Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 9 March 2007 at 21:37:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.51     3.23    62.43    95.93    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.61     3.94    41.62     4.05    95.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.43     3.90    31.69     0.00     0.83    97.33    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.53     4.24    36.57     0.01     4.18    98.74    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.75     3.72    -3.41     0.00     0.00     1.10    46.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.07     3.92    13.76     0.00     0.00     0.81    48.12     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.76     4.08     8.83     0.00     0.00     1.64    53.17     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.96     3.97    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.25    23.30     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.18     3.99     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.07     9.53     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.81     3.77    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.07    14.74     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.57     4.03    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.52     3.81    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.82     4.25    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.32R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.59     3.68   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.12R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.35     3.97   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.24R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.94     3.60   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.63     3.99   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.90R    0.01  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.30     3.77   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.61R    1.60  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.87     3.36   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   31.84  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.24     3.04   -42.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   66.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, Norwich vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            36   69  +14      86.40     4.18    19.73    41.56    69.64    99.16    76.19P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       35   67  +20      85.32     4.56    24.75    36.02    60.71    97.42    70.28P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.85     4.33    28.61     8.19    24.25    89.19    42.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   63  +17      79.75     4.27    21.56     4.17    14.67    81.05    31.89P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   62  +14      81.00     4.57    19.93     8.50    23.47    87.25    39.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.92     4.27     4.60     0.71     2.69    45.60    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   59  +15      75.12     4.26    19.06     0.49     2.46    45.12    13.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   59  +13      74.92     4.34    16.47     0.37     1.99    40.28    11.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   54  +14      69.65     4.29    16.84     0.00     0.10     9.04     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   52  +10      68.35     4.36    14.15     0.00     0.01     5.04     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   49   +3      61.95     4.25     2.04     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      65.09     4.39     5.62     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      36   48   -3      60.71     4.27    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   45   -2      59.32     4.44    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Leicester        35   45   -3      59.67     4.43    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         36   45  -10      55.96     4.06   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.01  
Norwich          35   44   -9      55.64     4.46   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.66     4.49    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   38  -21      47.36     4.00   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.32R    3.52  
Luton            36   36  -16      48.14     4.33   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.39R    3.24  
Queens_PR        35   35  -16      46.03     4.28   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.28R    5.97  
Hull             36   35  -18      45.14     4.02   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.44R    8.61  
Southend         36   32  -22      42.87     4.09   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.16R   23.73  
Leeds            36   31  -26      40.24     3.97   -33.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.92R   54.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 March 2007, Chesterfield vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          36   73  +31      92.08     4.16    38.78    87.98    98.17   100.00    98.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        35   65  +18      84.51     4.56    24.54     9.27    64.37    99.28    73.64P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   36   63  +14      80.51     4.27    19.83     2.17    22.73    96.75    41.66P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              36   61  +14      76.43     4.25    16.75     0.27     5.29    82.22    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.33     4.36    24.84     0.29     8.15    88.86    30.72P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            36   56  +10      71.35     4.31    12.46     0.01     0.27    39.20     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           35   55  +12      72.05     4.69    15.02     0.01     0.83    48.02    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           36   54   +9      69.54     4.23    11.77     0.00     0.14    24.14     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             36   52  +11      67.50     4.38    13.67     0.00     0.05    15.20     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            36   52   -5      64.26     4.25    -6.89     0.00     0.00     2.63     0.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               35   48   -3      61.94     4.65    -5.17     0.00     0.01     1.61     0.25P    0.26R    0.00  
Millwall            35   48   -5      61.71     4.66    -6.89     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.18P    0.23R    0.00  
Port_Vale           36   47   -3      61.65     4.47    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.09P    0.25R    0.00  
Brighton            36   46   -5      57.73     4.16    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.76R    0.01  
