Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 March 2007 at 21:33:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.52     3.23    62.47    95.91   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.70     3.87    41.71     4.09    95.35   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.38     3.85    31.59     0.00     0.72    97.17    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.59     4.26    36.55     0.01     3.93    98.75    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.59     3.70    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.93    45.51     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.05     3.90    13.73     0.00     0.00     0.93    48.51     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.95     4.04     9.15     0.00     0.00     1.76    55.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.86     3.98    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.31    22.77     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.10     3.98     3.35     0.00     0.00     0.09     9.48     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.76     3.85    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.05    14.72     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.62     4.01    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.56     3.79    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.85     4.24    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.34R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.57     3.66   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.98R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.39     3.96   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.10R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      41.01     3.55   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.29R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.65     3.94   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.54R    0.01  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.18     3.80   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.74R    1.59  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.79     3.31   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   32.98  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.31     3.06   -42.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   65.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Leeds vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       36   70  +21      86.80     4.32    25.59    50.30    73.80    99.14    80.42P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            37   69  +13      85.47     3.96    19.29    29.66    63.02    98.92    71.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   66  +19      81.29     3.97    23.43     7.24    22.89    90.41    41.41P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.86     4.24    28.67     8.43    23.71    89.97    42.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      75.63     4.05    16.09     0.48     2.37    47.35    13.71P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          36   62  +12      78.87     4.36    16.78     3.13    10.52    76.77    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.90     4.28     4.50     0.62     2.69    46.46    10.76P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   59  +14      73.89     4.10    18.16     0.13     0.88    34.63     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   57  +15      71.00     3.96    17.46     0.01     0.12    13.07     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   53  +10      67.02     4.08    12.70     0.00     0.01     2.17     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   52   +5      63.52     4.01     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      65.10     4.42     5.65     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      37   49   -3      60.49     3.99    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   46  -10      56.43     3.88   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   45   -4      56.94     4.16    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.01  
Leicester        36   45   -5      58.47     4.25    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Norwich          36   44  -10      54.78     4.28   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.03R    0.01  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.72     4.48    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.05  
Hull             37   38  -16      47.30     3.78   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.91R    4.90  
Barnsley         37   38  -23      46.13     3.74   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.24R   10.35  
Queens_PR        36   36  -16      45.69     4.04   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.38R   11.33  
Luton            37   36  -17      46.53     4.06   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.28R    8.12  
Southend         37   35  -20      45.65     3.91   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.41R   13.67  
Leeds            37   34  -25      41.89     3.66   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.42R   51.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Tranmere vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          37   74  +31      91.31     3.89    38.21    85.25    98.10   100.00    98.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        36   68  +19      85.18     4.36    24.17    12.33    67.34    99.73    75.83P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              37   64  +15      77.88     3.99    17.52     0.53     7.14    90.42    27.49P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   37   64  +14      80.71     4.01    20.61     1.55    20.25    97.75    39.78P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.26     4.36    24.76     0.33     6.60    89.36    29.68P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           36   56  +12      71.10     4.43    14.19     0.01     0.30    40.37     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            37   56   +8      69.60     4.07     9.95     0.01     0.04    23.53     5.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             37   55  +13      69.54     4.11    16.21     0.00     0.08    27.64     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           36   54   +9      69.55     4.25    11.77     0.00     0.14    24.32     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            37   52   -7      62.68     3.97    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall            36   51   -3      63.37     4.42    -4.89     0.00     0.01     2.42     0.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale           37   50   +1      64.16     4.21     3.71     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               36   48   -4      60.45     4.34    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.06P    0.26R    0.00  
Huddersfield        37   48   -9      58.39     3.99   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Brighton            37   47   -5      57.80     3.98    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.10R    0.00  
