51.61     4.85   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.77R    2.44  
Northwich          30   36  -11      52.68     5.54   -19.50     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.65R    2.46  
Grays              34   35   +1      52.88     4.95     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.33R    1.21  
St_Albans          36   34  -21      43.61     4.16   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.91R   40.91  
Southport          36   33  -16      43.50     4.15   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.34R   37.09  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10