Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 March 2007 at 21:33:29 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.62     3.21    62.64    96.45    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.57     3.87    41.63     3.54    95.27   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.47     3.89    31.72     0.00     0.74    97.22    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.50     4.24    36.42     0.01     4.00    98.52    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.73     3.72    -3.46     0.00     0.00     1.23    46.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.09     3.88    13.80     0.00     0.00     0.95    48.84     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.86     4.03     8.98     0.00     0.00     1.69    53.66     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.88     3.96    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.24    22.68     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      51.95     3.96     3.16     0.00     0.00     0.10     9.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.75     3.84    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.06    15.04     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.67     4.01    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.71     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.48     3.79    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.80     4.24    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.41R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.50     3.64   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.21R    0.01  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.34     3.99   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.25R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.93     3.60   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.07R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.68     3.93   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.39R    0.02  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.32     3.80   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.72R    1.51  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.87     3.34   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.04R   32.52  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.37     3.08   -42.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   65.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, Norwich vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            36   69  +14      86.46     4.22    19.86    42.12    69.81    99.04    76.62P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       35   67  +20      85.28     4.58    24.72    35.37    60.37    97.38    69.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.96     4.35    28.78     8.39    24.70    89.45    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   63  +17      79.84     4.25    21.74     4.09    14.70    82.05    32.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   62  +14      81.02     4.57    19.92     8.78    23.47    87.45    38.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.93     4.23     4.57     0.43     2.65    45.84    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   59  +15      75.06     4.26    18.91     0.42     2.38    44.55    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   59  +13      74.80     4.28    16.28     0.38     1.86    39.56    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   54  +14      69.70     4.24    16.93     0.00     0.04     8.88     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   52  +10      68.36     4.31    14.19     0.01     0.01     4.97     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   49   +3      61.88     4.26     1.94     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      64.93     4.41     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      36   48   -3      60.77     4.29    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          36   45   -2      59.37     4.40    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        35   45   -3      59.69     4.40    -3.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         36   45  -10      55.97     4.11   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.36R    0.00  
Norwich          35   44   -9      55.55     4.46   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.67     4.51    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.03  
Barnsley         36   38  -21      47.40     4.06   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.02R    3.15  
Luton            36   36  -16      48.19     4.37   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.41R    3.02  
Queens_PR        35   35  -16      46.07     4.31   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.10R    5.97  
Hull             36   35  -18      45.12     4.04   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.45R    8.53  
Southend         36   32  -22      42.89     4.06   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.19R   22.95  
Leeds            36   31  -26      40.13     3.98   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.06R   56.35  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 March 2007, Chesterfield vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          36   73  +31      92.01     4.14    38.71    88.09    98.47   100.00    99.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        35   65  +18      84.51     4.52    24.57     9.47    65.29    99.19    74.27P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   36   63  +14      80.33     4.25    19.59     1.84    21.45    96.42    39.65P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              36   61  +14      76.55     4.22    16.88     0.27     5.79    83.05    24.96P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.25     4.30    24.73     0.29     7.71    88.69    30.41P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            36   56  +10      71.57     4.30    12.78     0.01     0.43    41.17     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           35   55  +12      71.94     4.64    14.83     0.03     0.73    47.22    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           36   54   +9      69.50     4.24    11.73     0.00     0.11    23.50     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             36   52  +11      67.48     4.37    13.59     0.00     0.01    14.66     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            36   52   -5      64.30     4.24    -6.87     0.00     0.00     2.47     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               35   48   -3      61.98     4.64    -5.11     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.28P    0.26R    0.00  
Millwall            35   48   -5      61.83     4.62    -6.74     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.20P    0.20R    0.00  
Port_Vale           36   47   -3      61.55     4.46    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.14P    0.26R    0.00  
Brighton            36   46   -5      57.67     4.17    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.07R    0.01  
