Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 March 2007 at 21:33:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.61     3.19    62.61    96.38   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.58     3.88    41.65     3.62    95.20   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.37     3.87    31.58     0.00     0.65    97.19    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.58     4.27    36.57     0.01     4.16    98.64    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.69     3.69    -3.53     0.00     0.00     1.20    46.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.09     3.88    13.81     0.00     0.00     0.81    48.78     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.85     4.08     8.96     0.00     0.00     1.77    54.25     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.85     3.94    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.23    22.57     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.10     3.99     3.37     0.00     0.00     0.09     9.45     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.77     3.82    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.07    14.59     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.73     4.01    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.55     3.77    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.45     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.75     4.21    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.32R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.59     3.66   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.23R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.35     3.98   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.26R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.91     3.59   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.74R    0.00  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.58     3.90   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.20R    0.01  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.36     3.80   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.32R    1.55  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.83     3.34   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.03R   32.68  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.32     3.03   -42.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   65.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2007, Wolverhampton vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       36   70  +21      86.76     4.31    25.55    52.09    76.13    99.03    82.08P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            37   69  +13      85.37     3.95    19.10    30.66    64.92    98.50    73.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   66  +19      81.15     3.98    23.28     7.50    24.16    89.28    42.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   65   +5      77.70     4.01     5.75     1.40     5.14    62.28    15.68P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    37   63  +21      79.29     4.08    27.33     4.13    14.18    82.47    34.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      75.70     4.04    16.17     0.54     2.73    46.30    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          36   62  +12      78.82     4.33    16.72     3.50    11.44    74.72    25.60P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   59  +14      73.89     4.06    18.17     0.18     1.16    32.52     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   57  +15      71.06     3.97    17.54     0.01     0.13    12.06     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   53  +10      66.96     4.07    12.60     0.00     0.02     1.84     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   52   +5      63.55     4.00     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      65.23     4.41     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      37   49   -3      60.37     3.99    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   46  -10      56.47     3.86   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   45   -4      56.93     4.11    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Leicester        36   45   -5      58.38     4.18    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Norwich          36   44  -10      55.07     4.27   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.03  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.60     4.45    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.01  
Hull             37   38  -16      47.41     3.79   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.86R    4.50  
Barnsley         37   38  -23      46.17     3.75   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.93R   10.14  
Queens_PR        36   36  -16      45.72     4.01   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.56R   11.20  
Luton            37   36  -17      46.51     4.04   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.48R    8.32  
Southend         37   35  -20      45.62     3.90   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.65R   13.26  
Leeds            37   34  -25      41.87     3.69   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.43R   52.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2007, Oldham vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          37   74  +31      91.21     3.86    38.05    84.64    97.88   100.00    98.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        36   68  +19      85.15     4.36    24.11    12.34    64.54    99.69    73.89P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              37   64  +15      77.95     4.01    17.60     0.59     7.08    92.11    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   37   64  +14      80.72     3.99    20.63     1.62    18.47    97.85    38.40P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              37   62  +22      79.26     4.02    29.39     0.78    11.76    96.94    37.60P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           36   56  +12      70.96     4.34    14.00     0.03     0.18    40.85     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            37   56   +8      69.65     4.08     9.99     0.01     0.04    25.25     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             37   55  +13      69.48     4.07    16.12     0.00     0.04    27.68     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           37   54   +5      67.87     4.02     7.36     0.00     0.01    12.38     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            37   52   -7      62.86     3.98    -8.96     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall            36   51   -3      63.53     4.41    -4.59     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale           37   50   +1      64.07     4.19     3.59     0.00     0.00     2.92     0.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               36   48   -4      60.39     4.32    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.07P    0.24R    0.00  
Huddersfield        37   48   -9      58.14     3.97   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.72R    0.00  