Gillingham          37   46  -16      56.12     4.02   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.86R    0.01  
Northampton         37   45   -2      56.02     3.93    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.76R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       37   45  -10      54.99     3.95   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.66R    0.01  
Bournemouth         37   40  -13      50.60     3.98   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.91R    0.41  
Chesterfield        37   39   -6      50.07     3.96    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.91R    0.43  
Bradford            36   38  -10      49.03     4.11   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.21R    0.95  
Cheltenham          37   37  -17      46.42     3.83   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.75R    5.90  
Brentford           37   33  -27      40.88     3.69   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   48.92  
Rotherham           36   28  -11      40.76     4.30   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.81R   43.37  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Walsall vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       37   74  +21      89.25     3.99    25.30    48.02    94.62   100.00    96.21P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   71  +28      88.37     3.78    35.64    43.13    93.95   100.00    95.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     36   67  +16      82.70     4.34    18.98     5.92    50.09    98.70    62.43P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   64  +14      79.01     4.07    18.33     0.69    18.97    94.32    35.63P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    36   64  +10      79.95     4.26    13.95     1.54    23.07    94.53    36.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        36   62  +14      78.04     4.37    17.44     0.66    14.55    90.35    33.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   57  +11      72.26     4.31    13.51     0.01     1.16    46.22    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   54   +3      65.89     4.07     2.55     0.00     0.01     5.03     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   52   +4      64.99     4.14     4.94     0.00     0.01     3.91     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       33   49  +18      73.72     4.85    28.96     0.03     3.56    64.47    24.69P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   49   +2      63.59     4.10     5.52     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         37   49   -3      60.12     4.00    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   48   +0      61.01     4.02     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          37   47   -1      58.24     3.98    -2.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47  -16      56.08     3.89   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   46   -2      60.27     4.43    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           36   45  -11      55.37     4.13   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   43   +8      58.14     4.57     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             36   38  -14      48.23     4.03   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.12R    0.52  
Macclesfield     36   37  -14      48.84     4.28   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.32R    0.80  
Accrington       37   35  -14      45.46     3.86   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.89R    3.67  
Wrexham          36   35  -25      43.74     3.82   -33.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.98R   10.50  
Boston           37   35  -26      45.15     3.89   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.77R    6.16  
Torquay          37   29  -23      37.01     3.66   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.89R   78.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2007, Weymouth vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          35   74  +39      97.20     4.27    52.79    97.48   100.00    98.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         36   66  +26      84.98     4.17    33.59     2.23    98.48    40.28P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   62  +13      78.30     4.39    16.99     0.06    71.70    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          34   59  +10      78.66     4.91    14.77     0.18    71.78    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             35   58  +13      76.32     4.70    17.82     0.01    56.33    12.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             35   57   +0      71.67     4.53    -0.21     0.00    15.71     2.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          34   56   +5      75.09     4.90     8.84     0.01    42.45     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   54  +11      74.05     5.21    14.19     0.03    38.27     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          34   49   +1      66.17     4.93     1.83     0.00     2.83     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           34   49   -6      63.79     4.79    -8.49     0.00     0.55     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   -4      64.10     5.07    -6.20     0.00     1.08     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        34   45   +2      62.38     4.90     3.41     0.00     0.50     0.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       36   43   -6      54.62     4.28    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75R    0.13  
Crawley            35   42   +2      58.02     4.67     3.46     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.60R    0.01  
Halifax            32   40   +1      59.65     5.42     1.73     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.77R    0.04  
Woking             35   40   -5      54.97     4.60    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.24  
Cambridge_U        37   39  -16      47.90     3.88   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.72R    6.92  
Altrincham         35   38  -10      50.02     4.49   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.43R    3.69  
Stafford_Rangers   35   38  -19      49.49     4.36   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.00R    5.12  
Tamworth           34   37  -10      51.56     4.88   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.79R    2.44  
Northwich          30   36  -11      52.54     5.54   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.01R    2.53  
Grays              34   35   +1      52.85     4.95     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.40R    1.23  
St_Albans          36   34  -21      43.60     4.11   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.17R   40.81  
Southport          36   33  -16      43.46     4.16   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.11R   36.84  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10