Huddersfield        36   45  -11      56.83     4.24   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     4.25R    0.00  
Gillingham          36   43  -17      54.41     4.26   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.22R    0.15  
Northampton         36   42   -4      54.41     4.18    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.41R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient       36   42  -11      53.01     4.23   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.37R    0.21  
Bournemouth         36   40  -11      51.84     4.26   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.77R    0.58  
Chesterfield        36   39   -5      52.07     4.27    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.36R    0.42  
Bradford            35   38   -8      50.50     4.41   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.52R    1.14  
Cheltenham          36   37  -16      47.38     4.04   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.06R    6.58  
Brentford           36   33  -26      41.28     3.84   -34.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R   57.71  
Rotherham           35   28   -7      42.79     4.60    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.50R   33.16  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, Accrington vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       36   73  +21      90.01     4.26    25.91    56.97    93.52    99.97    95.22P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   68  +27      87.24     4.08    35.29    30.44    85.46    99.88    90.19P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    35   64  +14      81.77     4.50    18.78     4.41    35.63    94.95    47.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     35   64  +14      81.72     4.58    18.09     4.05    34.45    95.18    48.80P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   63  +14      78.90     4.30    17.58     1.22    15.66    88.10    30.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        35   62  +16      80.27     4.61    20.64     2.55    26.05    92.39    42.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   57  +14      74.88     4.51    18.16     0.16     3.71    60.59    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   53   +3      65.57     4.30     1.63     0.00     0.01     3.13     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   49   +0      62.80     4.42     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         36   49   -2      62.29     4.28    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       32   48  +18      74.84     5.08    30.22     0.20     5.50    61.70    25.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        36   48   +2      63.76     4.39     5.26     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     36   47   +0      61.66     4.36     1.65     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          36   47   +0      59.09     4.09    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   46   -1      62.05     4.74    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44  -17      53.73     4.14   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   42   +8      58.97     4.80     8.95     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           35   42  -13      52.95     4.37   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Bury             35   37  -14      48.57     4.32   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.22R    0.18  
Macclesfield     35   36  -14      48.43     4.51   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.28R    0.35  
Accrington       36   35  -12      46.30     4.00   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.23R    0.97  
Wrexham          35   34  -25      44.21     4.10   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.78R    4.29  
Boston           36   32  -27      43.12     4.13   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.59R    7.05  
Torquay          36   26  -26      34.34     3.81   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.42R   87.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, York vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          35   74  +39      97.26     4.29    52.95    93.14   100.00    95.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         35   66  +28      87.87     4.38    37.79     6.70    99.64    47.59P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   59  +11      76.15     4.70    14.26     0.02    55.12    10.51P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             34   58  +14      78.36     4.91    19.76     0.05    72.92    16.30P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          33   56   +9      76.95     5.18    13.64     0.05    60.13    11.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          34   56   +5      75.37     4.91     9.29     0.03    46.93     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   54  +11      74.36     5.23    14.65     0.02    42.39     7.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             34   54   -1      70.03     4.82    -1.23     0.00    11.02     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          33   49   +3      67.82     5.16     4.27     0.00     7.38     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           33   49   -5      65.75     5.05    -6.59     0.00     2.35     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   -4      64.02     5.03    -6.37     0.00     1.26     0.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        34   45   +2      62.41     4.87     3.44     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley            34   42   +3      59.18     4.97     4.15     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.33R    0.01  
Woking             34   40   -4      56.25     4.82    -4.13     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.57R    0.10  
Forest_Green       35   40   -8      51.56     4.40   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.23R    0.90  
Cambridge_U        37   39  -16      47.95     3.82   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.80R    5.45  
Stafford_Rangers   34   38  -15      51.75     4.74   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.59R    1.91  
Halifax            31   37   +0      57.53     5.64    -0.04     0.00     0.15     0.01P    2.03R    0.16  
Northwich          30   36  -11      52.54     5.58   -19.75     0.00     0.01     0.01P   13.88R    2.23  
Grays              34   35   +1      53.12     4.95     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.16R    0.99  
Altrincham         34   35  -11      47.63     4.62   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.67R    9.86  
Tamworth           33   34  -14      48.78     5.00   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.93R    8.62  
St_Albans          35   33  -21      44.32     4.38   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.42R   33.55  
Southport          35   32  -16      43.56     4.42   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.34R   36.22  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10