Huddersfield        36   45  -11      56.71     4.28   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.46R    0.01  
Gillingham          36   43  -17      54.20     4.23   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.31R    0.18  
Northampton         36   42   -4      54.36     4.17    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.41R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient       36   42  -11      52.90     4.20   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.83R    0.20  
Bournemouth         36   40  -11      51.85     4.27   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.03R    0.64  
Chesterfield        36   39   -5      52.06     4.25    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.64R    0.48  
Bradford            35   38   -8      50.62     4.46   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.78R    1.07  
Cheltenham          36   37  -16      47.44     4.08   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.19R    7.00  
Brentford           36   33  -26      41.44     3.87   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.48R   56.65  
Rotherham           35   28   -7      42.83     4.57    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.34R   33.69  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, Accrington vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       36   73  +21      90.05     4.23    25.97    58.03    93.58    99.98    95.37P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   68  +27      87.20     4.06    35.29    29.84    85.59    99.91    90.20P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    35   64  +14      81.77     4.50    18.74     4.19    36.28    94.69    47.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     35   64  +14      81.60     4.54    17.87     3.86    33.18    94.80    47.58P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   63  +14      78.79     4.30    17.41     0.90    15.20    88.33    29.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        35   62  +16      80.40     4.60    20.86     2.77    27.05    92.61    43.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   57  +14      74.91     4.50    18.22     0.20     3.90    60.63    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   53   +3      65.60     4.32     1.61     0.00     0.01     3.44     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   49   +0      62.71     4.36    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         36   49   -2      62.32     4.24    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       32   48  +18      74.74     5.08    30.05     0.20     5.21    61.54    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        36   48   +2      63.95     4.39     5.51     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     36   47   +0      61.59     4.27     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          36   47   +0      59.12     4.16    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   46   -1      62.13     4.78    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44  -17      53.81     4.10   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   42   +8      59.00     4.86     9.03     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           35   42  -13      52.85     4.34   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Bury             35   37  -14      48.63     4.32   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.94R    0.25  
Macclesfield     35   36  -14      48.36     4.52   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.88R    0.36  
Accrington       36   35  -12      46.40     4.06   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.15R    0.96  
Wrexham          35   34  -25      44.12     4.09   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.84R    4.42  
Boston           36   32  -27      43.13     4.15   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.19R    6.75  
Torquay          36   26  -26      34.28     3.75   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.56R   87.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, York vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          35   74  +39      97.36     4.25    53.16    93.62   100.00    96.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         35   66  +28      87.79     4.34    37.61     6.24    99.58    46.47P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   59  +11      76.06     4.64    14.15     0.00    54.27    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             34   58  +14      78.33     4.95    19.74     0.06    72.40    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          33   56   +9      77.02     5.20    13.75     0.04    60.53    11.99P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          34   56   +5      75.47     4.92     9.42     0.02    47.47     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   54  +11      74.55     5.16    14.99     0.03    43.48     7.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             34   54   -1      69.93     4.78    -1.29     0.00    10.55     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          33   49   +3      67.80     5.11     4.23     0.00     7.31     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           33   49   -5      65.69     5.09    -6.73     0.00     2.29     0.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   -4      63.96     4.99    -6.49     0.00     1.22     0.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        34   45   +2      62.54     4.85     3.65     0.00     0.63     0.17P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            34   42   +3      59.04     4.92     3.96     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.30R    0.01  
Woking             34   40   -4      56.25     4.84    -4.12     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.74R    0.10  
Forest_Green       35   40   -8      51.47     4.39   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.45R    0.92  
Cambridge_U        37   39  -16      47.95     3.87   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.55R    5.54  
Stafford_Rangers   34   38  -15      51.83     4.72   -18.71     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.38R    1.81  
Halifax            31   37   +0      57.66     5.71     0.17     0.00     0.18     0.02P    1.99R    0.21  
Northwich          30   36  -11      52.52     5.58   -19.74     0.00     0.02     0.00    14.15R    2.37  
Grays              34   35   +1      53.13     4.98     3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.30R    0.95  
Altrincham         34   35  -11      47.50     4.68   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R   10.52  
Tamworth           33   34  -14      48.85     4.99   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.45R    7.75  
St_Albans          35   33  -21      44.24     4.34   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.64R   33.74  
Southport          35   32  -16      43.54     4.39   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.58R   36.09  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10