Brighton            37   47   -5      57.80     3.88    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.08R    0.00  
Gillingham          37   46  -16      56.12     3.97   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.74R    0.01  
Northampton         37   45   -2      56.27     3.93    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       37   45  -10      55.04     4.00   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.29R    0.00  
Bournemouth         37   40  -13      50.59     4.01   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.27R    0.45  
Chesterfield        37   39   -6      50.03     3.96    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.29R    0.47  
Bradford            36   38  -10      48.93     4.10   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.03R    1.02  
Cheltenham          37   37  -17      46.52     3.87   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.17R    5.70  
Brentford           37   33  -27      40.83     3.67   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.98R   49.10  
Rotherham           36   28  -11      40.70     4.28   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.69R   43.26  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Walsall vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       37   74  +21      89.24     3.96    25.29    47.52    94.73   100.00    96.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   71  +28      88.38     3.82    35.66    43.37    93.58    99.97    95.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     36   67  +16      82.69     4.35    18.98     6.03    49.55    98.73    62.15P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   64  +14      79.04     4.08    18.37     0.69    19.39    94.19    35.40P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    36   64  +10      79.99     4.22    14.05     1.62    23.16    94.69    37.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        36   62  +14      78.08     4.37    17.47     0.71    14.72    90.12    33.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   57  +11      72.32     4.30    13.60     0.01     1.05    46.76    13.37P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   54   +3      65.74     4.06     2.38     0.00     0.01     4.56     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   52   +4      64.95     4.16     4.82     0.00     0.00     3.93     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       33   49  +18      73.80     4.85    29.27     0.06     3.79    64.65    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   49   +2      63.45     4.11     5.33     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         37   49   -3      60.03     3.97    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   48   +0      60.96     4.03     1.15     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          37   47   -1      58.31     3.90    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47  -16      56.16     3.92   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   46   -2      60.40     4.48    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           36   45  -11      55.35     4.13   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   43   +8      58.17     4.57     8.35     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             36   38  -14      48.27     4.08   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.38R    0.60  
Macclesfield     36   37  -14      48.67     4.29   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.67R    0.73  
Accrington       37   35  -14      45.53     3.85   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.27R    3.65  
Wrexham          36   35  -25      43.78     3.83   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.18R   10.30  
Boston           37   35  -26      45.22     3.90   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.14R    5.47  
Torquay          37   29  -23      36.91     3.66   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.33R   79.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Weymouth vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          35   74  +39      97.29     4.26    52.92    97.34   100.00    98.39P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         36   66  +26      85.05     4.18    33.63     2.44    98.44    40.97P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   62  +13      78.23     4.39    16.93     0.04    71.00    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          34   59  +10      78.44     4.93    14.45     0.12    69.56    14.29P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             35   58  +13      76.47     4.68    18.03     0.01    57.91    12.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             35   57   +0      71.54     4.60    -0.40     0.00    15.57     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          34   56   +5      75.09     4.90     8.90     0.01    42.26     7.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   54  +11      74.29     5.26    14.53     0.04    39.55     7.39P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          34   49   +1      66.06     4.87     1.66     0.00     2.82     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           34   49   -6      63.92     4.83    -8.34     0.00     0.84     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   -4      64.14     5.03    -6.16     0.00     1.30     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        34   45   +2      62.33     4.86     3.34     0.00     0.47     0.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       36   43   -6      54.53     4.27    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.66R    0.12  
Crawley            35   42   +2      57.89     4.68     3.29     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.66R    0.02  
Halifax            32   40   +1      59.64     5.49     1.68     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.68R    0.04  
Woking             35   40   -5      55.03     4.61    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.21R    0.21  
Cambridge_U        37   39  -16      47.89     3.85   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.02R    6.62  
Altrincham         35   38  -10      49.88     4.41   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.43R    3.77  
Stafford_Rangers   35   38  -19      49.65     4.43   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.88R    5.32  
Tamworth           34   37  -10      51.69     4.88   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.16R    2.29  
Northwich          30   36  -11      52.66     5.64   -19.53     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.79R    2.49  
Grays              34   35   +1      52.84     4.95     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.21R    1.02  
St_Albans          36   34  -21      43.49     4.10   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.86R   41.49  
Southport          36   33  -16      43.45     4.11   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.41R   36.62  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10